Post on 30-Dec-2015
description
Pension system in quest for balanced scenario
Nazarov Vladimir
Gaidar Institute for Gaidar Institute for Economic PolicyEconomic Policy
Structure of pension 3 pillars: Conditions for pension entitlement-basic pension min record period – 5 years-PAYGO NDC pension age: 55 - w, 60 – m-FF NDC + minimum living standard guarantee+ “social pension” (people who don’t have 5 years record period receive social pension equals to minimum living standard at 65 – m, 60 – w)Rules of indexation 1) Basic pension + PAYGO NDCEvery year according to the PF revenue growth per pensioner but not less than inflation2) Minimum standard guarantee, social pension – according to minimum living standard
Social “insurance” tariffs – high burden,% of salary
Tax base
Threshold = 163% of the average wage
Pension
Social Healthcare Total
“Individual” tariff
Solidarity tariff
Total
PAYGO NDC tariff
FF DC tariff
old young old young
Below 16 10 0 6 6 26 2,9 5,1 30Above 0 10 10 0 10Basic pension – solidarity tariff + federal budget
PAYGO NDC – “individual” tariff + federal budget
FF DC - “individual tariff” + federal budget (modest co-financing program)
Social pension – federal budget
Minimum living standard guarantee – federal and regional budgets
Aging of population (thousands of people)
Basic scenario - finance
Basic scenario – replacement rate
The cost of fixing the replacement rate at 2012-level:-1% of annual tariff increase or-1% of GDP as every 5 years increase of federal budget transfer to the Pension Fund
Deficit reduction – reform proposals