Into the Tsumani:Trends and Futures for Technology and Higher

Education

NITLE meets PACOMP-

March 2013

nitle.org

Communities of practice

Research

Joint projects

Outreach

Network platform: events f2f/online

Partnerships Translation

Four futuring themes

Emergent and emergent

Caveat: wild cards and Black Swans

Extraordinary political or economic event

Technology breakthrough (ex: AI, unrest)

Next 20 years? Screening Interacting Sharing Flowing Accessing Generating

-Kevin Kelly

Pattern recognition:Deductions from scanning

Delphi

Assemble experts

Probe for opinions

Rank and distill ideas

Reiterate

Horizon trends, 2013

Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less Massively Open Online Courses

Tablet Computing

Horizon trends, 2013

Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Two to Three Years Big Data and Learning Analytics

Game-Based Learning

Under discussion Digital humanities Digital literacy Publishing crisis Open vs closed

Monthly environmental scan report

Developed + tested through social media

December-January campus survey

Other venues

FT reports, April-December 2012

Trendline categories

1. Economics and college finances2. Communities and populations3. Teaching and learning and tech4. Technology ecosystem5. The future of liberal education6. MOOCs7. Scholarship

1. Economics and college finances

Continued cost/value crisis

The higher education bubble concept

Academic union critiques of online learning

Changes in internships

Crowdsourcing in academia

2. Communities and populations

Student and parent anxieties about debt and employment

Demographic changes in student body: race, size

Possible intergenerational tensions among faculty

Adjunctification rising Restructuring library staff Data analytics

3. Teaching and learning and tech

Uses of social media

Uses of Web video

Changes in the LMS world

Blended learning

Learning analytics

Changes in library role

Digital humanities (in classroom)

The rise of the Maker movement

4. Technology ecosystem

3d printing

Ebooks social media

The Web plateau?

digital video

cloud computing

Apple vs Google

tablets succeeding laptops

augmented reality

automation and artificial intelligence

the growing mobile world

5. The future of liberal education

Financial stresses International campuses

and competition Liberal education and/vs

vocational training Liberal arts institutions’

role in K-12 The MOOC challenge

6. MOOCs

Credit for MOOCs STEM vs humanities Sustainability xMOOC vs cMOOC Liberal arts campuses entering

Scholarship

Open content Possible divide growing

between research and teaching

Changes to the scholarly publication ecosystem

Rise of the digital humanities (as scholarly work)

The library role

Your turn: NON tech trends

Your turn: now, tech trends

To the Web!

NITLE Future Trends page: http://www.nitle.org/future_trends.php

Bryan on 1970s tech: bryan.alexander@nitle.org

Bryan on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bryanalexander