Post on 13-Apr-2017
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When Autonomy, Connectivity, Electrification & Sharing Collide
Dr. Stefan Heck Stanford University CEO Nauto, Inc.
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Transport today: 99% waste of $2/mile Productive use
2.6% driving
0.8% looking for parking 0.5% sitting in
congestion
The typical American car spends 96% of its time parked
86% of fuel never reaches the wheels
Rolling resistance
1% Energy used to move the person
Aerodynamics
Transmission losses
Idling
Engine losses
Inertia
Auxiliary power Road at peak throughput only 5% of the time… ...and then only 10% covered with cars
More than 33,000 road fatalities in US $300B annually in cost
>95% Caused by human error
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More than 33,000 road fatalities in US $300B annually in cost
>95% Caused by human error
Productive use
2.6% driving
0.8% looking for parking 0.5% sitting in
congestion
The typical American car spends 96% of its time parked
86% of fuel never reaches the wheels
Rolling resistance
1% Energy used to move the person
Aerodynamics
Transmission losses
Idling
Engine losses
Inertia
Auxiliary power Road at peak throughput only 5% of the time… ...and then only 10% covered with cars
Autonomous: 90% accident reduction
Connected: Time &
route shift & transit integration
Shared: 50% utilization
(70% with delivery at night?)
Electric: 85% efficient
drivetrain
Transport today: 99% waste of $2/mile
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8 cents per mile!
Autonomous: 90% accident reduction
Connected: Time &
route shift & transit integration
Shared: 50% utilization
(70% with delivery at night?)
Electric: 85% efficient
drivetrain
Autonomous maintenance & charging Peloton or 8x capacity autonomous HOV lanes
Smart Autoroute
No up front cost for batteries Use only size car & battery you need
Match open trips & 2 minute service
Intermodal hub connections
ACES
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A fork in the road to Autonomy
FCW, LDW, AB, ACC, ALC, Blind spot, Hill descent, Lane change assistant, parking assistant, XTS, TSR
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The other road to autonomy: limiting where you drive (“Level 4” Autonomy in limited circumstances)
New Entrants: Google, Xoox, NuTonomy
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What if there was a third way?
• A: Augment human perception
• C: Each car learns from every other car
• E: Solve parking, braking, congestion
• S: Sharing easier if you know who is driving and how
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• 170 degree perception to see signs, pedestrians, dangers without distraction • Networked to learn of traffic and dangers ahead, speed for green light • Find any parking space any car has seen • Face recognition of driver and any accidents while car is shared
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