Post on 23-Jan-2018
A presentation in two acts
By Justin Bowra, Sydney Adventist & Royal North Shore Hospitals,
Australia SMACC 2015
The Elephant in the Living Room
DISCLOSURE
PROLOGUE
PART I
The Elephant in the Living
Room
But…
AUSTRALIA
Health spending
1995: 7.5% of GDP
2012: 9.1%
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
USA
1995: 13.3%
2012: 17.9%
AT THIS RATE…
2050
Australia 13%
USA 25%
What’s going on?
Ageing population?
Better treatments?
‘On average, a 50-year-old now is seeing
doctors more often, having more tests and
operations…’
‘Health systems themselves are
becoming a threat to society’s
wellbeing.’Atul Gawande, Reith lectures
Doctors
Government Special
interests
Hospitals
Insurers Lawyers
Consumers
Doctors
Plumbers
PART II
Fixing the system
Doctors
Government Special
interests
Hospitals
Insurers Lawyers
Consumers
Doctors
HOW CAN THE
ELEPHANT HELP?
1. Look at the big picture
2. End-of- l i fe discussion
about the healthcare budget
3. Sur render some
autonomy
1. Look at the big picture
2. Shared decision making across society
3. Surrender our autonomy
A challenge
FINAL THOUGHT
‘Business as usual’ is not an option
THANKS
Rob Day, Mark Gillett, Cath Herlihy, Sally
McCarthy, Stella McGinn, Larry Melniker & Nick
Stow
REFERENCES
Armstong K, Tess D. Fault versus No Fault- Reviewing the
International Evidence. Institute of Actuaries of Australia
Seminar, 2008.
Dartmuth Atlas of Healthcare http://www.dartmouthatlas.org/
Gawande, A. Reith lectures
Gawande, A. The cost conundrum. New Yorker, June 2009 [link]
Godlee, F. Tackling practice variation. BMJ 2011. 342:d1884 [link]
Gortmaker SL, Bickford AF, Mathewson HO, et al. A successful
experiment to
reduce unnecessary laboratory use in a community hospital. Med
Care 1988; 26:
631-642.
Kennedy PJ, Leathley CM, Hughes CF. Clinical practice variation. Med J Aust.
2010 Oct 18;193(8 Suppl):S97-9. PubMed PMID: 20955142. [Fulltext]
Magnan S, Fisher E, Kindig D, et al. Achieving accountability for health and
health care. Minn Med. 2012;95:37-39.
O’Callaghan G et al. Choosing wisely: the message, messenger and method. MJA
2015 202 (4): 175-8.
Oberlander J et al. Rationing medical care: rhetoric and reality in the Oregon
Health Plan. CMAJ 2001;164(11):1583-7
Stuart PJ et al An interventional program for diagnostic testing in the emergency
department MJA 2002 177 (3): 131‐134
Wennberg, JE, Thomson PY. Time to tackle unwarranted variations in practice.
BMJ 2011. 342:d1513 [link]
http://americannewsreport.com/arthroscopic-knee-surgery-
questioned-8816014
Australian Bureau of Statistics www.abs.gov.au
Australian Institute of Health & Welfare http://www.aihw.gov.au/
http://www.aihw.gov.au/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=6442457
479
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100840148
http://fc07.deviantart.net/fs71/f/2011/194/7/7/mad_doctor_by_diz
oider-d3nsl64.jpg
http://www.forbes.com/sites/merrillmatthews/2013/11/25/when-
will-the-government-start-forcing-doctors-to-see-obamacare-patients/
https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2012/197/10/over-150-potentially-
low-value-health-care-practices-australian-study
http://seqclinic.com/chinese_medicine.html
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/funds-run-out-for-cancer-operations-
20130530-2neu3.html
https://theconversation.com/infographic-comparing-international-
health-systems-30784
http://theconversation.com/tough-choices-how-to-rein-in-australias-
rising-health-bill-13658
https://theconversation.com/explainer-what-is-health-rationing-13667
http://www.worth1000.com/entries/325508/dinosaur-doctor