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Health Reform 101 The Road Ahead for Healthcare Policy in Utah

February 13, 2016

UAFP CME Conference

Key Terms

Private insurance plans sold on healthcare.gov with monthly premiums subsidized for some people

ACA or Obamacare Insurance

Why is the Affordable Care Act (ie. Obamacare) still viewed unfavorably by a majority of Utahns/Americans?

Who is benefiting from the Affordable Care Act now and in the future? Will the Affordable Care Act end up like the G.I. Bill, or “No Child Left Behind ?”

Three Key Questions

1

2

3

Open Enrollment

Open Enrollment

Special Enrollment

2016

JANUARY 1 FEBRUARY 1 NOVEMBER 1

The new health insurance calendar

Next Open Enrollment: Nov. 1, 2016 -- Jan. 31, 2017

OCTOBER 31

Open Enrollment

Open Enrollment

Special Enrollment

2017

JANUARY 1 FEBRUARY 1 NOVEMBER 1 OCTOBER 31

What is a Qualifying Life Event? ….that triggers a Special Enrollment Period

What is a Qualifying Life Event?

• Getting sick

• Forgetting to sign up for insurance before January 31, 2016

• Voluntarily ending insurance coverage

• Losing coverage that doesn’t qualify as minimum essential coverage under the ACA

What is a Complicated Case?

• A serious medical condition or natural disaster

• An unexpected hospitalization or temporary cognitive disability

• Medicaid/Marketplace transfer delays

• Misinformation or misrepresentation by brokers or assistors

• System errors related to immigration status

• Victims of domestic abuse

You couldn’t sign up for coverage before January 31st because of….

• A Marketplace system outage, such as Social Security Administration system outage

How the ACA changed healthcare (as we know it)

Adults under age 26 can stay on

their parents insurance

plan

Men and women pay the same for coverage

Insurance offers free preventative care like blood pressure checks, flu shots, and health screenings

No one can be denied or priced out of coverage for a

pre-existing condition

No lifetime caps on insurance payments

2010 2013

18.4%

29.0% Utah Uninsured Rate Ages 18-26:

Source: Utah DOH

www.healthcare.gov

Utah’s ACA sign-ups exceeded 151,000 in 2015

Sources: State-Level Data From from the ASPE January Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment Report For The 2016 Open Enrollment Period; ; March 31, 2015 Effectuated Enrollment Snapshot; 15-06-02; http://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2015-Fact-sheets-items/2015-06-02.html HHS/CMS Health Insurance Marketplace; ASPE Issue Briefs: October 1, 2013 –April 19, 2014; November 15, 2014 – January 16, 2015; HHS News Release, “In Utah, 124,142 people are signed up for coverage through the Health Insurance Marketplaces,” 2/11/15 HHS News Release, “In Utah, 140,221 people are signed up for coverage through the Health Insurance Marketplaces,” 2/18/15 ASPE Issue Brief (3/10/15); http://aspe.hhs.gov/health/reports/2015/MarketPlaceEnrollment/Mar2015/ib_2015mar_enrollment.pdf Marketplace Plan Selection by Age in States Using the HealthCare.gov Platform, By State (1); 11-15-14 to 2-15-15 (including SEP activity through 2-22-15)

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20,000

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60,000

80,000

100,000

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151,058

Why are people dropping their coverage mid-year?

Insurance Dropouts Present a Challenge for Health Law New York Times By Abby Goodnough October 11, 2015

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/12/us/insurance-dropouts-present-a-challenge-for-health-law.html

1) Premium cost

2) Under utilization

3) Paperwork errors

16.7%

15.7%

16.3%

15.9%

16.7%

16.6%

15.7%

14.0%

12.5%

9.1%

10.2%

11.6%

11.9%

10.6% 10.7%

11.2%

10.6%

13.4%

13.2%

11.6%

10.3%

15.6%

13.3% 13.2%

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

13%

14%

15%

16%

17%

18%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q2

UT:Census/SAHIE

UT:DOH(BRFSS)

UT: Gallup-Healthways

Utah’s uninsured rate is decreasing… …but the most recent data indicates a slowdown

Census SAHIE: https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2015/demo/P60-253.html DOH (BRFSS): http://ibis.health.utah.gov/pdf/opha/publication/ins/InsHighlights_2014.pdf Gallup Healthways: http://www.gallup.com/poll/184514/uninsured-rates-continue-drop-states.aspx?utm_source=Well-Being&utm_medium=newsfeed&utm_campaign=tiles

Sources: [2014] https://https://insurance.utah.gov/health/Health%20Refrom/ACA_Rate_Individual_20131007_OnExchange.pdf [2015] Utah – On Exchange Rates (accurate as of 10/15/14) https://insurance.utah.gov/health/Health%20Refrom/2015IndividualOnExchange20141016.pdf [2016] www.hea;thcare.gov; See Plans and Premiums (October 2015)

Altius Health Plans Arches BridgeSpan Humana Molina Healthcare Select Health

6 plans

26 plans

34 plans

24 plans

1 plan

Humana (6) Molina Healthcare (3) Select Health (60) University of Utah (5) Arches

2015: 101 Plans 2016: 74 Plans

Altius Health Plans Arches BridgeSpan Humana Molina Healthcare Select Health

2014: 91 Plans

Gold

Silver

Bronze

Catastrophic

Platinum

5 plans

19 plans

27 plans

21 plans

2 plans

5 plans

29 plans

40 plans

27 plans

0 plans

2014-16 Individual Marketplace Comparison Salt Lake County

60% 70%

80% 90%

Bronze Silver Gold Platinum

Costs for health plans will differ by metal tier

Higher Premiums Lower Premiums

Lower cost-sharing Higher cost-sharing

Catastrophic

<60%

What are the penalties for remaining uninsured in 2016?

[Chart] Kaiser Family Foundation

$285 $975 $2,085 Max per family

$95/adult, $47.50/child

$325/adult $162.50/child

$695/adult $347.50/child

We Are Here

(*) Premium costs do not include subsidies

Sources: [2014] https://https://insurance.utah.gov/health/Health%20Refrom/ACA_Rate_Individual_20131007_OnExchange.pdf [2015] Utah – On Exchange Rates (accurate as of 10/15/14) https://insurance.utah.gov/health/Health%20Refrom/2015IndividualOnExchange20141016.pdf [2016] Utah 2016 ACA Individual & Small Group Enrollment and Premium Rates; Utah Dept. of Insurance (October 2015)

In Salt Lake County, benchmark premiums rose 13% in 2016

$112

$197 $209

$301

$424

$115

$202 $215

$309

$436

$131

$229 $244

$350

$494

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

20 30 40 50 60

Monthly Premiums* for Benchmark Silver Plan by Age (2014-15-16) Salt Lake County

Age

2014 2015 2016

(*) Premium costs do not include subsidies

[2015] Utah – On Exchange Rates (accurate as of 10/15/14) https://insurance.utah.gov/health/Health%20Refrom/2015IndividualOnExchange20141016.pdf [2016] Utah 2016 ACA Individual & Small Group Enrollment and Premium Rates; Utah Dept. of Insurance (October 2015)

Premium “spread” is higher in 2016 than in 2015

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

$220

$240

$260

2016

2015

Salt Lake County Silver Plan Premiums for 21 year-olds (2015-16)

Benchmark Plans (Second- lowest Silver plan)

$74

$47

How can premium prices vary?

(in billions) 1) Age (new ratio of 3:1)

2) Tobacco use (ratio of 1.5:1)

3) Geography (by counties)

Area 1: Cache and Rich Area 2: Box Elder, Morgan, and Weber Area 3: Davis, Salt Lake, Summit, Tooele, and Wasatch Area 4: Utah Area 5: Iron and Washington Area 6: Beaver, Carbon, Daggett, Duchesne, Emery, Garfield, Grand, Juab, Kane, Millard, Piute, San Juan, Sanpete, Sevier, Uintah, and Wayne

0% 101% 400% 100%

Who is eligible for premium subsidies?

Income as % of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL)

NO YES 53,000 Utahns

in the Gap

Sliding-scale subsidies make insurance more affordable

Source: http://www.coloradohealthinsurancebrokers.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/2015-2016-FPL-Chart-1024x314.jpg

For 2016, a family of four can earn $97,000 a year and receive a premium subsidy

If your income/family size is on this chart, you qualify for a subsidy

The Hernandez Family Income: $26,000 Residence: Salt Lake City, Utah Ages: Dad : 33 Mom: 29 Kids: 11, 7

Annual income: $26,000

% of poverty level: 109%

Monthly premium: $458

Subsidy pays: $410 per month

The Hernandez’s pay: $48 per month

Benchmark Silver Plan

Primary doctor: $5 Specialist doctor: $15 Emergency room care: $150 Generic drugs: $6

Plan Details

2016 rate change: + $4/month

Deductible: $1000 Out-of-pocket maximum: $1,500 Source: https://www.healthcare.gov/see-plans/; Image source: Moodboard

Annual income: $44,000

% of poverty level: 222%

Monthly premium: $537

Subsidy pays: $274 per month

The Shumways pay: $262 per month

Benchmark Silver Plan

Primary doctor: $35 Specialist doctor: $60 Emergency room care: $500 Generic drugs: $10

Plan Details

Deductible: $2,300 Out-of-pocket maximum: $10,900

2016 rate change: +$1/month

The Shumways Income: $44,000 Residence: American Fork, UT Ages: Dad : 24 Mom: 23 Kid: Newborn

Source: https://www.healthcare.gov/see-plans/

Mr. and Mrs. Smith Income: $42,000 Residence: Santa Clara, Utah Ages: 60, 62

Annual income: $42,000

% of poverty level: 267%

Monthly premium: $1,188

Subsidy pays: $865 per month

The Smiths pay: $323 per month

Benchmark Silver Plan

Primary doctor: $35 Specialist doctor: $60 Emergency room care: $600 Generic drugs: $10

Plan Details

Deductible: $2,500 Out-of-pocket maximum: $13,700

2016 rate change: + $13/month

Source: https://www.healthcare.gov/see-plans/; Image source: Moodboard

Annual income: $21,000

% of poverty level: 89%

Expected contribution: 100%

Monthly premium (for 2): $482

The Smith’s pay: $482

Subsidy pays $0

The Smith Family Income: $21,000 Residence: Orem, Utah Ages: Dad : 35 Mom: 33 Child: 7 Child: 11

No Subsidy

The Smith’s healthcare costs would be 27% of their total income

Who lives in the Coverage Gap?

Source: https://www.healthcare.gov/see-plans/; Image source: TVZ Design

Window-shop for insurance

https://www.healthcare.gov/see-plans

Who is signing up for the ACA in Utah?

Image source: WarrenFree

In 2016, 13 of Utah’s top 20 ZIP codes for ACA enrollment were outside of Salt Lake

County

Source: 2016 Health Insurance Marketplace Plan Selections by ZIP Code; (Nov. 1, 2015 — Jan. 9, 2016); https://aspe.hhs.gov/basic-report/plan-selections-zip-code-health-insurance-marketplace-january-2016

RANK CITY SELECTIONS % INCREASE 1 Lehi (84043) 3,501 19% 2 South Jordan (84095) 3,346 12% 3 American Fork (84003) 2,948 17% 4 Pleasant Grove (84062) 2,931 20% 5 St. George (84790) 2,829 10% 6 St. George (84770) 2,742 11% 7 Draper (84020) 2,624 13% 8 Bountiful (84010) 2,455 5% 9 Spanish Fork (84660) 2,377 24%

10 West Valley City (84119) 2,368 3% 11 West Valley City (84120) 2,345 13% 12 Provo (84604) 2,289 22% 13 Herriman (84096) 2,276 20% 14 Clearfield (84015) 2,258 3% 15 Riverton (84065) 2,255 23% 16 Cottonwood Heights (84121) 2,254 6% 17 Orem (84058) 2,196 24% 18 Orem (84057) 2,193 16% 19 Ogden (84404) 2,189 1% 20 Layton (84041) 2,110 12%

Enrollment by Age

Utah children are enrolling in ACA insurance at 2.67x the national average

Utah

U.S.

24%

31% 16%

13%

16% Under 18

18-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

9%

26%

16% 21%

27% Under 18

18-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

Source: "State-Level Data From the ASPE January Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment Report For The 2016 Open Enrollment Period; For the period: November 1, 2015 - December 26, 2015.“ https://aspe.hhs.gov/health-insurance-marketplaces-2016-open-enrollment-period-january-enrollment-report.

Premium subsidies make health insurance more affordable

Impact of subsidies on actual consumer costs

ACA enrollment by % poverty level

Source: Reduction in Average Monthly Premiums from Advance Premium Tax Credits in States Using the HealthCare.gov Platform (1) 11-15-14 to 2-15-15 (including SEP activity through 2-22-15)

Consumer

Cost

$248

Source: "State-Level Data From the ASPE January Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment Report For The 2016 Open Enrollment Period; For the period: November 1, 2015 - December 26, 2015.”

1%

33%

25%

21%

18% Under 100%

100% to 150%

150% to 200%

200% to 250%

250% to 400%

Half of existing ACA consumers switched health plans in 2016

Origin of all consumers

Plan selection by re-enrolled consumers

Source: "State-Level Data From the ASPE January Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment Report For The 2016 Open Enrollment Period; For the period: November 1, 2015 - December 26, 2015.”

Source: "State-Level Data From the ASPE January Health Insurance Marketplace Enrollment Report For The 2016 Open Enrollment Period; For the period: November 1, 2015 - December 26, 2015.”

70%

30%

51%

49%

Newly enrolled

Re-enrolled

Switched plan

Same plan

Recent data suggests that Utah is falling behind other states in key health reform metrics

Sources: 2013, 2014; Gallup Healthways Well-Being Index (2/24/15); 2Q 2015 US: Gallup Healthways Well-Being Index (7/10/15); 2Q 2015 UT: Gallup Healthways Well-Being Index (8/10/15) ; Smith, Jessica C. and Carla Medalia, U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, P60-253, Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2014, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC,2015.

What ACA enrollment looks like

Who are the helpers? Navigator

Certified Application Counselor

Experts trained to help others evaluate their insurance options on the new insurance marketplace.

Image: Paramount Pictures Corporation

www.takecareutah.org | call 2-1-1

TCU’s trained counselors are ready to help you understand your new options to find affordable

health care coverage today

Where can Utahns find help applying for health insurance?

Utahans are still falling through the cracks

Source: “Utahns brace for Obamacare enrollment, year 2,” by Kristen Moulton, Salt Lake Tribune, 11/11/14; http://www.sltrib.com/news/1812058-155/insurance-hobson-says-utah-gov-plans?page=1

“First, the HealthCare.gov website had her application "processing" for two months. Then the exchange needed a

form from her employer. When she finally got insurance, it was at a rate far higher than it should have been and she was never given a card or even an address for sending a payment.” …. It’s irritating, because I really tried.”

November 11, 2014

Predictions for the Future

1) Fixing Utah’s Medicaid coverage gap

2) Sustainability of ACA marketplaces beyond 2016

3) Trends in plan deductibles and cost-sharing

4) Impact of elections on healthcare reform

5) Trends in Utah morbidity/mortality metrics

6) How healthcare reform affects providers

The Role of Providers and Professionals in Health Reform

[Chart] Kaiser Health Tracking Poll, August 2013

Providers are a trusted source for patients

[Chart] Kaiser Health Tracking Poll, August 2013

Providers are a trusted source for patients

What health professionals can do…

(in billions)

No one can be denied or priced out of

coverage for a pre-existing condition

(1) healthcare.gov

(2) Being sick doesn’t matter

anymore

(4) Subsidies will make premiums

more affordable

60% 70%

80% 90%

(3) It’s private insurance

(and it’s good insurance) (5) Navigators will

help you sign up

Coverage Gap 101 Fixing Utah’s Persistent Healthcare Challenge

405,000 Utahns received Medicaid in 2014

The largest Medicaid recipient category in Utah are children under age 19 (238,950 recipients)

Utah adults without children aren’t eligible for Medicaid at any income level

59.0% 13.8%

11.8%

4.0%

6.4% 5.0%

Children (age 0-18)

Parents

Visually Impaired and People with Disabilities

Elderly (age 65+)

Pregnant Women

Primary Care Network (PCN)

Source: Utah Dept. of Health 2014 Medicaid Report (p. 29); http://health.utah.gov/medicaid/stplan/LegReports/MedicaidAnnualReport_2014.pdf

In June 2012, the Supreme Court declared Medicaid expansion optional. Utah is among 22 states that

have not expanded coverage.

0% 138% 400%

Income as % of the Federal Poverty Level

101% 400% 0% 100%

AC A in 2 0 1 0 AC A af ter 2 0 1 2

Originally, the ACA required Medicaid Expansion

Income as % of the Federal Poverty Level

What is the Coverage Gap?

Utahns in the Gap 63,000

0% 101% 400% 100%

Premium subsidies aren’t available for people earning under the poverty line

Income as % of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL)

NO YES 53,000 Utahns

in the Gap

• People who can’t receive Medicaid include adults without kids, parents who earn more than 50% of poverty, and people with unqualified disabilities

• Many people who don’t quality for Medicaid are uninsured and live in Utah’s “Coverage Gap”

Who isn’t eligible for Medicaid?

Who is in the Coverage Gap?

Parents… students… full-time workers… family care-givers… people with disabilities… part-time workers… veterans… women who just gave birth

Todd Dad… grad student… has two part-time jobs

Wendy Single-mom… student… child on LDS mission

Rachel Mom… employee… in long-term recovery

FYI: People in the coverage gap work

The national picture...

Source: The Advisory Board Daily Briefing (11/3/15); https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/resources/primers/medicaidmap

Utah is one of three states considering expansion

30 states, D.C. expanding Medicaid

Who could be covered in Utah?

Utah’s coverage gap costs lives each year

0% 100%

How does full expansion differ from partial?

0% 100% 138%

70%

30%

10%

90%

STATE

FEDERAL

WHO PAYS

$82 million/year $513 million/year

Partial Expansion Full Expansion TYPE

PEOPLE COVERED

TAXES RETURNED*

Source Cost estimates based on Milliman Numbers Revised 12 /17/14 and Dept. of Health Estimates 03/03/15; Taxes Returned data for 2017.

Utah voters support a coverage gap solution

RyLee Curtis

Utah Health Policy Project 801.433.2299 x8 rylee@healthpolicyproject.org

Jason Stevenson

Utah Health Policy Project 801.433.2299 x7 stevenson@healthpolicyproject.org

Got Questions?

How do I calculate my MAGI? (in billions)

Step #1) Start with gross income (GI)

Your adjusted gross income is the money you earned through wages, interests, dividends, rental and royalty income, capital gains, business income, farm income, unemployment and alimony.

Adjustments can include items like some contributions to IRAs, moving expenses, alimony paid, self-employment taxes, and student loan interest.

Step #2) Calculate Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) by subtracting qualified deductions from gross income. AGI is used to determine your tax liability

Source: Zane Benefits - http://www.zanebenefits.com/blog/bid/271272/How-Do-I-Calculate-My-Health-Insurance-Tax-...2

How do I calculate my MAGI? (in billions)

Step #3) Add back items excluded from AGI

• Deductions for IRA contributions. • Deductions for student loan interest or tuition. • Excluded foreign income. • Interest from EE (employee) savings bonds used to pay

higher education expenses. • Employer-paid adoption expenses.

For most people, MAGI is the same as AGI.

Step #4) The result is your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) – used to calculate eligibility for premium subsidies on the new insurance marketplaces

Source: Zane Benefits - http://www.zanebenefits.com/blog/bid/271272/How-Do-I-Calculate-My-Health-Insurance-Tax-...2