Greater Manchester Flooding: The social housing perspective

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Transcript of Greater Manchester Flooding: The social housing perspective

Greater Manchester Flooding: The Social Housing

Perspective Monday 29th February 2016

Professor Philip Brown

Making Research Count at The University of Salford

• National initiative across ten universities in England

• A knowledge broker

• Bringing together academics, practitioners, carers and users to facilitate the dissemination of social care research and theory

• The University of Salford is the regional hub for MRC in Greater Manchester

• Support the learning needs of a range of organisations in the sub-region

Making Research Count (MRC)

Dr Neil Entwistle, University of Salford

Rivers and floodplains: a drone’s eye view

Neil Entwistle

Greater Manchester

Flooding

MediaCityUK

Cause?

• River Croal, • Bolton

Cause: Natural Processes?

Extreme weather?

El Niño

Flood in Salford, 1946

Flood in Salford, 1946

Named storms of winter 2015/16Name Date named Date of impact on UK and/or Ireland

Abigail 10 November 2015 12 - 13 November 2015

Barney 16 November 2015 17 - 18 November 2015

Clodagh (Clo-da) 28 November 2015 29 November 2015

Desmond 4 December 2015 5 - 6 December 2015

Eva 22 December 2015 24 December 2015

Storm Frank 28 December 2015 29 - 30 December 2015

Gertrude 28 January 2016 29 January 2016

Henry 30 January 2016 1 - 2 February 2016

Imogen 7 February 2016 8 February 2016

Named storms of winter 2015/16Name Date named Date of impact on UK and/or Ireland

Abigail 10 November 2015 12 - 13 November 2015

Barney 16 November 2015 17 - 18 November 2015

Clodagh (Clo-da) 28 November 2015 29 November 2015

Desmond 4 December 2015 5 - 6 December 2015

Eva 22 December 2015 24 December 2015

Storm Frank 28 December 2015 29 - 30 December 2015

Gertrude 28 January 2016 29 January 2016

Henry 30 January 2016 1 - 2 February 2016

Imogen 7 February 2016 8 February 2016

“What we are experiencing is typical of an early winter El Niño effect,” head of Met Office long-range forecasting.

Christmas/Boxing Day 2015Hourly rainfall

Prestolee (Bolton)

Prestolee (Bolton)

Prestolee (Bolton)

Prestolee

Irwell Flood

Flood risk

Environment AgencyFlood Alerts

Flood risk

Flood Alerts

Adequate warnings? Littleborough, Greater Manchester.

Could it have been worse?Summerseat, River Irwell

Could it have been worse?Radcliffe, River Irwell

Could it have been worse?Manchester, River Irwell

Aftermath

Research: Peel Park, Salford

LeveeFlood level

1866

1870

Historic Irwell River FloodsDate m3s-1 21-09-6819523-09-6826901-10-6821427-10-8034221-03-8119009-12-8317330-12-8618121-12-9126305-01-9217101-12-9218831-01-9525730-10-0020004-02-0418821-01-0823622-06-1227425-09-12194

“Very responsive regime. Many abstractions and storage reservoirs”.

Drinking Water Lakes

Planning

Whalley, River Calder

Mitigation

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-35353869

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-35353869

Contact: n.s.entwistle@salford.ac.uk

Thank you

Dr Graeme Sherriff, University of Salford

Climate adaptability

Climate Change AdaptationGraeme SherriffSustainable Housing and Urban Studies Unit (SHUSU)

What is climate change?

What does it mean for the UK?

• Increases in frequency of flooding, including threats to home and critical infrastructure

• Summer overheating and heat related deaths

• Reductions in water availability in the summer

Flooding as a socio-spatial vulnerability issue

Sensitivity Enhanced Exposure:- (in)ability to prepare- (in)ability to respond- (in)ability to recover

- www.climatejust.org.uk/map

How can we respond to climate change?

What is the policy in Greater Manchester?

GM strategic goals on climate change

• We will make a rapid transition to a low carbon economy. • Our collective carbon emissions will have been reduced by 30%

to 50%. • We will be prepared for and actively adapting to a rapidly

changing climate. • ‘Carbon literacy’ will have become embedded into the culture of

our organisations, lifestyles and behaviours.

The Greater Manchester Climate Strategy – 2011-2020

GM strategic goals on climate change

• We will make a rapid transition to a low carbon economy. • Our collective carbon emissions will have been reduced by 30%

to 50%. • We will be prepared for and actively adapting to a rapidly

changing climate. • ‘Carbon literacy’ will have become embedded into the culture of

our organisations, lifestyles and behaviours.

The Greater Manchester Climate Strategy – 2011-2020

We will be prepared for and actively adapting to a rapidly changing climate

• the extent, quality and productivity of green spaces and tree cover• the number and quality of resilience plans and adaptation strategies

The Greater Manchester Climate Strategy – 2011-2020

By Sector

• Buildings: embedded in all retrofit and regeneration• Transport: transport infrastructure develops resilience to

prepare for an increase in extreme weather events. • Green and blue spaces: well co-ordinated green and blue

infrastructure network that delivers cooling, shelter, resilience and flood management, increasing urban tree cover

• Integration of green infrastructure into the strategies and work programmes of all organisations working in the growth, sustainability and wellbeing sectors including dissemination of research into costs, levies, standards and benefits.

• Cultural value attached to our green and blue infrastructure

Is social housing prepared?

Climate preparedness in social housing

• Despite excellent climate awareness, the approach of housing associations remains a “wait and see” tactic.

• Alleviating fuel poverty and reducing winter fuel bills remains a greater priority.

• Climate related events not considered frequent or severe enough, and lack of confidence in ability of scientific community to predict extreme events.

• Overcoming the barrier between strategic climate adaptation objectives is challenging.

(Masters research University of Leeds – Lucy Davidson, July 2015)

Dr Luke Blazejewski, Film maker

The Hundred Year Flood: A Short Film

Lee Sugden, Salix Homes

Experience of Social Housing sector during recent floods

Refreshments and Networking

Break

• Reflecting on experience of supporting communities during flooding.

• What steps could be put in place to reduce the risk of future events?

• What support do housing organisations need in the future?

• What are the key messages for those involved in policy formulation?

World Café discussion

Thoughts and reflections from groups and closing remarks