Transcript of Futuretronium Book 100.0 (The Revolution II)! By Andres Agostini at & & & &
- 1. 1 FUTURETRONIUM,The Revolution II! by Andres AgostiniV er s
i o n 1 0 0 . 0 D e c e m b e r / 1 4 /2 0 1 0Unabridged version! (
F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r
e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e announcedvia
www.twitter.com/FuturetroniumUntil indicated otherwise via
www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o
o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d p er i o
d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d
. )(ThisProprietary Book mayber e p r o d u c edfor noncommercial
purposes if it is copied in its entirety, i n c l u d i n g t h i s
n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t i f i t i s c o p i e
d in its entirety, including this notice.)
- 2. 2 # 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M , A N D T H E A D M I N I S
T R A T I O N AN D A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F
I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E
N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F INFLECTIONSASCERTAIN T H
ATTHEMORROW ISA THING OF THE PAST. #2 FUTURETRONIUM, SUBSEQUENTLY,
THERE IS NOW AN DHEREAVAILABLE THEU N A BR I D G E D ,
AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATIONANDELUCIDATION OF ACTIONABLEK N O W L ED G
EFROM AND FORTHE I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U
P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C , MORDANT, CAUSTIC,AN D ANARCHISTIC
FUTURE, AS WELL AS THEC O N T EN T I O U SINTERRELATIONSHIP B E T W
E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T . #3
FUTURETRONIUM, ARADICALYET RIGOROUS STRONG-SENSE AND C R I T I C O
- CR E A T I V EFUTURES T H I N K I N G , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A
C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H
E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S , AN D I N T R I C
A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O BE
EXPLOITED OUT OF THEDRIVINGFORCES INSTILLING AND INFLICTING
PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY .
- 3. 3 By ( c) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 0 b y A n d r e s A g o s
t i n i A l l R i g h t s R es e r v e d W h a t d o e s n t g e t
u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o
rliability. To this end Henry Kissingers quotation is timely. E n s
u i n g : A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o
a p r o b l e m. [ 1 2 ] Forget what you know and just believe in
what you see and sense. I t s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e
, c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d
instituteyour own Futures exploitingtheUPSIDESand D OW N S I D E S
o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r
e d o n e s u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s
l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d y o u r c o n t
r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r p o w e r s . K i n d l y p
l e a s e , if y o u d like, make your choices wisely and by you
and for yourself! T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t
t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a soothsayer,
diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the future. In
managing corporate and operational risks of many diverse natures,
one needs not only to identify and recognize h a z a r d s b u t t
o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a
dv a n c e d d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o
i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s
- 4. 4 studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last
analysis and v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h
e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l l e a r n i
n g a n d p ra c t i c a l t o o l t h a t r e qu i r e s f r o m p
r a c t i t i o n e r s m u c h better p r e pa r e d n e s s
beforesystemic volatility, universal uncertainty and ubiquitous
change and ambiguity. T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s
t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e and
progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and r e - s
h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i
s t s s p e a k , o u t o f b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t
t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s
o f s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i
v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y m e g a , d i v e r s e d y
n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e
n g e s , opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and
paying incessantly great detailed attention. T h e s e d r i v i n
g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n -
e n d e d c h a n g e s , (2) Preemptive changes, and (3) All-out
war-waging (that is, boundaryless) changes. You manage risks to
increase your benefits and opportunities and t o a u g m e n t t h
e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s
t a i n a b i l i t y o f said benefits and opportunities. In
Transformative and Integrative R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o
w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t i l
lu s i o n s ofmeaning arenothing elsethantheoptimum
- 5. 5 management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the
driving forces. Subsequently,the material in thisbookranges
overmany disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding
scientists. F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o
r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y , p o
l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m
o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f unprecedented changewith
increasing energyandscope. A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e p r e s e
n t m a t e r i a l i s c o m m u n ic a t e d w i t h m a r k e d
emphasis indeed. The undersigned does not and will not dare to
oversimplify and/or underestimate the consequences and sequels of
these gargantuan driving forces. TOO F F ER G R E AT E R
INSIGHTQUICKLY, LETSEEA PRIMER ONTECHNOLOGICALAND SCIENTIFIC
KNOWLEDGE. ENSUING: D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . i n d i c
a t e s : . B y t h e e n d o f t h e t w e n t i et h c e n t u r
y , s c i e n c e h ad r e a c h e d t h e en d o f a n e r a , u n
l o c k i n g t h e s e c r e t s o f t h e a t o m , u n r a v e l
i n g t h e m o l ec u l e o f l i f e , an d c r e at i n g the e
l ec t r o n i c c o m p u t er . With these three fundamental
discoveries,t r i g g e r ed by thequantumrevolution,the DNA r e v
o l u t i on , a n d t h e c o m p u t e r r e v o lu t i on , t h
e b a s i c l a w s o f m at t e r ,
- 6. 6 li f e , a n d c o m p u t at i o n w er e , i n t h e m a
i n , fi n a l l y s o l v e d . T h a t epic phase of science is
now drawing to a close; one era is ending a n d a n ot h e r i s o
n l y b e g i n n i n g . T h e n e xt e r a o f sc i e n c e pr o
m i s e s t o b e an e v en d e e p e r , m o r e t h o r o u gh g
o i n g , m o r e p e n et r a t i n g o n e t h a n t h e l a s t
. C l e a r l y , w e a r e o n t h e t h r e s h o ld o f y e t a
n o t h e r r e v o l u t i on . H U M A N K N O W L E D G E I S D
O UB L I N G E V E R Y T E N Y E A R S [ A S P E R T H E 1 9 9 8 S
T A N D A R D S ] . I n t h e p a s t d e c ad e , m o r e s c i e
n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e h a s b e e n c r e a t ed t h a n i
n a l l o f h u m a n h i s t o r y . C O M P U T E R P O W E R I S
D O UB L I N G E V E R Y E I G H T E E N MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS
DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE N U M B E R O F D N A S E Q U E N C E S W
E CA N A N A L Y Z E I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y T W O Y E A R S .
A l m o s t d ai l y , t h e h e a d li n e s h e r a ld n e w ad v
a n c e s i n c o m p u t e r s , t e l ec o m m u n i c a t i o n
s , b i o t ec h n o l o g y , a n d s p a c e e x p l o r at i o n
. I n t h e w a k e o f t h i s t ec h n o l o g i c a l u p h e a
v a l , en t i r e i n d u s t r i e s a n d l i f e s t y l e s a
r e b e i n g o v e r t u r n ed , o n l y t o g i v e r i s e t o
en t i r e l y n e w o n e s . B u t t h e s e r ap i d , b e wi l
d er i n g c h a n g e s a r e n ot j u s t q u a n t i t at i v e
. T h e y m a r k t h e b i r t h p a n g s o f a n e w e r a . F R
O M N O W T O T H E Y E A R 2 0 2 0 , S CI E N T I S T S F O R E S
E E A N E X P L O S I O N I N S C I E N T I F I C A C T I V I T Y S
UC H AS T H E W O R L D HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY
TECHNOLOGIES, COMPUTER POWER AND THE DNA SEQUENCING, WE WILL SEE
ENTIREINDUSTRIESRISE ANDFA L LONTHEB AS I S OF B R E A T HT A K I N
G S C I E N T I F I C A D V A N C E S . S I N C E T H E 1 9 5 0 S ,
T H E P O W E R O F O U R C O M P UT E R S H AS A D V A N C E D B Y
A F A C T O R
- 7. 7 OFROUGHLY TENBILLION.INF A CT ,B E C A US EBOTH COMPUTER
POWER AND DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN
COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME F R A M E O V E R W HI C H M A N Y S CI E N
T I F I C B R E A K T H R O U G H S WILL TAKE PLACE .... BY 2020,
MICROPROCESSORS WILL L I K E L Y B E A S A C H E A P A N D P L E N
T I F U L AS S C R A P P A P E R , SCATTERED BY THEMILLIONS I NT
OENVIRONMENT, ALLOWINGUS TO PLACE I NT E L L I G E N T SYSTEMS E V
E R Y W H E R E . T HI S W I L L C H A N G E E V E R Y T H I N G A
R O U N D US , I N C L U D I NG T H E N A T U R E O F C O M M E R C
E , T H E W E A L T H O F N A T I O N S , A N D T H E W A Y W E C O
M M U N I C AT E , W O R K , P L A Y , AND LIVE. [171] President
John F. Kennedys speech on September 12, 1962 at Race U n i v e r s
i t y : D e s p i t e t h e s t r i k i n g f ac t t h a t m o s t
o f t h e s c i e n t i s t s that the world has ever known are
alive and working today, d e s p i t e t h e f ac t t h a t t h i s
N a t i o n s o wn s c i en t i f i c m a n p o w e r i s d o u b l
i n g e v er y 1 2 y e a r s i n a r a t e o f gr o w t h m o r e t
h an t h r e e t i m e s t h a t o f ou r p o p u l a t i o n a s a
w h o l e , d e s p i t e t h at , t h e v a s t st r e t c h e s o
f t h e u n k n o w n a n d t h e u n an s w e r e d a n d t h e u
n f i n i s h e d s t i ll f ar ou t s t r i p o u r c ol l e c t i
v e c o m pr e h e n s i o n . [ 8 0 ] T o f u r t h e r s e t t h
e s t a g e f o r t h i s m a t e r i a l , t h e t e x t b o o k E
i n st e i n i n t h e B o ar d r o o m b y S u za n n e S . H a r
r i s o n a n d P a t r i c k H . S u l l iv a n S r .
- 8. 8 may offer some lucid ideas on the current state of affairs
when t h e y c la i m : Hu m a n s h a v e b e en ad d i n g t o t
h ei r t o t a l k n o w l e d g e st e a d i l y o v e r the c en
t u r i e s , andthe amount ofknowledge wecreateis mu l t i p l y i
n g a t a n i n c r ed i b l e r a t e . B e g i n n i n g w i t h
t h e a m o u n t o f k n o w l e d g e i n t h e k n o w n w o r
ld at t h e t i m e o f C h r i s t , s t u d i e s h a v e e s t i
m a t e d t h a t t h e f i r s t d ou b l i n g o f t h a t k n o
w l ed g e t o o k p l ac e ab o u t 1 7 0 0 A . D . T h e s e c on
d d ou b li n g o c c u r r e d a r ou n d t h e y e a r 1 9 0 0 .
I t i s e s t i m a t e d t od a y t h a t t h e w o r ld ' s k n o
w l e d g e b a s e wi l l d o u b l e a g a i n b y 2 0 1 0 a n d
a g a i n a ft e r t h a t b y 2 0 1 3 . [ 3 7 ] T h e r e a r e m
a n y s e r i o u s pu b l i c a t i o n s , f r o m 2 0 0 3 t o t
h i s d a t e , s p e a k i n g o f t h e e n t i r e t y o f s c i
e n t i f i c kn o w l e d g e d o u b l i n g e v e r y f i v e
(5) years and sooner. How, then, can one undertake such a g a r g a
n t u a n c ha l l e n g e , t h r o u g h t h e S o c i e t y o f
K n o w l e d g e ( t h a t also embraces the infotech economy),
unless it is through the s t e w a r d s h i p o f t h e m o s t r
i g o r o u s a n d a d v a n c e d s c i e n t if i c m e t h o d
? [129] Hu m a n k n o w l e d g e c a p ab i l i t y wi l l c o n
t i n u e t o d o u b l e e v e r y y e a r . Hu m a n knowledgec a
p ab i l i t y is thequantityofavailable k n o w l e d g e m u l t
i p l i ed b y t h e p o w e r o f t e c h n o l o g y t o pr o c e
s s t h a t knowledge. This capability will increase by two to the
power of
- 9. 9 1 0 0 , t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f a t h o u s a n d b
i l li o n b i ll i o n , i n t h e t w en t y - first century.
James Martin, The 17 Great Challenges of the T we n t y - F i r s t
Century, Jan-Feb2007, p. 24[ T heFu t u r i s t Magazines Top-10
Forecast for 2010] Subsequently, given the immense level of
complexity progression and density, there is one axiom we will need
to live by (that is, if we wish to be successful in prevailing)
that indicates:The s i g n i f i c a n t p r o b l e m s w e f ac e
c an n o t b e s o l v e d at t h e s a m e l e v e l o f t h i n k
i n g w e w e r e at w h e n w e c r e a t e d t h e m. ( B y A l b
e r t E i n s t e i n ) [153] C h i n a m u l l s $ 1 . 5 t r i l l
i o n s t r a t e g i c i n du s t r i e s b o o s t ? Ho w far can
China go to pervasively cutting-edge science and technology while
the West, seemingly and allegedly, does n o t g e t i t s a c t t o
g et h e r ? W h a t d o e s a p r o m i n en t n e w s agency have
to report on it? R e u t e r s ( D e c 0 3 , 2 0 1 0 ) : C h i n a
i s c on s i d er i n g i n v e s t m e n t s o f u p t o $ 1 . 5 t
r i l l i on o v e r f i v e y e a r s i n s e v e n s t r a t e g
i c i n d u st r i e s , sources said, a plan aimed at a c c e l e
r at i n g thecountry's t r a n s i t i o n f r o m t h e w or l d
' s su p p l i er o f c h e a p g o o d s t o a l e ad i n g
purveyor ofhigh-value t ec h n o l o g i e s .Analysts expressed s
k e p t i c i s m at t h e s h e e r a m ou n t o f m o n e y i t
eq u a t e s t o a b o u t 5
- 10. 10 p er c en t o f C h i n a ' s g r o s s d o m e s t i c
pr o d u c t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s b u t s a i d t h a t t
h e e y e - p o p p i n g h e a d l i n e fi g u r e w a s an i n d
i c at i o n o f t h e g o v e r n m en t ' s d et e r m i n a t i
on t o c a t a l y z e a s t r u c t u r a l s h i ft i n the
economy .THE T A R G E T EDSECTORSINCLUDE A L T ER N A T I V E
ENERGY, B I O T E C H N O LO G Y , NEW- G E N E R A T IO N
INFORMATIONT E C H N O LO G Y ,HIGH-END EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING,
ADVANCED MATERIALS, A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L CARS
ANDENERGY-SAVINGAND E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y FR I E N D L Y T E
C H N O LO G I E S . B ei j i n g h a s s a i d b e f or e t h a t
i t w an t s t o pr o m o t e t h e s e c t o r s , a p o li c y t
h a t i t h o p e s wi l l m a k e t h e c ou n t r y l e s s d e p
en d en t o n l o w - en d , d i r t y m a n u f a c t u r i n g .
T h e v a l u e - ad d ed o u t p u t o f t h e s e v e n s t r at
e g i c i n d u s t r i e s t o g et h e r a c c o u n t f or ab o
u t 2 p e r c e n t o f G D P n o w . T h e g o v e r n m en t h a
s s a i d i t w a n t s t h e m t o g e n e r at e 8 p e r c e n t
o f G D P i n 2 0 1 5 a n d 1 5 p er c en t b y 2 0 2 0 . [ 1 7 6 ]
Zillionimpossible science facts turnedinto rampant realities? D r .
M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . p o i n t s o u t : A s a p h y s i
c i s t , I h a v e l e a r n ed t h a t t h e i m p o s s i b l e
i s o f t e n a r e l a t i v e t er m . I N M Y O W N SHORT
LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE SEEMINGLY IMPOSSIBLE BECOME ESTABLISHED
SCIENTIFIC FACT OVER AND OVER A G A I N . S o i s i t i m p o s s i
b l e t o t h i n k w e m i gh t o n e d a y b e a b l e t o
- 11. 11 teleport ourselves from one place to another, or build a
spaceship t h a t wi l l o n e d a y t a k e u s l i g h t - y e a
r s t o t h e s t a r s ? . I f w e w er e t o s o m e h o w en c
ou n t er a c i v i l i z at i o n a mi l l i o n y e a r s m o r e
ad v a n c ed t h a n ou r s , w ou l d t h e i r e v e r y d a y t
ec h n o l o g y a p p e a r t o b e m a g i c t o u s ? . J u s t
b ec a u s e s o m e t h i n g i s i m p o s s i b l e t o d a y ,
w i l l i t r e m a i n i m p o s s i b l e c e n t u r i e s o r m
i l li o n s o f y e a r s i n t o t h e fu t u r e ? . G i v en t
h e r e m a r k ab l e a d v a n c e s i n s c i en c e i n t h e p
a s t c en t u r y , e s p e c i a l l y t h e c r e a t i o n o f
t h e q u a n t u m t h e or y a n d g e n e r a l r e l a t i v i
t y , i t i s n o w p o s s i b l e t o gi v e r o u g h e s t i m
a t e s o f w h en , i f e v e r , s o m e o f t h e s e f a n t a
s t i c t e c h n o l o g i e s m a y b e r e a l i z ed . W i t h
t h e c o mi n g o f e v e n m o r e ad v a n c ed t h e o r i e s
, su c h a s s t r i n g t h e or y , e v e n c on c e p t s b o r
d er i n g o n s c i e n c e fi c t i o n , s u c h a s t i m e t r
a v e l andp ar a l l e l universes,arenowb ec o m i n g
re-evaluatedby p h y s i c i s t s . T h i n k b ac k 1 5 0 y e a r
s t o t h o s e t e c h n o l o g i c a l ad v a n c e s t h a t w
er e d ec l a r ed i m p o s s i b l e b y sc i e n t i s t s a t t
h e t i m e an d t h a t h a v e n o w b ec o m e p a r t o f ou r
e v e r y d a y li v e s . J u l e s V er n e w r o t e a n o v e l
i n 1 8 6 3 , P a r i s i n t h e T w en t i et h C en t u r y , w
h i c h w a s l oc k e d a w a y a n d f o r g o t t en f o r o v e
r a c en t u r y u n t i l i t w a s a c c i d en t a l l y d i s c
o v e r ed b y h i s gr e a t - gr a n d s o n a n d p u b l i s h
ed f or t h e f i r st t i m e in 1994. In it Verne predicted what
Paris might look like in the y e a r 1 9 6 0 . Hi s n o v e l w a s
fi l l e d w i t h t ec h n o l o g y t h at w a s c l e ar l y c o
n s i d er e d i m p o s s i b l e i n t h e n i n et e e n t h c
en t u r y , i n c l u d i n g f a x machines,a world-wide
communications n et w o r k , glass s k y s c r a p er s , g a s -
p o w e r ed a u t o m ob i l e s , a n d h i g h - s p e ed el e v
a t e d
- 12. 12 t r a i n s N o t s u r p r i s i n g l y , V e r n e c
o u ld m a k e s u c h st u n n i n g l y ac c u r a t e p r e d i
c t i o n s b e c au s e h e w a s i m m e r s e d i n t h e w o r
l d o f s c i e n c e , p i c k i n g t h e b r a i n s o f s c i
en t i s t s a r ou n d h i m . A d e e p a p p r e c i at i o n f
o r t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s o f sc i e n c e a l l o w e d h
i m t o m a k e s u c h s t a r t l i n g p r e d i c t i o n s . I
R O N I C A L L Y , T H E S E R I O U S S T U D Y O F T H E I M P O
S S I B L E H A S F R E Q U E N T L Y O P E N E D U P RI C H A N D
E N T I R E L Y U N E X P E C T E D D O M AI N S O F S C I E N C E
. F o r e x a m p l e , over the c en t u r i e s thef r u s t r at
i n g andfutile search fora p e r p et u a l m o t i o n m a c h i
n e l ed p h y s i c i s t s t o c on c lu d e t h at s u c h a
machinewas impossible,f or c i n gthem to postulatethe c o n s e r
v a t i on o f e n er g y an d t h e t h r e e l a w s o f t h er m
o d y n a m i c s . T h u s t h e f u t i l e s e a r c h t o b u i
l d p er p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e s h el p e d t o o p
e n u p t h e e n t i r e l y n e w fi e l d o f t h er m o d y n a
m i c s , w h i c h i n p ar t l a i d t h e f o u n d a t i on o f
t h e st e a m e n gi n e , t h e m ac h i n e a g e , a n d m o d
er n i n d u s t r i a l s o c i e t y . W e i gn o r e t h e i m p
o s s i b l e a t ou r p er i l . I n t h e 1 9 2 0 s a n d 1 9 3 0
s R o b er t G o d d a r d , t h e f o u n d er o f m o d er n r o
c k et r y , w a s t h e s u b j e c t o f i n t en s e c r i t i c
i s m b y t h o s e w h o t h o u gh t t h a t r o c k et s c o u
ld n e v e r t r a v e l i n o u t er s p a c e . T h e y s a r c a
s t i c a l l y c a l l ed h i s p u r s u i t G o d d a r d s F o
l l y . I n 1 9 2 1 t h e ed i t or s o f t h e N e w Y o r k T i m
e s r a i l ed a g a i n s t Dr . G o d d a r d s w o r k : P r o f
e s s o r G od d ar d d o e s n o t k n o w t h e r e l a t i o n b
e t w e en a c t i o n a n d r e a c t i o n a n d t h e n e e d t
o h a v e s o m e t h i n g b et t e r t h an a v a c u u m a g a i
n s t w h i c h t o r e ac t . H e s e e m s t o l a c k t h e b a
s i c knowledgel ad l e d ou tdaily in highschools.R o c k et sw er
e
- 13. 13 i mp o s s i b l e , t h e ed i t or s h u f f ed , b e
c au s e t h er e w a s n o a i r t o pu s h a g a i n st i n o u t
e r s p a c e. S ad l y , o n e h e a d o f s t at e d i d u n d e
r s t an d t h e i m p l i c a t i on s o f G od d a r d s i m p o
s s i b l e r o c k et s A d o l p h H i t l e r . D u r i n g W o
r l d W a r I I , G e r m an y s b ar r a g e o f i m p o s s i b l
y ad v a n c e d V - 2 r oc k e t s r a i n ed d e a t h an d d e s
t r u c t i o n o n L o n d on , a l m o s t b r i n gi n g i t t o
i t s k n e e s . T i m e a n d a g a i n w e s e e t h a t t h e s
t u d y o f t h e i mp o s s i b l e h a s o p e n ed u p e n t i r
e l y n e w v i s t a s , pushing the boundaries of physics and
chemistry and forcing scientists to redefine what they mean by
impossible. As Sir W i l l i a m O s l e r o n c e s a i d , T H E
P H I L O S O P H I E S O F O N E A G E H A V E
BECOMETHEABSURDITIESOFTHENEXT, AND THE FOOLISHNESS OF YESTERDAY HAS
BECOME THE WISDOM OF T OM O R R O W . . M a n y p h y s i c i s t s
s u b sc r i b e t o t h e f a m o u s d i c t u m o f T . H . W h
i t e , w h o wr o t e i n T h e O n c e a n d F u t u r e K i n g
, A n y t h i n g t h a t i s n o t f o r b i d d e n , i s m a n d
at o r y ! I n ph y s i c s w e f i n d e v i d e n c e o f t h i s
a l l t h e t i m e . F o r e x a m p l e , c o s m o l o g i s t S
t e p h e n H a w k i n g t r i ed t o p r o v e t h at t i m e t r
a v e l w a s i m p o s s i b l e b y fi n d i n g a n e w law
ofphysicsthatw o u ld forbidit,which he c a l l edthe c h r o n o l
o g y p r o t ec t i on c o n j ec t u r e . U n f or t u n a t e l
y , a f t er m a n y y e a r s o f h ar d w o r k h e w a s u n a b
l e t o pr o v e t h i s pr i n c i pl e . I n f a c t , t o t h e
c o n t r a r y , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e n o w d e m on s t r
a t ed t h a t a l a w t h a t p r e v e n t s t i m e t r a v e l
i s b e y o n d o u r pr e s e n t - d a y m a t h e m a t i c s .
T od a y , b ec a u s e t h e r e i s n o l a w o f ph y s i c s p
r e v e n t i n g t h e e x i s t e n c e o f t i m e m a c h i n e
s , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e h ad t o t a k e t h e i r p o s s
i b i l i t y
- 14. 14 very seriously . Already one impossible technology is
now p r o v i n g t o b e p o s s i b l e: t h e n ot i o n o f t e
l e p o r t a t i on ( at l e a s t a t t h e l e v e l o f at o m
s ) . E v e n a f e w y e a r s a g o p h y s i c i s t s w o u ld
h a v e s a i d t h a t s e n d i n g o r b e a m i n g an o b j ec
t f r o m o n e p o i n t t o an o t h er v i o l a t ed t h e l a
w s o f q u an t u m ph y s i c s . T h e w r i t er s o f t h e o
r i g i n a l Star Trek television series, in fact, were so stung
by the criticism f r o m p h y s i c i st s t h a t t h e y ad d ed
H e i s e n b er g c o m p en s a t o r s t o e x p l a i n t e l e
p o r t e r s i n o r d e r t o a d d r e s s t h i s f l a w . T o
d a y , b ec a u s e o f a r e c en t b r e a k t h r o u g h , ph
y s i c i s t s c a n t el e p o r t a t o m s ac r o s s a r o o m
or p h ot o n s u n d er t h e D a n u b e R i v er . [ 1 7 4 ] T o
r e a d m o r e o n t h i s c i t a t i o n , g o t o A ma z o n a
t h t t p : / / a m z n . t o / d H G k O W F r u i t f u l l y p l
a n t i n g i n w h i c h t e n s e? T h e h e r i t a g e o f t h
e p a s t i s t h e s e ed t h a t b r i n g s f o r t h t h e h a
r v e s t o f t h e f u t u r e . I n s c r i p t i o n f r o m s t
a t u a r y pe d e s t a l a t N a t i o n a l Archives in
Washington Many forces are not predictable but some others are
predictable based on omniscience! Y o g i B e r r a : P r ed i c t
i on i s v e r y h ar d , e s p e c i a l l y w h en i t ' s ab o u
t the future. [171]
- 15. 15 W h o c r e a t e s t h e fu t u r e a n d w h o d o e s
n t ? M i c h a e l A n i s s i m o v : O n e o f t h e b i g g e s
t fl a w s i n t h e c o m m on c o n c ep t i on o f t h e f u t u
r e i s t h at t h e f u t u r e i s s o m e t h i n g t h a t h a
p p en s t o u s, n ot s o m e t h i n g w e c r e a t e . [ 1 4 2
] What are the ruthless drivers? Ha r o l d V a r m u s , N I H D i
r e c t o r : T h e r e a r e t h r e e g r e a t t h e m e s i n s
c i e n c e i n t h e t w en t i et h c e n t u r y t h e at o m ,
t h e c o m pu t e r , a n d t h e g e n e. [ 1 7 1 ] I n t e r a c
t i n g w i t h t h e fu t u r e? R a i n e r M a r i a R i l k e :
T h e fu t u r e e n t e r s i n t o u s i n o r d er t o t r a n s
f o r m i t s e l f i n u s l o n g b e f or e i t h a p p en s . [
1 4 2] I can offer this perspective as of now (the wonderful
continuum) a n d u n d e r m y h u m a n a n d h u m a n e pe r s p
e c t i v e . I d o l i k e a g r e a t d e a l s c i e n c e a n d
t e c h n o l o g y , b u t o n l y t o t h e t r u e s t s e r v
ic e o f t h e g l o b a l c i v i l i za t i o n . G i v e n t h e
u b i q u i t o u s d y n a m i c s s h i f t i n g t h r o u g h
tsunamis,these days Ifindthetermcontinuumbeyond i n e f f e c t u a
l a n d m o s t l y lu d i c r o u s .
- 16. 16 N o n e t h e l e s s , i f y o u w a n t t o r e a l i
t y - c h e c k t h e s e r e f le c t i o n s , y o u will be
able, soonest, to have every detailed explanation by, say, an o m n
i s c i e n t r o b o t h o v e r i n g m i d a i r i f y o u i n d
e f in i t e l y p o s t p o n e y o u r h o m e w o r k a n d f a
i l t o d o y o u r o w n in d e p e n d e n t r e s e a r c h , d
o n e for and by you (as of now). What to consider about gauging
the future? W i r e d ( 1 9 9 4 ) : T h e f u t u r e b e l on g s
t o n ei t h er t h e c on d u i t o r c o n t en t p l a y e r s ,
b u t t h o s e w h o c on t r o l t h e f i lt e r i n g , s e a r
c h i n g a n d s e n s e - m a k i n g t o o l s w e w i l l r e l
y o n t o n a v i g a t e t h r ou g h t h e e x p a n s i on o f c
yb e r s p a c e . [ 1 4 5 ] Horses, dogs and robotic dominance of
all? S a m u e l B u t l e r ( 1 8 6 3 l e t t e r ) : W h o wi l l
b e m a n s s u c c e s s o r ? T o whichthe answer is: Wear e
ourselvescreating ourown s u c c e s s o r s . M an w i l l b e c o
m e t o t h e m a c h i n e wh a t t h e h o r s e an d t h e d o g
a r e t o m a n ; t h e c on c lu s i o n b ei n g t h at m ac h i
n e s a r e, or a r e b ec o m i n g , a n i m a t e. [ 1 4 2] G o
t o a n y s n a i l p a c e d n e w s p a p e r s ( on l i n e o r
o l d - f a s h i o n e d o f f l i n e ) i n a d e v e l o p i n g
c o u n t r y a n d t h i s y o u l l f in d w i t h i n t h e
daily headlines: Fiction immensely superseded through many
- 17. 17 orders of magnitudes (that is, by hyper-geometrical
exponential rates) by realities, that is: the most incontrovertible
and yet the most dramatic realities. People kind of see a part of
the waves, but are famously infamously u n a wa r e t h a t m o s t
p e r v a s i v e c u r r e n t s u n d e r n e a t h a re t h e t
r u e d y n a m o s o f t h e s e s w i r l i n g c ha n g e d c h
a n g e s . Brainy ones hyper-accelerating industries and beyond? J
u a n E n r i q u e z : M e an w h i l e , l on e i n d i v i d u a
l s a r e b i r t h i n g n o t j u st c o m p a n i e s b u t e n
t i r e i n d u s t r i e s t h a t r ap i d l y b e c o m e b i g
g e r t h a n t h e e c o n o m i e s o f m o s t c ou n t r i e s
. B u t u n li k e gr o w t h i n d u st r i e s o f t h e p a s t
c ar s an d a e r o s p a c e , f o r e x a m p l e t h e i n d u s
t r i e s t h at w i l l d o m i n at e ou r f u t u r e d e p e n
d o n j u st a f e w s m a r t m i n d s N o t a l o t o f m an p o
w e r S o d u r i n g a p e r i o d o f pr o s p e r i t y a n d ec
o n o m i cgr o w t h Wealth is evermoremobile and c o n c en t r a
t e d . [ 1 6 3 ] What is the current rate of change? What is the
as-of-now r a t e o f t e c h n o l o g i c a l a n d s c i e n t i
f i c k n o w l e d g e do u b l i n g ? Mark Miller, computer
scientist: You know, things are going to b e r e a l l y d i f f er
e n t N o , n o , I m e a n r e a l l y d i f f e r en t . [ 1 4 2
]
- 18. 18 What are we morphing into? S i r A r t h u r C . C la r
k e : I t s a l s o a t ou r d e f o r c e o f p h ot o g r a p h y
: t h e i m a g e s r e v e a l a wh o l e n e w or d e r o f c r e
a t i on a b o u t t o c o m e i n t o e x i s t en c e. N o o n e
w h o h a s an y i n t e r e s t i n t h e fu t u r e c a n a f f o
r d it. [164] The outcomesstemmingofthe intermixingof the exuberant
technologies? J u a n E n r i q u e z : Y ou a n d y o u r c h i l
d r e n ar e a b o u t t o f a c e a s e r i e s o f u n p r ec e d
en t ed m o r a l , et h i c a l , e c on o m i c , a n d f i n an
c i a l i s s u e s . T h e c h oi c e s y o u m a k e [ a s w e l
l a s t h o s e y o u r e f ai l i n g t o m a k e b e c au s e o f
l a c k o f d e t a i l e d , a d v a n c ed a n d d e e p a w a r
e n e s s ] wi l l i mp a c t w h er e y o u l i v e , w h at y o u
e a r n , w h a t y o u r g r an d c h i ld r en w i l l l o o k l
i k e, h o w l on g y o u l i v e . I t a l l s t a r t s b e c au
s e w e a r e m i xi n g a p p l e s , or a n g e s , a n d f l o p
p y d i s k s . [ 1 6 3 ] W ha t i s i t m e a n t b y F u t u r e
? W h e n s p e a k in g a b o u t F UT U R E a s t h e u n d e r s
i g n e d i s s p e a k in g a b o u t c ha n g e , t h e r e i s i
n c lu d e d positive change and negative change (as well as the
grave tradeoffs b e t w e e n [ a ] p o s i t i v e c h a n g e a n
d [ b] n e g a t i v e c ha n g e ) . H o w e v e r ,
- 19. 19 t h e e m p h a s i s i s t o u n d e r p i n t h e u p
s i d e c h a n g e s a n d t o c r i p p le t h e downside
changes. Theundersigned willalsobe reflecting aboutsomeofthe c o n
s e q u e n c e s a n d p o s s i b i l i t i e s b y s a i d c ha
n g e s a n d t r a d e o f f s . F r o m p e r e n n i a l l y u p
g r a d e d k n o w l e dg e i n t o d e c i s i v e , r u l i n g
empires? J u a n E n r i q u e z : T h e k n o w l e d g e r e v o
lu t i on i s t a k i n g p l ac e i n s m a l l , s h a r p l y d
e f i n e d a r e a s . O n e c o m p a n y g e n e r at e s m o r
e U . S . p at e n t s t h a n 1 3 9 c ou n t r i e s d o t o g e t
h e r T h i s [ r e v o lu t i on ] g e n er a t e s n e w E M P I
R E S a n d n e w g h e t t o s . I t s l a m s i n t o e x i s t i
n g s y s t e m s an d d e s t r o y s t h e m w h i l e c r e at i
n g n e w s y s t e m s . C o u n t r i e s and individuals can
either surf new and powerful waves of change or try to stop them
and get crushed. [163] S h o c k i n g t i m e s e q u a t e t o s
h o c k i n g fu t u r es ? J o s e O r t e g a y G a s s e t : L i
f e i s a s e r i e s o f c o l l i s i on s w i t h t h e fu t u r
e ; i t i s n o t t h e s u m o f w h a t w e h a v e b e e n , b u
t w h at w e y e a r n t o b e . [149] W hy e v e r y t h i n g c h
a n g e s , b e g i n n i n g w i t h c h a n g e i t s e l f
?
- 20. 20 N i c o l a T e s l a , 1 8 9 6 , I n v e n t o r o f A
l t e r n a t i v e C u r r e n t : I d o n ot t h i n k t h e r e
i s a n y t h r i l l t h at c a n g o t h r ou g h t h e h u m a n
h e a r t li k e t h at f e l t b y t h e i n v e n t o r a s h e s
e e s s o m e c r e at i o n o f t h e b r ai n unfolding to
success. [142] Is the new paradigm changing to so many paradigms
simultaneouslyr es u l t i n gimpossibleto figure out any paradigm
correctly? Juan Enriquez: M an y people,even someofthe h e ad s of
m e g a c or p o r a t i on s , f e e l t h a t t h e w o r l d i s
m o v i n g t o o f a s t a s companies, even industries,
disappear. [163] W h a t a r e t h e b r a i n s p r i o r i t i e
s b e y on d s e i z i n g l i f e - s u p p o r t capabilities for
its own sustainability? Michael Polanyi: The mind isattracted by b
e au t i fu l [and ad v a n c e d ] p r o b l e m s , p r o m i s i
n g b e a u t i f u l [ a n d u s e fu l s o l u t i o n s ] .
[160] What hasbecomeof fate and d es t i n yintimes that
neuroscienceresearchersare comingoutwithsome
- 21. 21 PRELIMINARYoutcomes that seem tosuggest: The p r e s en
t i s a f u n c t i o n o f t h e f u t u r e ? R o b e r t T h e o
b a l d : O u r f u t u r e i s d e t er m i n ed b y t h e a c t i
o n s o f a l l o f u s a l i v e t od a y . O u r c h o i c e s d
et e r m i n e o u r d e s t i n y . [ 1 6 0 ] Which destiny is
that? W i l l i a m J e n n i n g s B r y a n : D e s t i n y i s n
o t a m at t e r o f c h an c e i t i s a m a t t e r o f c h o i c
e . I t i s n o t a t h i n g t o b e w a i t ed f o r i t i s a t
h i n g t o be achieved. [174] W h a t a r e t h e c o s m o l o g
i c a l t r a i t s o f t h i s o v e r - f r a g m e n t ed
society? Indeed! D a v i d B r i n : W h a t d i st i n g u i s h e
s s o c i e t y t o d a y i s n o t o n l y t h e p a c e o f e v e
n t s , b u t a l s o t h e n at u r e o f t h e t o o l k i t f o
r f a c i n g t h e fu t u r e . [160] What are the origins of
future? Donot presume thatpastsuccess i n d i c at e s future i mp
r e g n ab i l i t y . [ 1 5 4]
- 22. 22 There is here a point of view about change (as change is
partly explored here): A d a m G o r d o n : W e h a v e s e e n e
y e - p o p p i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s ac r o s s s o c i e t
y , t ec h n o l o g y , i n s t i t u t i on s , a n d p r od u c
t s an d s e r v i c e s i n t h e l a s t g en e r a t i o n ; t h
i s wi l l s u r e l y c o n t i n u e i n t o t h e fu t u r e . i
f w e d e c i d e t o d a y t o l au n c h a pr o d u c t , b u y a
h ou s e , s t u d y f o r a d e g r e e , b u i l d a n e w l i gh
t r ai l s y s t e m , o r t a k e a n y s i m i l a r d e c i s i
on o f s i g n i f i c a n c e, t h e e n v i r o n m e n t o f t o
m o r r o w wi l l b e a k e y f a c t o r i n t h e s u c c e s s
o r f ai l u r e o f t h at d e c i s i on . O u r d ec i s i o n s
ar e o n l y a s good astheviewofthefu t u r e they reston[profound
understanding of all of the driving forces shaping and re-shaping t
h e en v i r o n m en t ] . A l l o p p or t u n i t i e s a n d s
u c c e s s e s an d pr o f i t s ar e r e a l i z e d i n t h e f
u t u r e . A l l t h r e at s , f a i l u r e s , a n d l o s s e
s a r e r e a l i z ed i n t h e f u t u r e . E i t h er w a y , t
h e e a r l i e r a n d c l e a r er w e s e e f u t u r e c i r c
u m s t an c e s , t h e b e t t e r w e wi l l b e a b l e t o b e
n e f i t b y c h a n gi n g ou r c u r r e n t r e c i p e s f or
s u c c e s s t o k e e p u p wi t h t h e c h a n g e s i n t h e
w o r l d . T h e b e t t e r m an a g e r s v i e w o f t h e fu t
u r e , t h e b et t e r t h ei r d e c i s i o n s w i l l t u r n
ou t t o b e . [ 1 0 2 ] H o w d o e s c h a n g e a n d fu t u r e
i n t e r r e l a t e ? Alvin Toffler: Change is the process by
which the future invades our lives. [147]
- 23. 23 W e h a v e g o n e u b i q u i t o u s l y d i g i t a
l a n d g en e t i c a n d t h e c o n s eq u e n c e s areu n p r
on o u n c e a b l e eveninor d e r sof magnitude? J u a n E n r i
q u e z : D i g i t a l c o d e i s w h a t d r i v e s r a p i d s
p e e d g r o wt h t od a y . I t a l l o w s m er g e r s li k e A
O L T i m e W ar n e r I t d r i v e s t h e I n t er n et , TV,
music, f i n an c e , IT,news coverage,research, m a n u f a c t u
r i n g . A f e w c o u n t r i e s an d c o m p an i e s u n d e r
s t o o d t h e c h a n g e . T h a t i s h o w p o o r c ou n t r
i e s l i k e Fi n l a n d , S i n g a p o r e , a n d T ai w a n g
o t s o w e a l t h y S o q u i c k l y B u t a l o t o f f o l k s
j u s t d i d n ot l e a r n t o r e a d a n d w r i t e a n e w l
a n g u a g e An d e v e n t h o u g h t h e y p r od u c e d m or
e a n d m o r e g o o d s , p ar t i c u l a r l y c o m m o d i t
i e s A n d e v e n t h ou g h t h e y r e s t r u c t u r e d c o
m p a n i e s a n d g o v e r n m en t s C u t b u d g e t s , r a
i s e d t a x e s , b u i l t l a r g e f a c t o r i e s an d b u
i l d i n g s T h e y g o t a l o t p o o r e r . ( I n 1 9 3 8 t h
e r i c h e s t c ou n t r y p er p e r s o n i n A s i a w a s t h
e P h i l i p p i n e s . I n 1 9 5 4 , ac c or d i n g t o t h e W
o r l d B an k , t h e m o s t p r o m i s i n g A s i a n e c on o
m y w a s B u r m a . B ot h r e m a i n c o m m o d i t y ec o n o
m i e s B o t h a r e s i d e l i n ed fr o m t h e d i gi t a l r
e v o l u t i on A n d y o u p r ob a b l y w ou l d n ot li k e t
o l i v e i n e i t h e r c o u n t r y ) . Y o u r w o r l d c h
an g e d wh e n y o u w en t O n L i n e . O n e d a y y o u u s e
d a f a x or e - m a i l An d i t s o o n b e c a m e h a r d t o c
o n c ei v e o f li v i n g w i t h on l y s n a i l m a i l. I f y
o u u n d e r s t o o d t h i s c h a n g e e a r l y A n d i n v e
s t e d o r w o r k ed i n s o m e o f t h e c o m p a n i e s d r
i v i n g t h e
- 24. 24 d i g i t a l r e v o l u t i o n Y o u a r e p r ob a b
l y q u i t e w e l l o f f ( a s a c o u n t r y a n d / or a s a
n i n d i v i d u a l ) . I f y o u c a m e l a t e, a s a s p e c
u l a t or , w i t h ou t u n d er s t a n d i n g w h a t a d i gi
t a l l a n g u a g e d o e s , o r d o e s n ot d o Y o u p r o b
a b l y l o s t a l o t o f m o n e y d u r i n g t h e y e a r 2 0
0 0 . Y o u r w o r l d a n d y o u r l a n g u a g e ar e a b ou t
t o c h an g e a g a i n . T h e t w o n u c l e o t i d e b a s e
p ai r s t h at c od e a l l li f e A - T , C - G H a v e a l r e
ad y l e d s o m e o f t h e w o r ld s l a r g e s t c o m p an i
e s M on s a n t o D u P o n t N o v a r t i s I B M H o e s c h s
t C o m p a q G l a x o S m i t h K l i n e T o d ec l a r e t h at
t h ei r f u t u r e li e s i n l i f e s c i en c e . T h e y h a
v e a b a n d o n ed , s o l d , s p u n o f f c o r e b u si n e s
s d i vi s i o n s A n d l a u n c h e d t h e m s e l v e s i n t
o s e l l i n g c o m pl e t e l y n e w p r o d u c t s Whichis wh
y so many chemical,seed, cosmetic,food, p h a r m a c eu t i c a l
c o m p an i e s Ar e p a r t n e r i n g , M e r g i n g , G r o w
i n g . S o m e l i f e - s c i e n c e c o m p a n i e s w i l l c
r a s h s p ec t a c u l a r l y Ot h e r s w i l l g et l ar g e r
t h an M i c r o s o f t an d C i s c o ( C o m p a n i e s t h a t
a r e alreadyl ar g e r t h an the e c o n o mi e sofmostof the w o
r ld s c o u n t r i e s . ) . T h e w or l d s m e g a - m e r g
er s a r e g o i n g t o b e d r i v e n b y d i g i t a l an d g e
n e t i c c od e . C o n s i d e r w h a t i s a b o u t t o h a p
p e n t o m ed i c i n e . Y o u c u r r e n t l y s p e n d a b o
u t n i n e t i m e s a s m u c h f o r d o c t or s a n d m e d i
c a l i n t er v e n t i on s A s y o u d o o n m ed i c i n e s a
n d p r e v e n t i o n . I n t h e m e a s u r e t h at w e u n d
e r s t a n d h o w v i r u s e s , b a c t er i a , a n d o u r b
o d i e s a r e pr o g r a m m e d An d h o w t h e y c a n b e
reprogrammed Treatmentwi l l shift frome m e r g en c y i n t er v
e n t i o n s T o w a r d d e l i b e r a t e a n d p e r s o n a l
i z ed p r e v e n t i o n
- 25. 25 ( Ju s t a s d en t i st r y d i d . ) . An d w e m a y
e n d u p s p e n d i n g j u s t a s mu c h o n p h ar m a c e u t
i c a l s a s w e d o o n d oc t or s . T h e s e m ed i c i n e s
d o n ot h a v e t o b e p i l l s or i n j ec t i o n s T h e y c
ou ld b e a p a r t o f t h e food you eat every day, your soap or
cosmetics Perhaps you w i l l i n h a l e t h e m o r s i m p l y
pu t v a r i o u s p a t c h e s o n y o u r s k i n . ( T h i s
iswh y P r o c t er & Gamble isthinking of m er g i n g wi t ha
p h a r m a c eu t i c a lc o m p an y , whyLOral is hiring m o l
ec u l ar b i o l o g i s t s , a n d w h y C a m p b e l l s i s s
e l l i n g s o u p s d e s i gn e d f o r h o s p i t a l p a t i
e n t s wi t h s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s . ) . [ 1 6 3 ] Can
we exercise our brains to solve complex problems e m b e d d e d i
n t h e f u t u r e f o r t h e s a k e o f t h e c u r r en t p r
e s e n t ? D r . M a r s h a l l M c L u h a n , P h . D . ( 1 9 6
2 ) : O u r w o r ld t o m or r o w w i l l b e u t t e r l y d i f
f e r en t , i n w a y s w e c an n o t e v e n c on c ei v e . [ 1
7 5 ] What hijacks what? Dr. Stephen Covey: Again,yesterdayh o ld s
tomorrow h o s t a g e . M e m or y i s p a s t . I t i s f i n i t
e . V i s i o n i s fu t u r e . I t i s i n f i n i t e. V i s i o
n i s g r e a t er t h an h i s t o r y [ 1 5 3 ] T h e c o n s e q
u en c e s o f a w or l d g o i n g f r o m r ou n d t o f l a t
?
- 26. 26 Thomas Friedman: the flattening of the world is going to
be h u g e l y d i s r u p t i v e t o b ot h t r ad i t i o n a l
a n d d e v e l o p e d s o c i et i e s . T h e w e a k wi l l f a
l l f u r t h e r b e h i n d f a s t e r . T h e t r ad i t i o n
a l w i ll f e e l t h e f o r c e o f m od e r n i z a t i o n m u
c h m o r e pr o f o u n d l y . T h e n e w w i l l g et t u r n e
d i n t o o l d q u i c k er . T h e d e v e l o p e d w i l l b e
c h a l l en g e d b y t h e u n d e r d e v e l o p e d mu c h m
or e pr o f o u n d l y . I w o r r y , b e c a u s e s o m u c h p
o l i t i c a l s t a b i l i t y i s b u i lt o n ec o n o m i c s
t a b i l i t y , a n d e c o n o m i c s t ab i l i t y i s n ot g
o i n g t o b e a f e a t u r e o f t h e f l a t w o r ld . A d d
i t a l l u p a n d y o u c a n s e e t h a t t h e d i s r u p t i
o n s a n d g o i n g t o c o m e f a s t er a n d h ar d er . N o
o n e i s i m m u n e n ot m e , n o t y o u , n o t M i c r o s o
f t . W e ar e en t er i n g a n e r a o f c r e at i v e d e s t r
u c t i o n o n s t er o i d s . D e a l i n g w i t h f l at i s m
i s g o i n g t o b e a c h al l e n g e o f a w h o l e n e w d i
m e n s i on e v e n i f y o u r c o u n t r y h a s a s t r a t e
g y . B u t i f y o u d o n t h a v e a s t r a t e g y a t a l l ,
w e l l , a g a i n , y o u v e w a r n ed [ 1 3 9 ] W hy t h i s c
h a n g e d c h a n g e i s u n pr e c e d e n t e d a n d d i f f
e r e n t ? S a n F r a n c i s c o fu t u r i s t J a m e s C a n
t o n o f f er s i n s i g h t . C I O I n s i g h t : I n T h e E
x t r e m e Fu t u r e, y o u s a y t h e 2 1 s t c en t u r y i s
g o i n g t o b e l i g h t n i n g - f a s t , c o m p l e x an d
d r i v en b y d i s r u p t i v e changes.Buta r en ' twea lr e a
d y in thisextremefuture? [RESPONDING THE QUESTION,] JAMES CANTON
[INDICATES]: WE ARE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT THE POINT OF MY BOOK
IS THAT THINGS ARE GOING TO GET EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE,
- 27. 27 C O M P L E X A N D C O M P E T I T I V E ; T H I N G S
A R E N O T G OI N G T O E A S E O F F , T H E Y ' R E A C T U A L
L Y G OI N G T O A C C E L E R A T E . [ 1 3 8 ] W h a t a r e t h
e o r g a n i c p r o p e rt i e s o f c h a n g e a n d i t s i m
p a c t ? David Schlesinger, global managing director at Reuters,
indicates: C h a n g e i s h ar d . C h an g e i s h ar d e s t o n
t h o s e c au g h t b y s u r pr i s e . C h a n g e i s h ar d e
s t o n t h o s e w h o h a v e d i f f i c u lt y c h a n g i n g
t o o . B u t c h a n g e i s n a t u r a l ; c h an g e i s n ot n
e w ; c h an g e i s i m p or t a n t . [ 1 3 9 ] T h e u n i v e r
s e a n d t h e m o r r ow ? I sa a c A s i m o v : Hu m a n i t y
h a s t h e s t a r s i n i t s fu t u r e , a n d t h at f u t u r
e i s t o o i m p o r t an t t o b e l o s t u n d er t h e b u r d
e n o f j u v e n i l e f o l l y a n d i gn o r a n t s u p er s t
i t i o n . [ 1 4 1 ] Understanding the universe as we dont think
it is and as many people cannot align it with their belief system?
D r . C a r l S a ga n , P h D : I t i s f a r b e t t er t o g r a
s p t h e u n i v e r s e a s i t r e a l l y i s t h an t o p e r
s i s t i n d e l u s i on , h o w e v e r s a t i s f y i n g a n
d r e a s s u r i n g. [ 1 5 7 ] W h o s e r e a l i t i e s a n d
m y t hs a r e t h o s e?
- 28. 28 Voltaire(1694 1778), French writer andphilosopher: E v e
r y t h i n g s f i n e t o d a y , t h a t i s ou r i l l u s i on
. [ 1 5 7 ] Is anyone exaggerating about the dynamics of change? I
a n P e a r s o n : B y m i d - c e n t u r y , c o m p u t e r s w
i l l b e l i n k e d d i r ec t l y i n t o o u r n e r v o u s s
y s t e m s v i a n an o t e c h n o l o g y , wh i c h i s s o s m
a l l i t c o u l d c on n ec t e v e r y n e u r o n i n o u r b r
a i n s . B y a b ou t 2 0 4 0, t h e r e w i l l b e a b a c k u p
o f o u r b r ai n s i n a c o m p u t e r s o m e w h e r e , s o
t h a t w h en y o u d i e i t w on t b e a m a j o r c a r e e r p
r o b l e m . [ 1 4 0] Q u e s t i o n : A l l e g e d l y , T o w
h a t e x t e n t i s t h e w or l d c h a n g i n g and what are
someofthec o n s e q u en c e s ,sometimes infamously ignored? D r
. S t e p h e n C o v e y : T h e w o r ld h a s pr o f o u n d l y
c h a n g ed T h e c h a l l e n g e s a n d c o m p l e x i t y w
e f ac e i n o u r p e r s o n a l li v e s an d r e l a t i on s h
i p s , i n o u r f a m i li e s , i n o u r p r o f e s s i o n a
l li v e s , an d i n ou r o r g an i z a t i on s ar e o f a d i f
f e r en t or d er o f m a g n i t u d e . I n f ac t , many mark
1989 the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin W al l a s t h e
b e g i n n i n g o f t h e I n f o r m a t i o n A g e , t h e b i
r t h o f a n e w r e a l i t y , a s e a c h an g e o f i n c r e
d i b l e s i g n i fi c a n c e t r u l y a n e w e r a B e i n g
e f f e c t i v e a s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d o r g a n i z a t
i o n s i s n o l o n g er
- 29. 29 m er e l y a n o p t i o n s u r v i v a l i n t o d a y
s w o r l d r e q u i r e s i t . B u t i n o r d e r t o t h r i v
e , i n n o v a t e , e x c el , a n d l e a d i n w h a t C o v e
y c a l l s t h e n e w Kn o w l e d g e W o r k er A g e, w e m u
s t b u i l d o n a n d m o v e b e y o n d e f f ec t i v en e s s
[ l o n g - h e l d a s s u m p t i o n s , f a l l ac i e s a n d
f l a w e d b e l i e f s a n d f au l t y c on v e n t i o n s ]
Ac c e s s i n g t h e h i g h e r le v e l s o f h u m a n g e n i
u s a n d m o t i v a t i o n i n t o d a y s n e w r e a li t y R
E Q U I R E S A S E A C H A N G E I N T H I N K I N G : a n e w m i
n d - s e t , a n e w s k i ll - s e t , a n e w t o o l - s e t i
n s h or t , a w h o l e n e w h a b i t . [ 1 5 3 ] B r i n g i n
g d o w n a h a n d fu l o f m i l l e n a r y f a l l a c i e s i
n t h e twentieth-one century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r
l C o x : Fr o m C on v e n t i on a l W i s d o m t o S h o c k i
n g P r o b ab i l i t y . M a y b e s o m e d a y , s o o n er o r
l at e r , t r u l y i n t e l l i g e n t m ac h i n e s w i l l b
e b u i l t . Un t i l t h a t t i m e , s p e c u l at i o n w i l
l ab o u n d . M u c h o f t h a t s p e c u l a t i o n i s b a s
e d o n w h a t m i g h t b e c a l l e d C o n v en t i on a l W i
sd o m , t h e u n d e r l y i n g a s s u m p t i on s an d c o n
v e n t i o n s w e c ol l e c t i v e l y s h a r e . W e c an l i
s t s o m e o f t h e s e a s s u m p t i o n s a s f o l l o w s :
T h e n e x t c en t u r y wi l l b e a n e x t en s i o n o f t h
i s o n e , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g l y s m a r t e r m a c h i
n e s b ei n g r u n b y p e o p l e a n d f o r p e o p l e B e c
au s e t h e h u m a n m i n d i s l i n k e d t o a s o u l , c yb
e r n e t i c m a c h i n e s wi l l n e v er b e f u l l y s e l f
- a w a r e l i k e w e a r e I f i n t e l l i g e n t r o b o t s
c an b e b u i l t , i t w i l l b e a l o n g t i m e b e f o r e
t h e y c a n b e m a d e t o d o w h a t h u m a n s d o, a s w e
l l a s h u m an s d o i t .
- 30. 30 P e r h a p s c e n t u r i e s w i l l b e r e q u i r
ed E v e n a f t er i n t e l li g e n t r o b o t s a r e m a d e
, mu l t i t u d e s o f h u m a n s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o e
x i s t on e a r t h , a n d m a y b e e v e n i n s p a c e Hu m a
n m i n d s a n d p er s o n a l i d e n t i t i e s w i l l n e v
e r b e ab l e t o m e r g e w i t h a n e l e c t r o m e c h a n
i c a l s y s t e m E v e n i f i t w e r e p o s s i b l e, w e h
u m a n s w o u ld r e fu s e t o d o w n l o a d ou r m i n d s o
n t o h ar d w a r e , n o m a t t e r h o w t e m pt i n g a n d i
n t e l l i g e n t t h e n e w s u r r o u n d i n g s m i g h t b
e . W e b e l i e v e t h a t c yb e r b e i n g s wi l l b e e m o
t i o n l e s s , s o u l l e s s , a n d h u m o r l e s s m ec h
a n i c a l z o m b i e s r a t h er li k e S t ar T r e k s L t .
C o m m a n d e r D a t a , a s o m e w h a t s a d a n d r o i d p
i n i n g f or a h u m a n i t y h e w i l l n e v e r ac h i e v e
N o m a t t er h o w s m a r t t h e y ar e , d i g i t a l m i n d
s w i l l n e v e r h a v e t h e i n s i g h t , i n t u i t i o n
, a n d s m o o t h s a v v y o f t h e h u m an m i n d . T h e y
w i l l f o r e v e r r e m a i n m e n t a l l y i n f e r i o r ,
a n d ou r f a i t h f u l , s e l f - m a i n t a i n i n g s e r
v a n t s T h e r ob o t s w i l l s o o n pr o v e o u r m e n t a
l a n d ph y s i c a l s u p er i o r s . S e l f - g e n e r at e
d en h a n c e m e n t s w i l l r e f i n e t h e m b e y o n d ou
r c o n t r o l . T h e y wi l l en s l a v e u s a l l e x c e p t
, o f c ou r s e , f o r a r e n e g a d e b an d o f r e b el l i
o u s , y o u n g , g o o d - l o o k i n g, d a r i n g h u m a n
s a r m ed with b a t t er e d , r ec y c l eds u r pl u
sweapons,fearlessly f o l l o w i n g t h e i r c r a g g y b u t
wi s e l e ad e r i n t o a f i g h t f o r t r u t h , j u s t i c
e , a n d t h e h o mi n i d w a y T H I S B O O K A R G U E S T H
AT T H E N E X T C E N T U R Y W I L L P R O V E T O B E N O T H I
N G L I K E T HI S O N E , NOR ANY FORECASTSO FAR. C O M P U T I NG
POWER, NEUROSCIENCE, AND NANOTECHNOLOGIES ARE ADVANCING SO RAPIDLY
THAT THEY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE THE
- 31. 31 M OS T S I G N I F I C A N T E V O L U T I O N A R Y D E
V E L O P M E N T S S I N C E T H E O R I G I N O F L I F E I T S E
L F W E M A I N T A I N T H AT T H E H U M A N M I N D A N D C O N
S C I O US T H O U G HT A R E E X C L U S I V E L Y NATURAL
ANDPHYSICALIN ORIGINANDNATURE. ULTIMATELY,THEIRNATURES
ANDFUNDAMENTAL P R O C E S S E S A R E K N O W AB L E A N D C A N B
E R E P L I C A T E D F O R THE PURPOSES OF PERSONAL IMMORTALITY.
[169] Pervasive genetics, pervasive medicine, pervasive diagnostics
and pervasive monitoring? Juan Enriquez: If it seems like your
world has been topsy-turvy o v e r t h e p a s t f e w y e a r s C
o n s i d e r w h at s c o m i n g . Y o u r g en e t i c c o d e w
i l l b e i mp r i n t ed on an d I D c a r d F o r b e t t er a n
d w o r s e . M ed i c i n e s w i l l b e t a i l o r ed t o y o u
r g e n e s an d w i l l h e l p pr e v e n t s p e c i f i c d i s
e a s e s f o r w h i c h y o u m a y b e at r i s k . ( B u t y o
u r i n s u r a n c e c o m p an y a n d y o u r p r o s p e c t i
v e e m pl o y e r m a y a l s o f i n d ou t t h at y o u a r e g
e n et i c a l l y d i s p o s e d t o , s a y , h e a r t d i s e
a s e , or b r e a s t c a n c e r , or A l z h ei m e r s . ) . [
1 6 3 ] W h a t e v e r t h e l e t h a l c o n s e q u en c e s ,
A r e y o u s t i l l do g g e d l y insistingonnotu n d e rs t a n
d i n g the r a t es of hy p e r - g e o m e t r i c a l e x p o n
e n t i a l g r o w t h a n d h e n c e n ot h a v e a s e n s
e
- 32. 32 o f p r o p o r t i o n s i n a l i g n m e n t w i t h
t h e dr i v i n g f o r c e s o f t h e twentieth-one century? J a
m e s J o h n B e l l : W e w on t j u s t e x p e r i e n c e 1 0
0 y e a r s o f p r o gr e s s i n t h e t w en t y - f i r s t c
en t u r y i t w i l l b e m or e l i k e 2 0 , 0 0 0 y e a r s o f
progress. [161] H o w c a n w e g e t t o a n ew t e rr a i n c o g
n i t a w i t h a n o l d m a p ? R o w a n G i b s o n : T h e l e
s s o n o f t h e l a s t t h r e e d ec a d e s i s t h a t n ob o
d y c a n d r i v e t o t h e f u t u r e o n c r u i s e c on t r
o l . [ 1 6 1 ] Where and how do we live? G re g o r y S . P a u l
a n d E a r l C o x : W e li v e i n s t r a n g e t i m e s , i n
c a s e y o u h a v e n o t n o t i c e d . H e r e w e a r e w i t
h ou r h o m e c o m p u t e r s a n d o t h e r h i g h - t ec h a
p p l i a n c e s , li v i n g wh a t w e r e g a r d a s a n o r m
a l li f e T h e w o r l d w e a r e l i v i n g i n a w o r l d t
h a t c o u p l e s H o m oli s a p i en s w i t h f a s t - p ac e
d h y p e r t e c h n o l o g y i s s t r a n g e t o u s b e c au
s e s o m e t i m e s i t f e el s li k e w h at i t i s , a t r an
s i e n t d r e a m . W e a r e d r e a m i n g a s t r an g e , w
a k i n g d r e a m ; a n i n e v i t a b l y b r i e f i n t er l
u d e s a n d w i c h ed b e t w e en t h e l o n g a g e o f l o w
- t e c h h u m a n i t y o n t h e o n e h an d , a n d t h e a g
e o f h u m a n b ei n g s t r an s c e n d e d o n t h e other. We
ar e livingin thel a t t er days of humanity;
- 33. 33 c yb e r t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l q u i c k l y r
ep l a c e u s. J u s t i n c h e s o f t i m e a w a y e x i s t s
a s p e ed y r e a l i t y b e a r i n g d o w n o n u s t h a t w
e m a y s e n s e , b u t d o n o t s h o w o n o u r f a c e s . W
h i l e o n e m a y b e m a d e u n c o m f or t a b l e b y t h e
t h ou g h t o f a t r u l y s t r an g e 2 1 s t c en t u r y , t
h e r e i s a r o u n d u s a n i m p en d i n g s e n s e o f a r
r i v a l a s t r a n g e n e s s in the air, an uneasiness, a
feeling that deep down, things are s t ar t i n g t o c h a n g e i
n s w i ft , f u n d a m e n t a l w a y s t o o fu z z y t o p u t
a f i n g e r o n . M o r e t h an j u s t t h e o n s e t o f t h
e t h i r d mi l l e n n i u m, i t i s t h e q u i e t b e f or e
t h e s t o r m . T h e pr o d u c t s o f t ec h n o l o g y ar e
becoming more curious a little too smart, a little too fast. Its d
o w n r i g h t u n s et t l i n g . A n d , h e y , p e o p l e a
r e n t d u mb . T h e y k n o w t h a t w e h a v e j u s t b e g
u n t o b u i ld s m a r t d u mb m a c h i n e s ; s o o n i t w i
l l b e d u m b s m a r t m a c h i n e s . W h er e w i l l i t s
t o p ? I f w e c on t i n u e t o b u i l d m a c h i n e s s m a
r t e r t h an t h e l a s t o n e s , a n d t h e n o n e t h a t
i s s m a r t er t h an t h a t a n d s o o n w e l l, y o u d o n
ot h a v e t o b e a p ar t i c l e p h y s i c i st t o s e e t h
at t h e m a c h i n e s c a n n o t k e e p g e t t i n g s m a r
t er a n d s m a r t er , y e t f o r e v e r r e m a i n d u mb e
r t h an u s . G ar r y J o h n H e n r y K a s p a r o v , c h e s
s G r an d M a s t e r , l o s t a c h a m pi o n s h i p game to a
machine for the first time in history this year. Perhaps s o m e d
a y , w e l l h e ar t h e b at t l e c r y o f h u m an i t y r a
l l y i n g i n d e s p e r a t i on : R e m e m b e r D e e p B l
u e [ 1 6 5] Technologies, societies and possibilities?
- 34. 34 Freeman Dyson: There is nothing so big nor so crazy that
one out o f a mi l l i o n t e c h n o l o g i c a l s o c i et i e
s m a y n o t f e e l i t s e l f d r i v e n t o d o , p r o v i d
e d i t i s p h y s i c a l l y p o s s i b l e. [ 1 7 4 ] D o es t
h e p r o g r e s s i v e a n d a l w a y s - s u d d e n ( e x p l
o s i v e l y s o ) adventof the future bringaboutadversaries of
such future? If so, Are those the same ones that like to stay in
rooms of stalemate air in which the status quo is invariably for
the own sake and enjoyment of said those perpetually? V i r g i n i
a P o s t r e l : T h at i n s t ab i l i t y [ b et w e e n s t a
s i s a n d d y n a m i s m ] , o r o u r a w a r e n e s s o f i t
, h ei g h t en e d b y t h e f l u i d i t y o f c on t e m p o r
a r y li f e : b y t h e e a s e w i t h wh i c h i d e a s an d m
e s s a g e s , g o o d s an d p e o p l e, c r o s s b or d er s ;
b y t e c h n o l o g i e s t h a t s e e k t o su r p a s s t h e
q u i c k n e s s o f t h e h u m a n m i n d a n d o v e r c o m e
t h e c on s t r a i n t s o f t h e h u m a n b od y ; b y t h e u
n i v e r s a l s o l v e n t s o f c o m m e r c e a n d p o pu l
a r culture; by thedissolutionor r e f o r m at i o nof e s t a b l
i s h ed i n s t i t u t i o n s , p a r t i c u l a r l y l a r g
e c or p o r a t i on s , an d t h e r i s e o f n e w ones; bythe
synthesis ofEast and W e st , ofa n c i en t an d m o d er n b y t
h e c o m b i n a t i o n a n d r ec o m b i n a t i o n o f s e e
m i n g l y e v e r y a r t i f a c t o f h u m an c u lt u r e . O
u r s i s a m a g n i f i c en t l y c r e a t i v e er a . B u t t
h e c r e a t i v i t y p r o d u c e s c h an g e , an d t h at c
h an g e a t t r ac t s en e m i e s , p h i l o s o p h i c a l a
s w e l l a s s e l f - i n t e r e s t ed W i t h s o m e e xc e p
t i on s , t h e e n e m i e s o f t h e f u t u r e ai m t h e i r
at t a c k s n ot at
- 35. 35 c r e a t i v i t y i t s e l f b u t at t h e d y n a m
i c pr o c e s s e s t h r ou g h w h i c h i t i s carried. In our
postCold War era, for instance, free markets are recognizedas
powerful forcesfor socialcultural,an d t e c h n o l o g i c a l c
h an g e l i b er a t i n g i n t h e e y e s o f s o m e , t h r e
a t e n i n g t o o t h e r s . T h e s a m e i s t r u e f o r m a
r k et s i n i d e a s : f o r fr e e s p e ec h a n d w o r l d wi
d e c o m mu n i c a t i on ; f o r w h a t J o h n S t u a r t M i
l l c a l l ed e x p e r i m e n t s i n l i v i n g ; f o r s c i
e n t i fi c r e s e a r c h , a r t i s t i c e x p r e s s i o n
, a n d t ec h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n . A l l o f t
h e s e p r o c e s s e s a r e s h a p i n g an unknown, and
unknowable, future. Some people look at such d i v e r s e , d ec e
n t r a l i z ed , c h oi c e - d r i v e n s y s t e m s a n d r
ej o i c e, e v e n w h en t h e y d o n t l i k e p ar t i c u l a
r c h o i c e s . O t h er r ec o i l . I n p u r s u i t o f s t
ab i l i t y a n d c o n t r o l , t h e y s e e k t o e l i m i n
a t e or c u r b t h e s e u n r u l y , t o o - c r e a t i v e f
o r c e s S t a s i st s a n d d y n a m i s t s a r e t h u s d i
v i d e d n o t j u s t b y s i m p l e , s h o r t - t e r m p o l
i c y i s s u e s b u t b y fu n d a m e n t a l d i s a g r e e m
e n t s ab o u t t h e w a y t h e w o r l d w o r k s . T h e y c
l a s h o v e r t h e n at u r e o f p r o g r e s s a n d o v e r
i t s d e s i r a b i l i t y : D o e s i t r e q u i r e a p l an
t o r e a c h a s p e c i f i e d g o a l ? O r i s i t a n u n b o
u n d ed p r oc e s s o f e x p l o r at i o n a n d d i sc o v e r
y ? D o e s t h e q u e s t f or i m pr o v e m e n t e x p r e s s
d e s t r u c t i v e , n i h i li s t i c d i sc o n t e n t , o r
t h e h i g h e s t h u m a n q u a l i t i e s ? D o e s p r o g r
e s s d e p e n d o n p u r i t an i c a l r e p r e s s i o n o r
a p l a y f u l s p i r i t ? S t a s i s t s a n d d yn a m i s t
s d i s a g r e e a b o u t t h e l i mi t s a n d u s e o f k n o
w l ed g e . S t a s i s t s demand that knowledge be a r t i c u l
at e d an d e a s i l y s h a r ed . D yn a m i s t s , b y c o n t
r a s t , a p pr e c i a t e d i s p e r s e d , o f t e n t ac i t
k n o w l e d g e . T h e y r ec o g n i z e t h e li m i t s o
f
- 36. 36 h u m a n m i n d s e v en a s t h e y c e l eb r a t e
l e a r n i n g T h o s e c on f l i c t s l e ad t o v e r y d i f
f er e n t b e li e f s a b o u t g o o d i n s t i t u t i o n s a
n d r u l e s : S t a s i s t s s e e k s p e c i f i c s t o g o v
e r n e a c h n e w s i t u at i o n a n d k e e p t h i n g s u n
d e r c o n t r o l . D yn a m i c i s t s w a n t t o l i mi t u n
i v er s a l r u l e m a k i n g t o b r o a d l y a p p l i c a b
l e a n d r a r e l y c h an g e d p r i n c i p l e s , within
which people can create and test countless combinations. S t a s i
s t s w an t t h ei r d et a i l ed r u l ed t o a p p l y t o e v
e r y o n e ; d yn a m i s t s p r e f e r c o m p et i n g , n e s
t e d r u l e s e t s S u c h d i s a g r e e m e n t s h a v e p o
l i t i c a l r a m i f i c at i o n s t h a t g o mu c h d e e p
er t h an t h e s h o r t - t e r m b u s i n e s s o f c a m p a i
g n s an d l e g i s l a t i o n . T h e y a f f e c t ou r g o v e
r n i n g a s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t h o w p o li t i c a l ,
ec o n o m i c , s o c i a l , i n t e l l ec t u a l , a n d c u l
t u r a l s y s t e m s w o r k ; w h a t t h o s e s y s t e m s s
h o u l d v a l u e; an d w h at t h e y m e an . T h e s e ar e n
o t t h e c o m f o r t ab l e o ld C o l d W a r d i v i s i o n s
o f h a w k s an d d o v e s , e g a li t a r i a n s a n d i n d i
v i d u a li s t s , l e f t a n d r i gh t . N o r a r e t h e y t
h e o n e - d i m e n s i o n a l l a b el s o f t e c h n o p h i
l e a n d t e c h n o p h o b e, o p t i mi s t a n d p e s s i m i
s t , o r li b e r t a r i an a n d s t a s i s t t h a t p u n d i
t s s o m e t i m e s g r a b t o r e p l a c e t h e o ld c at e g
o r i e s . T h e y c o n t ai n e l e m e n t s o f t h o s e s i
m p l e r c l a s s i f i c a t i on s , b u t t h e y a r e mu c h
r i c h e r , e n c o m p a s s i n g m o r e a s p e c t s o f l i
f e m o r e a s p e c t s o f t h e e m er g e n t , c o m p l e x
fu t u r e . [ 1 7 0 ] Minds vs. computationalalgorithms,man-made
computational algorithms?
- 37. 37 F u n n y t h i n g , ou r mi n d . T h e m o m e n t o
u r s o f t w a r e c at c h e s u p , t h e m i n d s e e m s t o
t r a v e l b e y o n d t h e c ap a b i li t y o f t h e s o f t w
ar e . [ H o w e v e r , ] O u r mi n d s f o c u s o n r e n d i t
i o n s , d a r li n g , n ot t h e u n d e r l y i n g a l g o r i
t h m . Y o u r an a l y s t s a n d pr o g r a m m e r s h a v e t
o d e a l w i t h a l g o r i t h m t h a t pr o d u c e s n e w r
en d i t i o n s . [ 1 6 1 ] D r . C o v e y s l u c i d p e r s p
e c t i v e b e c o m e s g r e a t l y s u p p o r t ed and
refined by Peter Drucker. P e t e r D r u c k e r : I n a f e w h u
n d r ed y e a r s , w h en t h e s t o r y o f o u r [ c u r r e n
t ] t i m e i s w r i t t en fr o m a l o n g - t er m p er s p e c
t i v e , i t i s l i k e l y t h a t t h e m o s t i m p o r t an
t e v e n t t h o s e h i s t o r i a n s w i l l s e e i s n o t t
e c h n o l o g y , n o t t h e I n t e r n et , n o t e - c o m m
er c e [ n o t s o c i a l m e d i a s o - c a l l e d ] . I T I S
A N U N P R E C E D E N T E D C H A N G E I N T H E H UM A N
CONDITION.FORTHE FIRSTTIME LITERALLY SUBSTANTIAL AND GROWING
NUMBERS OF PEOPLE HAVE CHOICES. FOR THE FIRST TIME, THEY WILL HAVE
TO MANAGE THEMSELVES. AND SOCIETY IS TOTALLY UNPREPARED FOR IT.
[153] A n d t h e p o l i t i c a l a n g l e o f t h e fu t u r e?
T h e H o n o r a b l e T o m R i d g e , F i r s t S e c r e t a r
y o f t h e U . S . De p a r t m e n t o f H o m e l a n d S e c u
r i t y a n d F o r m e r G o v e r n o r o f P e n n s y l v a n
ia : T h e
- 38. 38 p o l i t i c a l w o r l d p r o mi s e s c h a n g e a
n d t h e d i g i t a l w o r l d d e li v e r s i t . Andwh e n
thatchangepotentially affects ourprivacy an d f r e e d o m , w e s
h o u l d a l l p a y a t t en t i o n . T h i s i s a f a s c i n
at i n g , p r o v o c a t i v e a n d t h o r o u g h l y r e ad a
b l e l o o k i n t o a n u n c e r t ai n future. [155] Internet
and yesterday? S c o u t B ra d n e r : W e h a v e t h e I n t e r
n e t t h a t w e h a v e t od a y b e c au s e t h e I n t er n et
o f y e s t e r d a y d i d n ot f o c u s o n t h e t od a y o f y
e s t e r d a y . [155] T h e r i g h t s a n d t h e fu t u r e?
Legal scholars can debate whether copyright law mandates a f u t u
r e o f a u t h o r i z e d u s e o n l y f o r d i g i t a l i n f
or m a t i o n . T h e a n s w e r m a y n ot m a t t er m u c h ,
b ec a u s e t h at fu t u r e i s c o m i n g t o p a s s t h r ou
g ht h e t ec h n o l o g i e s o f digital rightsmanagementan d t
r u st e d s y s t e m s . [ 1 5 5 ] Future and forces embedded? T
h e f o r c e s s h a p i n g y o u r fu t u r e a r e d i gi t a l
, a n d y o u n e e d t o understand them. [155]
- 39. 39 Can we picture the future? C an w e e n v i s i on t h e
f u t u r e t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s , w h e r
e b o o k s , mu s i c , i m a g e s , a n d v i d e o s a r e au t
o m a t i c a l l y e x t r a c t ed , s a m p l e d , m i x ed , a
n d r e m i x e d ; f ed i n t o m a s s i v e a u t o m a t e d r
e a s o n i n g en g i n e s ; a s s i m i l a t e d i n t o t h e
c o r e s o f t w a r e o f e v e r y p e r s o n a l c o m p u t
er a n d e v e r y c e l l p h on e a n d t h o u s a n d s o f o t
h er t h i n g s f o r w h i c h t h e w o r d s d o n t e v e n e
x i s t y e t ? [ 1 5 5] History vs. future? W i l l t h e v a s t
a m o u n t s o f i n f o r m a t i o n n o w a v a i l ab l e b ec
a u s e o f t h e a d v a n c e s i n s t o r a g e a n d c o m mu
n i c a t i o n t ec h n o l o g y a c t u a l l y b e u s a b l e
a h u n d r ed o r a t h o u s a n d y e a r s i n t h e f u t u r
e , o r W I L L THE SHIFT FROM PAPER TO DIGITAL MEDIA MEAN THE LOSS
O F HI S T O R Y ? [ 1 5 5 ] R eg a r d i n g t h e C y b e r s p a
c e , a p r i m e r t o C o m p u t r on i u m ? J o h n P e r r y
B a r l o w : G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e I n d u st r i a l W
or l d , y o u r w e a r y g i a n t s o f f l e s h an d s t e e l
, I c o m e fr o m C y b er s p a c e , t h e n e w h o m e o f M i
n d . On b eh a l f o f t h e f u t u r e , I a s k y o u o f t h e
p a s t t o l e a v e u s a l on e . Y o u h a v e n o s o s o v e
r e i g n t y w h er e w e g a t h e r .
- 40. 40 W e a r e c r e at i n g a w or l d t h a t a l l m a y
e n t er w i t h o u t p r i v i l e g e o r p r e j u d i c e a c
c o r d e d b y r ac e , ec o n o m i c p o w e r , mi l i t ar y f
o r c e, o r s t at i o n o f b i r t h . W e a r e c r e at i n g
a w o r l d w h er e an y o n e , a n y w h e r e m a y e x p r e s
s h i s or h e r b e li e f s , n o m a t t e r h o w s i n gu l a
r , wi t h ou t f e a r o f b ei n g c o e r c e d i n t o s i l e
n c e o r c o n f or m i t y I n o u r w o r l d , a l l t h e s e
n t i m en t s a n d e x p r e s s i o n s o f h u m a n i t y , f
r o m d e b a s i n g t o the angelic, areparts of aseamlesswhole,
theglobal c o n v e r s a t i on o f b i t s . [ Y ] o u ar e t r
yi n g t o w a r d o f f t h e v i r u s o f li b er t y b y er e c
t i n g gu a r d p o s t s a t t h e fr o n t i e r s o f C y b er
s p a c e . [155] C a n w e u s e a c h a i n t o r e p r e s en t
a m e t a p h o r a b o u t t h e future? Youcantu n d er s t a n
dthe knotw i t h ou tu n d e r s t an d i n gthe s t r a n d s , b
u t i n t h e f u t u r e , t h e st r a n d s n e ed n o t r e m a
i n t i e d u p i n t h e s a m e w a y a s t h e y a r e t o d a y
. [ 1 5 5] To get engaged in a sea change in thinking, along with
the m a x i m u m a n d m o s t s o p h i s t i c a t e d c o n s c
ie n t i o u s a wa r e n e s s s o m e v o i c e s m u s t b e i g
n o r e d w h i l e pa y i n g i m m e n s e a t t e n t i o n t o
o n e o f A m e r i c a s f i n e s t , n a m e l y He n r y B u c
k m i n s t e r F u l l e r . H e a r gu e s , A L L C H I L D R E
N A R E B O R N G E N I US E S ; 9 , 9 9 9 O U T O F E V E R Y
- 41. 41 10,000 ARE SWIFTLY, INADVERTENTLY DEGENIUNIZED BY G R OW
N U P S . [ 1 5 3 ] T h e w o r l d i s n o t a n a l o g a n y m o
r e . I t s qu a l i t y i s o n l y d i g i t a l a n d hence
emphatically over-mathematical. Ergo, if you dont attach t h e f u
t u r e , t h e f u tu r e w i l l a t t a c k y ou a n d o u t s m
a r t y o u w i t h o u t a fail. S u p p o r t i n g t h e m o t i
o n s o f a l l o f t h e a b o v e i n t h i s d i g i t a l u n
iv e r s e o f o u r s , c h e c k o u t t h e t a ke b y t h e a u
t h o r o f T h e W o r l d i s F la t . T h o m a s F r i e d m a
n i n d i c a t e s : P e o p l e a r e a l w a y s [ a n d w r o n
g fu l l y ] a s s u m i n g t h at e v e r y t h i n g t h a t i s
g o i n g t o b e i n v e n t ed mu s t h a v e been invented
already. But it hasnt. [139] I could easily offer, b a s e d o n u
n i m p e a c h a b l e f a c t s , ma n y i n s t a n c e s o f w
h y F r i e d m a n i s a b s o l u t e l y r i g h t t o t h e d i
s m a y o f s o m e w i s h i n g b u t n o t s u f f ic i e n t l
y enculturating themselves. W h a t h a p p e n s t o y o u r v i s
i o n w h e n y o u do n t u n d e r s t a n d that the world is
not ana log but pervasively increasingly so over-digital? M u h a m
a d Y u n u s : T h e r e e y e s w e r e b li n d e d b y t h e k
n o w l e d g e t h e y h ad . [ 1 5 3 ]
- 42. 42 Brainy discoveries and the IT revolution? J. G. Taylor,
B. Horowitz, K. J. Friston: Now, for the first time, w e a r e o b
s e r v i n g t h e b r ai n a t w o r k i n a g l o b a l m a n n
e r w i t h su c h c l a r i t y t h a t w e s h o u l d b e ab l e
t o d i sc o v e r t h e o v e r a l l pr o g r a m s b e h i n d i
t s m a g n i f i c en t p o w er s . [ 1 4 2 ] F r o m D a r w i n
a n d w e l l i n t o t h e p r e s en t t w en t i e t h - o n e
century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : W h en Q u
e en V i c t o r i a w a s i n h er p r i m e , an E n g l i s h m
a n , C h a r l e s D ar w i n , d i sc o v e r e d a f u n d a m e
n t a l t r u t h t h a t s h o o k m a n k i n d s o s e v e r e l
y t h at i t r e m a i n s t od a y a m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e
d i st r e s s an d m a s s i v e d e n i a l. D ar w i n r e a l i
z e d t h a t l i f e o n o u r p l a n e t i s n ot t h e r ec e n
t a n d f i x e d pr o d u c t o f d ei t y - m ed i a t ed s p e c
i a l c r e a t i o n , b u t h a s b e en c on s t a n t l y c h a
n g i n g o v e r a long span of time The paleontologist who
followed Darwin h a v e t a u gh t u s t h at t i m e h a s n o r e
s p e c t f o r s p e c i e s . W h o l e d yn a s t i e s o f l i
f e h a v e b e en s w e p t a w a y a n d r e p l ac e d wi t h n
e w o n e s . M or e t h a n 6 5 mi l l i o n y e a r s a g o , t h
e w or l d w a s f i l l e d w i t h s w i f t , d e a d l y m e a
t - e a t e r s , i n c lu d i n g h u g e t yr a n n o s a u r s s
t a l k i n g elephant-sized h o r n ed dinosaursandduck-billed
herbivores. F l y i n g p t er o s a u r s w e r e a s b i g a n d
h e a v y a s s a i l p l a n e s . S m a l l, g r ac e f u l , p r
e d ac e o u s d i n o s a u r s h ad b i n o c u l a r v i s i o n
, b i g b r ai n s ,
- 43. 43 andgraspinghands.After17 0 mi l l i o n years
ofsuccessful e v o l u t i o n , t h e y ac h i e v e d t h e h e i
g h t o f v a r i at i o n a n d p o w er . R e s p l e n d e n t
an d n u m e r o u s o n t h e f er t i l e Cr e t a c e ou s p l
ai n s , h o w c o u l d i t b e t h a t w i t h i n a f e w y e a
r s t h e y a l l w o u l d b e g on e f o r e v er ? T h i s c h i
l l i n g s t or y s u g g e s t s a t i c k i n g c l oc k f or h
u m a n i t y , as well; dare we think of our own extinction? There
is ticking c l o c k f or h u m a n i t y , a n d i t m a y b e m
er e s e c o n d s b e f o r e m i d n i g h t . T OM O R R O W I S
U P O N U S , A N D W HA T I S AB O U T T O H A P P E N I N THE NEW
DAY IS FAR, FAR STRANGER THAN MOST PEOPLE D A R E T O T H I N K E v
e n D ar w i n d i d n o t r e a l i z e h o w r i gh t h e w a s ,
o r h o w f a r e v o l u t i o n w i l l t a k e u s . W e s h ou
l d n ot f au l t D a r wi n f o r h i s l ac k o f v i s i o n . D
ar w i n li v e d i n a t i m e w h en t h e m o d e r n scientific
revolution was just beginning. It was also a time of s t e a m en g
i n e s , g a s l a m p s , a n d p h r e n o l o g y . S c i en c
e , i n o u r l a t e 20th century sense, was still a few years
away. Yet even today, f e w n o n s c i e n t i s t s h a v e m o r
e t h a n an i n k l i n g o f h o w l i f e e v o l v e d o r h o
w t ec h n o l o g i e s s u c h a s t h e au t o m o b i l e, t h
e l i g h t s w i t c h , o r t h e a i r p l a n e ac t u a l l y
w o r k W E L I V E I N A HI G H - T E C H N O L O G Y WORLD, WITH
LITTLE APPRECIATION FOR HOW THINGS GOT THE WAY THEY ARE. [169] What
is the personal cosmology in the orbit of a person seeking
foresight?
- 44. 44 Antonio Machado: M an , i n c u r ab l efuturist,is the
only t r a d i t i on a l i s t an i m a l . [ 1 3 0 ] D o n t w i
n t h e i r h e a r t s , j u s t w i n t h e i r m i n ds k i n d
l y a n d r es p e c t f u l l y ? T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n
d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l s a u t h o r in d i c a t e
d : I f y o u r e a l l y w a n t t o m a k e a n o p e r a t i o n
a l d i f f e r en c e i n y o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l t h e at
e r o f o p er a t i o n s , g o a n d g e t a fu l l i m m er s i
o n i n thefringe. Right in their,underthattense an dpr e s s i n g
d yn a m i c s , y o u l l h a v e t h e v a n t a g e f l u x o f
t h e ou t pu t t e d mi r a g e . [129] I just wonder: Is it about
Scientific Method or is it about Scientific MethodU n d er
TheTutelageofApplied O mn i s c i e n c e a n d W it h T h e A p p
l i c a t i o n o f T h e S y s t e m s
MethodologyApproach?Idesigned, to thiseffect, the i l lu s t r a t
i o n viewable at http://bit.ly/d6d84w and alsonote
http://slidesha.re/omisci The more scientific and technological
knowledge doubling, the most indispensablebecomesthegraspingof the
applied omniscience notion in every execution for Life.
- 45. 45 A technological andacademicinstitutionoutsmarting
cutting-edge science and technology to a point to generate more
wealth than the combination of many countries? J u a n E n r i q u
e z : W e a l t h i s c o n c e n t r a t ed a n d p or t a b l e.
M I T f a c u l t y a n d a l u m n i p r o d u c e a s mu c h w e
a l t h a s a l l b u t t w e n t y - t w o c o u n t r i e s i n t
h e w or l d . [ 1 6 3 ] B e f o r e w e p r o c e e d a n y f u rt
h e r , p l e a s e a l w a y s r e m e m b e r the following. E v
e r y t h in g i s r el a t e d t o ev e r y t h i n g el s e . [ 1
0 9 ] . W h e n invoking Everything is related to everything else,
it is succinctly to say (that is) by way of matter-of-fact example:
E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n
g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s c o n n ec t ed t o e v e r y t
h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er c on n e c t e d
t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . Everything is intricate to
everything else. Everything is involved in everything else. E v e r
y t h i n g i s i n t er - a s s o c i at e d t o e v e r y t h i n
g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er l o c k ed t o e v e r
y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - c o u p l
ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t
er - j o i n ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e .
- 46. 46 Everything is conjoint to everything else. E v e r y t h
i n g i s i n t er - t i ed t o e v er y t h i n g e l s e . E v e
r y t h i n g i s i n t er d e p en d en t t o e v e r y t h i n g
e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s c o r r e l at e d t o e v e r y
t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er t w i n e d w
i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t
er - m e s h ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g el s e . E v e r y t h
i n g i s i mp l i c at e d i n e v er y t h i n g e l s e . E v e
r y t h i n g i s en t a n g l ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s
e . E v e r y t h i n g i s en t w i n e d wi t h e v e r y t h i n
g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s t an g l e d w i t h e v e r y
t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s k n o t t ed w i t h e
v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er w o v
e n i n t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s
en g a g e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i
n g i s p ar e n t h e t i c a l t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e .
Everything is related to everything else does not make any sense a
t a l l f o r pe o p l e w h o h a v e c h o s e n n o t t o g e t
e d u c a t e d a n d s e l f - e du c a t e d o n i n d i s p e n
s a b l e b a s i c s c ie n c e f o r E t e r n i t y . Einstein
has an appropriate thought to share: ... [the h u m a n b e i n g ]
e x p er i e n c e s h i m s e l f , h i s t h ou g h t s an d f e
e l i n g s a s s o m e t h i n g s e p a r a t e d f r o m t h e r
e s t a k i n d o f o p t i c a l d e lu s i o n o f ou r c o n sc
i o u s n e s s . T h i s d e l u s i o n i s a k i n d o f pr i s
o n f o r u s , r e s t r i c t i n g u s t o o u r p er s o n a l
d e s i r e s a n d t o a f f e c t i o n f o r a f e w
- 47. 47 p er s o n s n e a r e s t t o u s . O u r t a s k m u s
t b e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m t h i s p r i s o n b y
w i d en i n g o u r c i r c l e o f c o m p a s s i o n t o e m b
r ac e a l l li v i n g creatures and the whole of nature in its
beauty... [108] C O N T EN T S CONTENT BY THEME AND PAGE ( O n l y
t h e d u l y b o u n d b o o k v e r s i o n s h a v e a p r e c i
s e pa g e n u m b e r . However, the rest of the structure is as
indicated.) CHAPTER 1 NOTICE TO READERS 10 14 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1
THE IMPERATIVE NOTE 14 24 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 OBJECTIVE 24 64 PAG.
(S) CHAPTER 1 PROLOGUE 64 99 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 THE CHALLENGE 98
109 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 A N A C T U A L DI A L O G U E O F D A
R W I N , K A N T , NEWTON, GOETHE 99 112 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 AN
EPIC OMISSION(S)? 113 115 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 THE PEER-TO-PEER
MESSAGEAM O N G IGNORAMUSES 116 117 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 C OM P
L E X I T Y A N D T H E D E A T H O F S I M P L I C I T Y 117 118
PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 TO BE OR NOT TO BE IN EXECUTION? 118 119 PAG.
(S)
- 48. 48 CHAPTER 2 THE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION AND THE
ABSENCE OF COHESIVE LANGUAGE? 119 121 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 BONAPARTES
PROPHECIES ON HURRICANE KATRINA AND GULF OF MEXICOS 132 134 PAG.
(S) CHAPTER 2 STRATEGOSI N S T I T UT E S FOUNDERAND L O N D O N B
U S I N E S S S C H O O L S P R O F E S S O R O N T H E F UT U R E
125 128 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 R O C K E T S C I E N C E AB O U T
A C T U A L DI S CI P L I N E D S U C C E S S C A P T U R I N G ? 1
2 8 1 3 1 P AG . ( S ) C H A P T E R 3 I N T R O D U CT O R Y Q U O
T A T I O N S A N D W I T H COMMENTARIES BY ENLIGHTENED MINDS! 131
163 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3 THE F UT U R E AND THETECHNOLOGICAL
SINGULARITY AS PER RAY KURZWEIL, PH.D. 165 167 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3
WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW? HOW MANY NOWS ARE THERE? ARE THOSE NOWS
STILL RELEVANT? 163 173 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 M E T H O D FI R S
T , T E C H N O L O G Y S E C O N D ! 1 7 3 PAG. (S) CHAPTER4
DEEPENING OURM U L T I DI M E N S I O N A L APPROACH IN AND TO THIS
BOOK! 174 222 PAG. (S)
- 49. 49 CHAPTER 5 RELEVANT COMMENTARIES TOCLARIFY HI D E O U SM
I S U N D E R S T A N D I NG S (UNDERS YS T E M A T I C COMMISSION)
BY MAGNIFICENT PEOPLE 222 251 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 5 O N P R E D
I C T I O N S 2 5 1 2 5 2 P AG . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 D E M Y S T I F YI
N GTHE REAL DEALIN PROFESSION,TECHNOLOGY, LEADERSHIP, MANAGEMENT, S
T R A T E G Y , A N D B U S I N E S S , A S W E L L AS O F F E R I
N G T H E CLEAREST BLUEPRINT! 251 255 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 6 QUESTION:
WHAT DO RALPH WALDO EMERSON, JAMESD.WATSON,T H O M AS JEFFERSON,
THEODORE ROOSEVELT,WINSTON CHURCHILL,ARTHUR C.CLARKE, BERNARD
D'ESPAGNAT,A LB E R TEINSTEIN, CARL S AG A N , M A L C O L M S . K
N O W L E S , B E R T R A N D R US S E L L , F R A N C I S B A C O
N , H E N R Y K I S S I N G E R , OT T O H E R M A N K H A N , B U
R R H U S F R E D E R I C S KI N N E R , A N D 2 5 5 2 6 4 P A G .
( S ) CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSION 264 265 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 6 Q U E S
T I O N : A R E W E A D RI F T I N A S E A O F CONFUSION? CAN THE
UNDERSIGNED OFFER A REASONABLE P A T HW A Y ? 2 6 5 2 6 8 P A G . (
S ) CHAPTER 6 GLOBAL SEISMIC SHIFTS BY DR. STEPHEN COVEY, PHD!
CHAPTER 6 THE TOP TRENDS FOR 2010 BY SAN FRANCISCO FUTURIST DR.
JAMES CANTON, PH.D. 268 274 PAG. (S)
- 50. 50 C H A P T E R 6 F O U RT E E N F U T U R E T R E N D S F
O R B US I N E S S I N 2 0 0 9 A N D B E Y O N D B Y T H O M A S F
R E Y , S E N I O R F UT U R I S T A T THE DAVINCI INSTITUTE C H A
P T E R 6 S I X P R O F O U N D S H I FT S B Y D R . S H O S T A K
C H A P T E R 6 T H E F UT U R E E N V I S I O N E D B Y A R E S E
A R C H PHYSICIST AND SCIENTIST! C H A P T E R 6 2 0 1 1 T R E N D
S B Y D R. J A M E S C A N T O N , P H . D . ( A S SEEN ON NOV 30,
2010) CHAPTER 6 THE MESSAGE 274 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 6 ANSWERED
QUESTIONS? 274 275 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 7 EPILOGUE 275 280 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 7 CAVEAT 280 284 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 7 T H E H O P E 2 8
4 2 8 5 P AG . ( S ) CHAPTER 7 HOW TO COPE WITH CENTURY TWENTIETH
ONE! 289 290 CHAPTER 7 WHAT ARE THE TYPES OF THINKING THAT JOINTLY
AND SIMULTANEOUSLY MUST BE EXERCISED TO FIRSTGUESSTHEFUTURE RIGHTIN
THE THIRD MILLENNIUM? 291 304 CHAPTER 8 REFLECTING ON THEEDUCATION
WE IMMEDIATELY NEED 305 316 CHAPTER8APPENDIX OFDEFINITIONOF APPLIED
OMNISCIENCE 316 322
- 51. 51 C H A P T E R 8 T H E M O S T T H O U G H T FU L S T A T
E M E N T B Y A N Y A M E R I C A N P R E S I D E N T T O D AT E !
3 2 2 3 2 3 CHAPTER 8 NASA LEWIS RESEARCH CENTER, THE OHIO
AEROSPACE INSTITUTE, THE VISION-21 SYMPOSIUM AND SAN DIEGO STATE
UNIVERSITY 323 345 CHAPTER 8 THE FUTURIST MAGAZINE'S TOP-10
FORECASTS FOR 2010 AND BEYOND PLUS MORE THAN 250 FORECASTS 345 451
CHAPTER 8 GLOSSARY 451 459 CHAPTER 9 WHAT IVE GIVEN YOU! 459 460
CHAPTER 9 ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY 460 473 CONTACT C H A P T E R 9 A
D D I T I O N A L B I B L I O G R A P H Y F O R S UG G E S T E D
READING 473 475 C H A P T E R 9 A B O U T T H E A UT H O R 4 7 5 4
8 8 CHAPTER 1 NOTICE TO READERS! S o m e r e a d e r s m i g h t f
i n d h e l pf u l t o h a v e h a n d y a n O x f o r d
Dictionary, American Heritage Dictionary andeven the Encyclopedia
Britannica. There are explained entries such as: c r i n k u m - c
r a n k u m , c r i s s - c r o s s , t e r z e t t o , t h d an s
a n t , t er t i u m q u i d , among others.
- 52. 52 C a n a n y o n e r e m e m b e r t h e K i n g s s e n
t e n c e : A p er s o n s w o r ld i s c o m m e n s u r at e t o
t h e s i z e h i s ( h e r ) o w n v o c ab u l a r y . B y a n y
m e a s u r e , y o u r t e c h n i c a l a n d p h i l o s o p h i
c a l v oc a b u l a r y m o s t b e multiplied by athousand-foldas
youke e p progressingit exponentially. S i n c e t h e r e h a s b
e e n a g r e a t d e a l o f f u t i l e d e b a t e a b o u t t h
e c ha n g e , its rate and scale, the undersigned has approached
the subject m a t t e r t h r o u g h n a r r a t i v e i l lu s t
r a t i o n s a t t i m e s . H e i s in d e e d seriousand
rigorousabout understandingthe dynamics and i m p l i c a t i o n s
o f c h a n g e in t h i s f i r s t d e c a d e o f T we n t i e t
h - O n e Century and onward. Accuracy and accuracy, too, are
beyond sine qua no to the undersigned. Y o u ' l l c e r t a i n l
y f i n d e v e r y t h i n g i n t h e O x f o r d D ic t i o n a
r y a s h e b e l i e v e s t h a t y ou s h o u l d s u c c e s s
f u l l y s e a r c h f o r t h e s a m e i n t h e A m e r i c a n
He r i t a g e D i c t i o n a r y . S i n c e I h a v e n e v e r
b e e n a le x i c o g r a p h e r a n d s i n c e I a m n o t
outsourcing my linguistics capabilities to you and since I am not
soliciting anything from you, it is only your sole duty and your
sole duty alone to verify the root meaning of every term here
contained. I w o u l d c ou n s e l t o a v o i d , a s s e m a n t
i c s s u g g e s t , t h e i l lu s i o n o f
- 53. 53 meaning, in a world mired of confusions. It suffices to
me the f o r t u n e s t o b e , w i t h i n m y s t a n d a r d s
, i n t h e g r e a t e s t c on t e x t s o f confusion.Tomy a dv
a n ta g e , thatallows methesovereign o p p o r t u n i t y t o i
m m e d i a t e l y t a c k l e t h e in d i s p e n s a b l e c ha
l l e n g e a n d thus keeping my brains commutating blood streams
lighter. This book has mostly to do with all forms of change and
the impact s t e m m i n g f r o m s a i d i m p a c t . T o p ic s
r e l a t e d t o s c ie n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , methodology,
leadership, and management are all addressed. Given the abrupt rise
of change, this is also a management book about how to mitigate,
modulate and terminate hazards and risks, thus c a p tu r i n g the
upsides of everyprofessional or organizational endeavor. This book
is multifaceted and generate insights and ideas so that the readers
themselves can operate them from a mental framework and as per the
perceptions of "real" and virtual realities. This is a b o o k o f
m a n y f a c e t s w i t h m a n y a n d a m p l e n u a n c e s i
n e a c h f a c e t. To the undersigned s u p e r f i c ia l i t
yandespecially universal s u pe r f i c i a l i t y i s p r e p o s
t e r o u s t o h i s n a tu r e . S u b s e q u e n t l y , t h e
present exploration is profound and responsibly profound.