Post on 16-May-2015
description
University of Education, Okara Campus 1
AN EXPERT SYSTEM SOFTWAREMYSIN
Students of MBA-IIISubmitted to Inam Ul-Haq
University of Education, Okara Campus 2
•In 1965 DENDRAL
was used in expert
system •MYCIN was developed
in 1976
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WHY MYCIN Disease diagnosis and therapy selection
Advise for non expert physicians with time
consideration and incomplete evidence as Bacterial infections of the blood
Extended to other elements
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PROBLEM BEFORE MYCIN• ROBERTS AND VISCONTI:- Only 13% patients are treated rationally 66% are being given irrational treatment 21% are being given questionable treatment
• IRRATIONAL MEANS, FOR
EXAMPLE:- Using a contra-indicated combinationUsing the wrong agent for a specific organisms Not taking the required culture
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DEVELOPMENT OF MYCIN • Developed by ADWARD SHORTLIFFE in
1976
a STANFORD UNIVERSITY in the artificial
intelligence in medicine group
• First system that was implemented into the
medical field
University of Education, Okara Campus 6
HOW MYCIN WAS TESTED FOR ACCURACY • 10 patients for a particular disease were chosen
• Their information was sent to 8 physicians and
MYCIN
• All then came up with recommended treatment
• Those recommendations along with what the
patient actually received as treatment was sent
to 8 unidentified specialists
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WHO WON FROM THE TEST • MYCIN won the test
• MYCIN received the highest score as for
as accuracy and effectiveness of diagnosis
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STAGES IN DAIGNOSIS AND TREATMENT • Decide if there is significant infection
• Identify the causing organism(s) by clinical
and laboratory evidence
• Decide what antibiotic agent the organisms
are sensitive to
• Prescribe the optimal drug combination for
particular case
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RESULTS Never implemented for routine clinical use Shown to be competent by panels of experts
even in case where experts themselves disagreed on conclusions
Key contributions Reuse of production rules( expansion knowledge aquision )
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PROBLEMS • If the system gives an incorrect diagnosis,
who is to be blamed or sued
• Physicians rely to heavily on system
instead of consulting other experts
University of Education, Okara Campus 11
Resources Wikipedia Page
Available at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expert_system Building Expert Systems in Prolog
Available at: http://www.amzi.com/ExpertSystemsInProlog/xsipfrtop.htm
Artificial Intelligence - A modern Approach by Stuart Rassell, Peter Norvig
PC AI – Expert Systems Available at:
http://www.pcai.com/web/ai_info/expert_systems.html VisiRule Web Demos (A simple example):
http://www.lpa.co.uk/vrs_dem.htm