End of year review/preview

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Transcript of End of year review/preview

Nigel Gwilliam

Consultant Head of Digital

IPA

Online MediaA review of 2011 and predictions for 2012 (before the December 21st apocalypse)

—The current Search market (according to a non-specialist)

—5 big things that happened this year

—5 predictions for 2012

What I’ll be talking about

(from a non-search specialist)

Search Marketing Review

The Big Picture: IPA Bellwether

Search & Internet Marketing (much more positive)

You’re in a good place! IPA Bellwether: 3Q2011 vs 2Q2011

“The Bellwether Report reveals a strengthening of marketing budgets in Q3, particularly in the internet and search channels, in a cautious economic environment as brands focus on defending market share and in some instances driving sales growth forward. Digital and search investment continues to grow as brands take cautious shelter in channels that provide measurable return on investment.

Chris WhitelawIPA Search Group Chairman,President, I Spy

SEM attracting budget shifts from where? (US)

Trends & Technologies impacting SEM (US Agencies)

— Mobile search…

… is different

… is local & local is growing exponentially at 50% per year (in the US)

… is social

… needs mobile UX

Check out this presentation I saw in SXSW!

Source: IAB National Search Marketing Barometer, 2010

Marketers rate their SEM knowledge…

5 big things that happened this year

NUMBER 1

— A new epoch: the mobile web

”“

In fact, today's phones have about the same raw

processing power as a laptop from 10 years ago. And

every year they close the gap.Source: The Guardian

A smartphone today would have been the most powerful computer in the world in 1985 Horace Dediu, former Nokia Executive

Smartphones surpass feature phones

Smartphone sales beat PC sales in 2011

NUMBER 2

— The Stupid EU Cookie Law

… in 2 ½ minutes

IPA advice for agencies

— Tell clients there is no need to panic

— BUT don’t do nothing

— Audit the use of cookies

— Classify cookie usage

— Increase prominence of information

— And for OBA…

NUMBER 3

— The rise of Real Time Bidding

The most infamous chart of 2011

“By 2015, more than one in four display ad dollars will be spent via real-time bidding”

International Data Corporation

Spend to quadruple this year

NUMBER 4

— The rise of Facebook as an

advertising medium

2010 2011 20120

50

100

150

200

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Estimated Ad Revenue (£m)

“Facebook now accounts for the majority of net online display growth in the UK.”

Ian Maude, Enders

Facebook steps up

NUMBER 5

—Google changes— Mobile search prioritises mobile content— Removes natural search analytics (for signed

in Google account holders)?

5 predictions for 2012

NUMBER 1

—The GreatTech War of 2012

NUMBER 2

— Forget 3D TV, 2012 is all about

Social TV & Connected TV

Social TV: The Second Screen

Source: Percentage HH, Touchpoints 3 (2010) vs Touchpoints 2 (2008)

Wifi – unleashes laptops (and smartphones)

”“ linear TV, far from being dead, is actually making a resurgence

Chloe Sladden, Twitter

Re-linearization of TV

Connected TV

— “The integration of the internet and Web 2.0 features into modern television sets and set-top boxes, as well as the technological convergence between computers and these television sets / set-top boxes.”

Source: Wikipedia

Online video— accelerating growth set to continue

NUMBER 3

—Local explosion

Local Explosion

— 95% of Smartphone users have searched for local info

— 61% have called, 59% visited after a search— 90% act within 24 hours

Source: Google

Location, location, locationThe mobile phone acts as a cursor that connects the digital and physical worlds

NUMBER 4

—Privacy Push-Back

“Overly strict, static and bureaucratic data-protection rules will have a detrimental impact on Europe’s economy”

said 11 industry associations, including the Business Software Alliance, which counts Microsoft among its members, and IAB Europe, which has Google and Yahoo! Inc. on

its roster.

EU Data Privacy Directive

NUMBER 5

—Tick, tick, BOOM

The Ad Environment Time Bomb

A summary in buzzwords

— Google v Facebook v Apple v Amazon Tech War

— Real time— So(cial) Lo(cal) Mo(bile)— Social, Connected TV— Privacy push-back— Danger UXB