Earthquake Hazards in Western Washington The mega-thrust at the coast Shallow earthquakes in the...

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Intraslab Seismicity

• Largest intraslab earthquakes are in south sound region at base of microseismicity, including 1949 M7.1; 1965 M 6.5 and 2001 M6.8

• Deepest earthquakes are downstream from large events

• Intraslab seismicity is virtually absent north and south of arch

• Intraslab focal mechanisms are widely scattered but generally are in-plane tension

• Should we prepare for M7 or M8 intraslab earthquakes?

Discussion

The largest intraslab earthquakes tend to occur at the base of the seismic zone.

3-D Tomographic Inversion

Active-Source Data

~92,000 first ~92,000 first arrivals from arrivals from active source active source experiments (e.g. experiments (e.g. SHIPS)SHIPS)

1200 wide-angle 1200 wide-angle reflection times reflection times from SHIPSfrom SHIPS

Previous Tomography (Preston et al. 2003)

USGeology

US Topography

Topographic action mark tectonic activity

USA seismicity• Notice that all the action is in the West

– most dramatic topography in the West• Yosemite, Cascade Mts., Big Sur coast, etc.

– few earthquakes in the East

• Some faults as far east as Yellowstone

• No action to west in Pacific plate either– Hawaii is special case - hot spot volcano

US Seismicity

Geologyof western US -Fabric related todeformation

Western boundary of North American Plate

• Type of boundary depends on orientation• Plate boundaries move and change in time• Past 30 My saw major changes & development

of San Andreas Fault• From 80 to 30 My Farallon plate subducted

under west coast.– Juan de Fuca & Cocos plates are remnants of

Farallon plate

Cartoon ofWestern

N. Americatectonics

Vidale

Details: US and Mexico coast

• Three little plates subducting offshore Oregon, Washington, and B. Columbia– Juan de Fuca Plate– Gorda Plate– Explorer Plate

• Spreading ridge splitting Gulf of California– Separating Baja from N. America– Oblique because ridges are combined with transform

faults

• Cocos Plate subducting to the south

Exoticterrain

placement

Accretion of fragmentsto continent

Exotic terrainsWestern N. Am (Cordillera)assembled from small pieces over past 200 My

Changes in west coast• A mid-ocean ridge subducted

– Before that, just subduction on coast– First hit near LA 25 Mya– San Andreas fault system started then

• As ridge is subducting, two triple junctions are moving apart on coast– Mendocino Triple Junction moving north

• NA-Pacific-Juan de Fuca junction

– NA-Pacific-Rivera junction off Baja California

Note present San Andreas fault

Show movie #02

Oregon-Washington

• M 9 every 1000 years, last in 1700

• Recent quakes– M 7.0 in 2000, 6.5 in 1965 in Seattle– M 7.1 in 1949 in Olympia

• Main fault is subduction zone

• Also volcanoes (like Mt. St. Helens)

• Not adequately prepared

• We’ve looked at these faults before– But biggest surface offshore

• Cascadia subduction zone

• 4 cm/yr convergence rate

Pacific - Juan de Fuca spreading

Subduction of J. de F. under N. Am. Iacopi, 27

Note:Plate motionsTriple Junctions

Cartoon view

Show movie #09

Also smaller faults in Seattle

Oregon-Wash.

Close-up

Yeats, 5-2

Note:VolcanoesSan AndreasTriple Junctions

Mt. HoodFrom Portland

Mt Rainier and Seattle

Subduction under Pacific Northwest

• 4 cm/yr of plate convergence– like small convection cell - up at ridge down at

subduction zone

• Site of great underthrusting earthquakes– None in historic record– But evidence for magnitude 9 quake in 1700

• Tsunami sands in buried marsh

• Tsunami in Japan in 1700

• Volcanic arc & eruptions– Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Rainier, Mt. Shasta

Oregon-Washington X-sectCascadia cross-section

Keller, 7-5

Ridge

OlympicMts

CascadeMts

Tsunami sand associated with the 1700 earthquake covering a Native fire pit on the banks of the Salmon River in Oregon. Fire-cracked rocks, charcoal and ashes delineate the fire pit that was dug into the sandy beach.

Last 30 Mya of west coast tectonicsCapeMend.

ETSEvery

15 months

Creager & Wech

*

BS Array

Tremor Migration for

four ETS events

Wech, Creager and Melbourne, JGR, submitted

Tremor and Slip summed over 4 ETS events

Wech, Creager and Melbourne, JGR, submitted

Episodic Tremor and Slip (McCausland et al., GRL 2005)

Cascadia