Post on 21-Jan-2018
Time for big technology bets
Innovation 2025
Plenary sessions
15 November 2017
Vincent BONNEAU, Head of Innovation Unit
Bertrand COPIGNEAUX, Head of R&D
v.bonneau@idate.org
b.copigneaux@idate.org
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Flagship Report on Digital Innovation in 2025
Part of DigiWorld Watch service (included in IDATE Digiworld Subscription for Members !!!)
Flagship Report on Digital Innovation in 2025
Methodology
Third party reports IDATE Digiworld Teams Interviews with Members and R&D experts
Digital Innovations in 2015-2020
Results from previous equivalent works(Conducted in 2014)
Mobile
Cloud Big Data
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
(Pure) Digital Innovations in 2015-2020
Digital Interfaces
# 1
# 7
# 12
# 13
Digital Infrastructure
# 2
# 3
# 6
# 10
Mobile
Social
AR & VR
Cloud
Big Data
Superfast Broadband
Video deliveryCommunication
Two main types of innovation in the past
(Non exhaustive results)
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Major shift in Top 3
(in line with selection of speakers)
Source : IDATE DigiWorld
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025Major shift in Top 3
• Back in the spotlight with VPA and DeepMind
• Fast growth of investments since 2012
• Benefiting from cloud and Big Data
• Already close to 30 million service robots in use
• Strong acceleration of adoption from 2020
• 24% CAGR for the next 10 years
• 27 billion connected objects by 2025
• 13% CAGR for the next 10 years
• Automotive and utilities as the main markets
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, BloomBerg, Berg Insight, Tractica
IoT
AI
Robots
Innovation in transition
2020 : Connected People 2025 : Smart Machines
Innovation DAshboard of TEchnologies (= IDATE)
Maturity(tech)
Adoption level
3D
Mainstream
Wild Cards
Usual
suspects
Biggest bets
The bigger the image, the higher in the ranking
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Mainstream
Fast maturation of some technologies; No more in Top 15 (Non exhaustive results)
• 135 minutes spent per day per internet user
• 20% of all online & mobile time
• 32 Billion EUR from paid mobile apps in 2016
• Usage dominated by communication services and games
• M-commerce already close to 30% of e-commerce
• 1,8 billion users of 4G in 2016 (CAGR of 26%)
• Coverage above 70% of territory
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, Statista
Mobile
Social
Networks
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Usual suspects (and indeed Late bloomers)
Still seen more as the future than the present (Non exhaustive results)
• Industry 4.0 getting some traction
• Consumer solutions showing limited adoption
• Huge expectations around connected cars (43% CAGR next 15 years)
• Considered as a top concern by most companies with new threats
• Slow uptake, especially by consumers despite explosion of usage
• Mobile security and biometrics on the rise
• 19 billion USD invested in 2015, more than 150 by 2021
• Plenty of initiatives in crowdfunding, chatbots, new banking models
• Adoption remains limited so far, even for mobile payments
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, PwC
IoT
Cybersecurity
Fintech
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Wild cards
Huge impacts but unclear timeline; Not ranked in Top 15 in the last years (Non exhaustive results)
• Disruption in the security models through decentralization
• Essentially adopted in the financial services industry
• Only 2 billion USD revenues by 2021
• Disruption for care and monitoring of patients
• Additional growth coming from silver economy initiatives
• Only 90 million connected devices by 2020, limited by business model issues
• Already 83 billion USD markets in 2014
• Huge needs for better batteries and consumption optimization
• Development of energy storage and harvesting
Source : IDATE DigiWorld, GrandView Research, Freedonia
Blockchain
E-Health
Energy storage
Innovation in transition
Moving from DIGITAL to PHYGITAL (Physical&Digital)
Source : Deloitte
Digital Innovations in 2020-2025
Emerging Techs for next rounds ?
Quantum Computing Li-Fi Implantable Tech
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