Post on 06-May-2015
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Anticipation nationWelcome to the enterprise of 2020Paul MullerChief Evangelist, HP SoftwareTwitter: @xthestreams
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2019?
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“The last time a data scientist was left in charge!…”
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…it wasn’t (entirely) the data scientist’s fault
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The real culprit might have been the king maker of the 1800’s
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Cash hoarding and risk averse
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Bias for short-term
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Monocultures
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Mounting
technical
debt
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“not invented here”
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BYOD BYOx
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Same modelsSame dataSame vendors
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Same result
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The signs were there…(if you new where to look)
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What will matter in 2020?
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Most of us will live in cities
http://www.citymayors.com/statistics/urban_2020_1.html
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Young and old, more people will shape our planet
US Census Bureau
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Global top 10 consuming middle classes
Emerging middle classes will redefine markets
The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries, Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution, June, 2011
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Scarce resources will make us resourceful
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We’ll wrestle with security, privacy and openness
Guardian UK, http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/mar/02/cctv-cameras-watching-surveillance
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We will build our businesses on dynamic services
0% 1% to 25%
26% to 50%
51% to 75%
76% to 100%
1%
16%
47%
22%14%
Percentage of apps composed of
multiple services in 2020
Q: What percent of your organization’s applications do you expect will be composite by 2020, that is consisting of multiple services built and/or hosted in different environments?
IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012
Dynamic organizations and processes based on human and IT services anywhere
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We will re-imagine computation
What we expectWe will see vast increases in the data we need to manage
• 44x more data in 2020 vs 20091
• 33x more mobile network traffic in 2020 vs 20102
We will see advances in technology
• New computer/storage blocks that enable us to process huge amounts of data in real time
• Advanced software to gain insight across unstructured and structured data
• Application development and IT management software designed for vast processor power
1IDC, The Digital Universe Decade , May 2010, sponsored by EMC Corp. 2UMTS Forum, Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020, January 2011
IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012
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We will have cognitive systems as partners
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_robotics
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Welcome to 2020
Concentrated
Democratized
Connected
Instrumented
Innovative
Always on
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Welcome to 2020
Concentrated
Democratized
Connected
Instrumented
Innovative
Always on
Uncertain
Polarized
Vulnerable
Monitored
Disruptive
Distracted
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Winners?
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Multi-disciplinary and diverse
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Excel at collaborating with suppliers and customers
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LOVE CHANGE!
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From idea to implementation
Strategy
Risk & Compliance
Development
All suffer from “a miracle
happens here” syndrome –
MDM, etc etc
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The secret sauce of enterprise 2020?
Operations
• Governs ultimatevelocity and agility
• Connective tissue between functions
• Killer vs Keepers of the culture
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Boundary spanners
Strategy
Risk & Compliance
Development
ChiefOps
DevOps
SecOpsDataOps
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What about the data scientists?
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ScientistsObserve | Correlate |Model and test
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ArtistsChallenge | Design | Inspire
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Model scientists and data artists Realising parking lot occupancy
can be used to predict sales performance, that’s art
Turning the results into a reliable model, that’s science
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A possible 2020 playbook
People & culture
Different roles – developer, integrators, scientistsDifferent mentality – curious, risk seeker
Different skills - professionals vs experts
Process Collaborative - sharing, borderless
Scientific – hypothesize, model, test & refine
Enabling - Control models, not change
Technology
Massive scale, real-time, distributed
Meaning based, deductive modeling
Declarative, automated, proactively secured
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A collaborative effort to not just imagine the enterprise of tomorrow, but shape it
Participate in the exclusive preview
hp.com/go/enterprise2020#enterprise2020@enterprise20_20
Join the Enterprise 20/20 Community
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Thank You
Paul Muller@xthestreams