Chart Book and Financial Market Update (6/2/14)

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Take a look at this week’s Chart Book from Accuvest Global Advisors with updates on the following: Global Financial Conditions Global Equity Markets Interest Rates and Fixed Income The Economy Major Currencies Commodities Investor Sentiment Accuvest Global Advisors is a California based RIA and sub-advisor of the AdvisorShares Accuvest Global Opportunities ETF (ACCU) and the AdvisorShares Accuvest Global Long Short ETF (AGLS).

Transcript of Chart Book and Financial Market Update (6/2/14)

Weekly Chart BookJune 2, 2014

Global Clients…Global Portfolios

disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.

Financial Conditions

4

Developed Markets – Week to Date

5

Emerging Markets – Week to Date

6

US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period

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7

The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)

8

AAII Bullishness Index - % Bullish

9

StateStreet Investor Confidence Index

10

Global Financial Stress Index (Higher = More Stress)

11

Citi Macro Risk Index

12

SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Overnight Lending Rate)

13

S&P 500 – This Week

14

10 Year UST Yields – This Week

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15

Gold Price – This Week

Fixed Income & Credit

17

US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)

18

UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve

19

U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield

20

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield

21

Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)

22

Investment Grade Bond Prices

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23

Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

24

High Yield Bond Prices

25

High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

26

Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)

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27

Emerging Market Bond Spreads

Global Equities

29

World Equity Indices

30

MSCI All Country World Index

31

S&P 500 Index

32

MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index

33

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

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34

Equity Risk Premiums by Country

35

Sector Performance by Region (YTD)

36

Earnings Scorecard: Q1 2014 S&P 500

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The Economy

38

Last week’s Economic Calendar

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39

Next week’s Economic Calendar

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40

Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)

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41

US Consumer Confidence

42

US Personal Income Growth (Year over Year)

43

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Above 50 = Expansion)

44

US Non-Farm Payrolls (Monthly Change)

45

6 Month Outlook for Increase Capital Expenditures

46

NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures

47

Fed’s Total Credit Market Borrowing and Lending

48

US Auto Sales Total (Annualized SA)

Currencies & Commodities

50

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)

51

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q4 2014)

52

US Dollar Index $

53

Euro €

54

Japanese Yen ¥

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55

Mexican Peso

56

Brazilian Real

57

Russian Ruble

58

Indian Rupee

59

Chinese Renminbi

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60

Global Commodity Prices

61

Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years

62

Gold Prices – 5 Years

63

Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years

Investment Themes & Value

65

Industry - Valuations

66

Technology

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67

U.S. Financials Services

68

Energy Exploration & Production

69

Goldcorp

70

Yamana

71

High Yield Bonds

72

Short Term High Yield Bonds

73

US Dollar Bullish