Post on 17-Oct-2019
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 18.12.2019
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.
Last update:
Period:2018 2019 % Chg
EU-28 1 482 872 1 604 856 + 8.2 %Philippines 141 617 193 304 + 36.5 %
Ghana 134 200 151 937 + 13.2 %
Ukraine 151 093 148 480 - 1.7 %
South Africa 64 618 110 259 + 70.6 %
Hong Kong 113 249 93 825 - 17.2 %
Vietnam 74 384 80 125 + 7.7 %
Benin 80 107 68 794 - 14.1 %
Other 723 604 758 133 + 4.8 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Oct
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2019/2018 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
+ 1.7%
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roil
er
- 1.0% + 1.2%
Period: 2018 2019 % Chg
EU-28 688 723 723 304 + 5.0%
Thailand 260 978 271 872 + 4.2 %
Brazil 255 036 270 930 + 6.2 %
Ukraine 105 600 111 498 + 5.6 %
Chile 33 731 30 679 - 9.0 %
China 19 980 26 653 + 33.4 %
Argentina 6 255 5 528 - 11.6 %
Switzerland 2 645 2 224 - 15.9 %
Other 4 500 3 920 - 12.9 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Oct
EU-28 IMPORTS
( Main Partners in 2019/2018 )
11
68
7
12
15
4
12
38
1
12
71
6
12
80
5
13
26
3
13
78
8
14
49
5
14
57
0
15
24
8
15
55
7
15
74
2
11
61
9
11
80
0
11
92
2
12
23
3
12
28
5
12
71
9
13
25
4
13
83
1
13
82
7
14
45
7
14
76
1
14
94
8
101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 50
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler
83%
Turkey
13%
Duck3%
Others
1%
Production of poultry meat
184.50
170
175
180
185
190
195
€ / 1
00
kg
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2014-18 2018 2019
184.50
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€ /
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
154.21
119.10
184.50
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2545.14
17%
UK1957.82
13%FR
173211%
ES1636.83
11%
DE157210%
IT1284.95
9%
Others4416.69
29%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2018Total EU = 15 145
6 MSs =
71% of total EU production
(+ 4.8% over 2017)
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2017 2018 2019
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2017 2018 2019
87
5
90
2
80
7
81
3 68
9
72
3
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 5
08
1 6
79
1 6
71
1 7
80 14
83
1 6
05
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2 000
2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2017 2018 2019
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2017 2018 2019
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
EU
EU
Tha
ila
nd
Tha
ila
nd
Ch
ina
+ H
. Ko
ng
Ch
ina
+ H
. Ko
ng
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o Se
p)
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o Se
p)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).
Qty
in 1
00
0 T
on
nes
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to October).
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Ch
ina
+ H
. Ko
ng
Ch
ina
+ H
. Ko
ng
Jap
an
Jap
an
Me
xico
(up
to
Se
p)
Me
xico
(up
to
Se
p)
EU EU
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th A
fric
a
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p t
o S
ep)
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p t
o S
ep)
Taiw
an
(up
to
Sep
)
Taiw
an
(up
to
Sep
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).
Qty
in 1
00
0 T
on
nes
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to October).
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Pric
es
+ 1.7% - 1.0% + 1.2%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 50
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
184.50
170
175
180
185
190
195
€ / 1
00
kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€ / 1
00
kg
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2014-18 2018 2019
184.50
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Broiler83%
Turkey13%
Duck3%
Others1%
Production of poultry meat
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
PreviousPage
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = CEPEA/ESALQ chilled chicken prices - São Paulo State
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€ /
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
154.21
119.10
184.50
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2017 2018 2019
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2017 2018 2019
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2017 2018 2019
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2017 2018 2019
PL2545.14
17%
UK1957.82
13%FR
173211%
ES1636.83
11%
DE157210%
IT1284.95
9%
Others4416.57
29%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2018Total EU = 15 145
6 MSs =
71% of total EU production
(+ 4.8% over 2017)
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Source: Eurostat
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1168
7
1215
4
1238
1
1271
6
1280
5
1326
3
1378
8
1449
5
1457
0
1524
8
1555
7
1574
2
1161
9
1180
0
1192
2
1223
3
1228
5
1271
9
1325
4
1383
1
1382
7
1445
7
1476
1
1494
8
101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: DG AGRI Short-term outlook report
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Braz
il
Braz
il
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
EU EU
Thai
land
Thai
land
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukra
ine
(up
to Se
p)
Ukra
ine
(up
to Se
p)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).
Qty i
n 10
00 To
nnes
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to October).
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Japa
n
Japa
n
Mex
ico
(up
to Se
p)
Mex
ico
(up
to Se
p)
EU EU
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
Sep)
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
Sep)
Taiw
an (u
p to
Sep)
Taiw
an (u
p to
Sep)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).
Qty i
n 10
00 To
nnes
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to October).
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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1 50
8 1 6
79
1 67
1
1 7
80 14
83 1 6
05
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2 000
2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2019/2018)
Period:2018 2019 % Chg
EU-28 1 482 872 1 604 856 + 8.2 %Philippines 141 617 193 304 + 36.5 %
Ghana 134 200 151 937 + 13.2 %
Ukraine 151 093 148 480 - 1.7 %
South Africa 64 618 110 259 + 70.6 %
Hong Kong 113 249 93 825 - 17.2 %
Vietnam 74 384 80 125 + 7.7 %
Benin 80 107 68 794 - 14.1 %
Other 723 604 758 133 + 4.8 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2019/2018)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Oct
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87
5 90
2
80
7
81
3 689 72
3
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19
EU Imports evolution(In 1000 tonnes CW)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2019/2018)
Period: 2018 2019 % Chg
EU-28 688 723 723 304 + 5.0%
Thailand 260 978 271 872 + 4.2 %
Brazil 255 036 270 930 + 6.2 %
Ukraine 105 600 111 498 + 5.6 %
Chile 33 731 30 679 - 9.0 %
China 19 980 26 653 + 33.4 %
Argentina 6 255 5 528 - 11.6 %
Switzerland 2 645 2 224 - 15.9 %
Other 4 500 3 920 - 12.9 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2019/2018)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Oct