Post on 14-May-2015
CAPITAL MARKETS
2013 State of the Industry
Chairman’s Letter
To Our Readers,
At BoyarMiller, when we partner with clients, we work as
a strategic part of their business team, and that means
we have to be experienced in more than just law. We also
need to understand their industry so that we are able to work
collaboratively with them and add value to their business.
That’s why we bring together the top insights into industry trends
and best practices, and deliver it to you. Not only has this infor-
mation been invaluable to us and to our clients, but we hope
it will be beneficial to you as well.
The information in this publication has been gathered from
industry-leading clients we have partnered with and from our
own capital markets team. If you find value in it and would like
to hear more, join us for our next BoyarMiller Breakfast Forum.
Sincerely,
Chris Hanslik
Firm Chairman
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Your strategic partner should be an expert in your industry, not just law.At BoyarMiller, we’re committed to providing insightful, versatile expertise to organizations
of all sizes as we guide them through complex business issues. We know that in order
to understand how best to collaborate with you, we need to know your industry and
your business.
To this end, we gathered the best insights into capital markets trends and best practices
from industry-leading clients we have partnered with and from our own capital markets
team. It’s our hope that the information we’ve accumulated through years of collaborative
work in the capital markets industry will be beneficial for you.
INTRODUCTION
Your strategic partner requires knowledge of trends, industry and law.
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SHIFT IN INVESTMENT PRIORITIESThe “great rotation” from bonds to
stocks is on the horizon. There has
been a falling 10-year treasury yield
for the last 30 years. As long as the
Federal Reserve continues to set and
manipulate rates, the marketplace
can be expected to look the same.
But the Fed has been 70% of the bid in
recent treasury auctions; once their bid goes away, who can make up the difference?
Smart investors are trading interest rate risk for credit risk – going away from the treasury –
and watching for the Fed to taper its bond buying.
JOB CREATION STILL ON THE RISESmall- and mid-sized companies are
the majority contributor of net new jobs
in the United States. As the beneficiaries
of middle market private equity trans-
actions, they have benefited from
continued low interest rates. In Houston
specifically, the ongoing growth of the
energy market has helped the city to lead the nation in employment growth. Only Dallas
ties Houston’s employment growth rate of 3.6%.
FOREIGN MONEY TALKSCross-border capital into the U.S. remains
strong. Canadian asset managers and
REITs, Singaporean sovereign wealth
funds, German investment managers,
and Chinese private HNW individuals
have been highly active this year-to-date. Canada leads the charge with $7.09 billion in
capital this year. Meanwhile, South Korea, which has invested $1.45 billion this year, has
generated a lot of interest in Houston and in the broader energy market.
STATE OF THE INDUSTRY
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HOUSTON’S EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATE IS 3.6%
$7.09B IN CANADIAN CAPITAL
HISTORICALLY, FEDERAL RESERVE HAS BEEN 70% OF TREASURY AUCTION BIDS
Private Equity and M&A ActivityWHAT SETS HOUSTON APART?Houston is now considered the No. 4 gateway market, listed behind the expected leaders Manhattan, L.A. and D.C. The bottom line is that energy is a great place to be, and Hous-ton has cornered the energy market. As we take advantage of the opportunities provided by cheap domestic energy, other industries will begin to grow as well and make Houston and the U.S. more competitive.
2013 REGULATORY TRENDSCliff Atherton, PhD, CFA, Managing Director, GulfStar Group
• MIDDLE MARKET PRIVATE EQUITY DRIVES GROWTH: While middle market deals – those under $250 million – normally represent about 25% of total deal value, they are 80-90% of deal volume. These transactions are very important for the U.S. in terms of providing compa-nies with new capital – primary dollars.
• HOUSTON IS “DIFFERENTIATED” – AT LEAST WITHIN ENERGY: While Houston has made little progress in differentiating outside of the energy industry, its upstream, midstream and downstream markets are strong. Private equity is getting ahead of the coming uptick in pipeline services, which will have a tremendous number of projects in 2014 and 2015.
• M&A ACTIVITY BACK TO PRE-CRASH LEVELS: Middle market companies are back up and trading above the multiples they were trading at before the crash, at least partly because of low interest rates. Because of the availability of capital, the marketplace for these assets is going to be pretty robust for the near future.
• IS THE DEAL MARKET REALLY SLOWING DOWN?: This question has gotten a lot of play recently, but we’ve seen our volume of activity pick up since the first quarter. You’ll see those closings begin to happen late in Q3 and Q4, and on into the first of next year. It looks like plenty of capital is coming into private companies until year’s end.
EXPERT INSIGHT
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Cliff Atherton is an investment banker with more than 25 years of experience in corporate finance and more than 30 years of experience in teaching finance at the graduate level. As Managing Director at GulfStar Group, Cliff works with entre-preneurs and family-owned businesses with enterprise values between $25 and $250 million. He earned a BA from Rice University, MBA and PhD degrees from The University of Texas, and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
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Equity and the Public MarketsWHAT SETS HOUSTON APART?In comparison to the U.S. GDP growth rate of 2%, Texas is growing at 5% and Houston is
growing at 4.8%. We’re getting to borrow money at interest rates based on much lower
national growth rates. We have a 300 basis point spread between the GDP growth rate of
Houston and the 10-year treasury, which is very high in comparison to both other markets
and Houston’s historical spread.
2013 PUBLIC MARKET TRENDSDrew Kanaly, Chairman and CEO, Kanaly Trust
• “GREAT ROTATION” FROM BONDS TO EQUITIES IS IN ITS EARLY STAGES: The Federal Reserve is
preparing to normalize monetary policy. While it’s unlikely that we’ll see a major rate rise
from the Fed before 2015, smart investors should look at the possibility that a 30-year bull
market in bonds could soon be over.
• WILL RISING RATES DERAIL THE STOCK MARKET?: Historically, even when interest rates rose
significantly, you still made money in stocks in the long run. However, we haven’t seen an
unwind of a Fed policy of this magnitude. While the effect of this rise may prove similar
to those before, it’s worth watching closely.
• KANALY TRUST INVESTMENT PRIORITIES: At Kanaly, we’re going to avoid long-duration fixed
income strategies. For our municipal bonds, we’re in for less than five years. Some of the
funds we’ve utilized have a duration of less than two years. We’re swapping interest rate
risk for credit risk in the hopes that with selective management we can insulate ourselves
from a rising interest rate environment.
• MOVEMENT TOWARD PRIVATE EQUITY, REAL ASSETS: Clients with the ability to do so are
moving into private equity and real asset plays. As some of our favorite risk management
tools go away, we’re thinking about other asset allocation options.
Drew Kanaly has more than 30 years of experience in trust and investments. He leads Kanaly Trust as Chairman and CEO. Since earning his BBA in Finance from the University of Houston, he has attended the American Bankers Association’s National Graduate Trust School in Northwestern University and The Texas Bankers Association Regional Trust School at Southern Methodist University, and earned a Certified Trust and Financial Advisor (CTFA) designation.
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Real Estate FinanceWHAT SETS HOUSTON APART?Houston is the No. 1 ranked apartment market in the nation with more than 15,000 units to
be delivered in the next 12 months. And in the office space, Houston accounts for 28.6% of
construction starts in the top 11 markets since Q1 2012. Despite all that new construction,
more than 70% of that space is pre-leased.
2013 REAL ESTATE FINANCE TRENDSTom Fish, Executive Managing Director/Co-Head Real Estate Investment Banking, Jones Lang LaSalle
• COST INCREASES HAVE LESS EFFECT THAN EXPECTED: We have had a net increase of
roughly 50 basis points in the cost of long-term real estate borrowing in about a five-
month period of time. While that’s pretty dramatic, the good news is that we have seen
little effect on real estate values. It’s likely that because overall borrowing rates were so
low, we were able to absorb much of that increase. That may change moving forward.
• COMMERCIAL BANK LENDING REBOUNDS FROM DOWNTURN: For the first time since the
recession, commercial banks’ net exposure has gone up. They’re funding much of the
construction around the city. They’re also providing, more than ever, longer-term
stabilized property asset loans. They’re competing for loans that would usually be
funded by the commercial mortgage-backed security market, life insurance
companies or other lenders.
• TEXAS IS FILLING UP THE NATION’S OFFICE SPACE: 25% of all office absorption in the country
is occurring in two markets: the energy markets in Dallas and Houston. While the tech
market is still taking a large share of the office space, it’s made up of many more
markets: Silicon Valley, Austin, Portland, San Francisco and Seattle.
• OPTIMISM ABOUNDS IN THE REAL ESTATE CAPITAL MARKETS: We’re very optimistic about the
ongoing flow of capital into the commercial real estate space. This is still a disciplined
space that requires deals to make sound economic sense. Attracting capital has
become easier, and a continued cautious approach will keep the markets in check.
Tom Fish co-leads the Real Estate Investment Banking (REIB) practice, which is part of the Jones Lang LaSalle Capital Markets Group. As Executive Managing Director, Tom focuses on national lender relation-ships, high profile loan originations and debt restructurings for owner and lender clients. He has specifically advised clients on more than $8 billion of debt/equity origination and/or product disposition over the past 10 years.
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Middle Market M&A and Private EquityBy BoyarMiller’s Philip Dunlap and Bill Boyar
With the September 18th announcement that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not reduce its
current $85 million pace of monthly bond buying, the anticipated “great rotation” away
from a decades-long bull market in bonds will likely be delayed at least until the Fed
begins to taper its bond buying. What does this decision mean for the capital markets for
M&A and private equity in the middle market? How will these sectors be affected when
the Fed ultimately does begin to taper its current pace of bond buying? The answers to
these questions will guide middle market M&A activity and private equity investing
through the end of 2013 and into 2014.
M&ABecause the Fed will continue to purchase bonds at the same rate as it has recently, the
rise in interest rates that many economists and industry experts were predicting will likely
be delayed. This may be good news for M&A activity, especially as it relates to private
equity funds’ ability to finance their transactions. As interest rates remain at historically
low levels, senior debt should continue to be an attractive and readily available source
for financing M&& transactions.
In the first half of 2013, senior debt accounted for an average of 42.1% of the total
enterprise value (TEV) of transactions, while mezzanine or other subordinate debt only
accounted for 10.8% of TEV. When compared to 2011 and 2012 levels where senior debt
accounted for approximately 36.5% of TEV and mezzanine debt accounted for approxi-
mately 16% of TEV, it is apparent that senior lenders have been increasingly willing to lend
to purchasers on buyout deals.
With senior debt comprising a larger piece of the TEV pie, buyers are willing to pay higher
EBITDA multiples. In 2012, the average middle market transaction was valued at 6.3 times
EBITDA. The multiples change when looking at different deal sizes. Smaller middle market
deals (those between $10 million and $25 million) saw an average EBITDA multiple of 5.7x in
2012, while larger middle market deals (those between $100 million and $250 million) saw
an average EBITDA multiple of 7.5x. These multiples are similar to what was seen prior to the
economic crash in 2008 and 2009. As long as senior debt is available on terms similar to
what has been available in 2012 and the first half of 2013, EBITDA multiples should remain
near the ranges that have been typical of the past 18 months.
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However, in the event that interest rates rise (whether as a result of the Fed’s tapering of
bond buying or due to separate issues), it should be expected that senior financing would
not be as plentiful. In that situation, buyers will likely turn back to mezzanine/subordinate
debt sources to fill the gap in their financing needs. This will in turn affect the EBITDA multi-
ples that buyers will likely pay in any given transaction. EBITDA multiples of 6.2x to 6.3x for
middle market deals may ultimately decrease when interest rates rise.
PRIVATE EQUITYWhile the capital overhang of unin-
vested private equity commitments
is declining, there is still significant dry
powder remaining in 2009 and older
funds. This overhang, coupled with
the current attractive senior financing
opportunities should continue to drive
substantial activity in the private equity
market – both in aggregate capital
invested and total deal count. Addition-
ally, because private equity funds currently hold almost 4,000 portfolio companies that
we purchased in 2008 or earlier, there should not be a significant slowdown in M&A
and private equity led recapitalization activity for those portfolio companies through
2014 and into 2015.
Despite the positive outlook for the next 18 months, whenever the Fed does eventually
taper its bond-buying and/or increases the overnight interest rates, the resulting increase
in interest rates across the board will likely force senior financing available, the ability to
reach the fund’s targeted internal rate of return will require greater diligence and planning
as funds are forced to look at mezzanine debt or other financing sources.
CONCLUSIONThe Fed’s decision to delay the expected tapering of its bond buying should mean that the
market and activity levels for M&A and private equity of the past 18 months will continue
for the near term. This is welcome news as private equity continues to be a major source
of equity capital for the U.S. economy. In 2012, private equity funds invested 10 times
more new equity in the market than IPOs. Furthermore, small and mid-size companies –
those that are beneficiaries of middle market private equity transactions – are the majority
contributor of net new jobs in the United States.
However, when the tapering begins and interest rates eventually rise, private equity funds
and those who work with middle market companies will be required to face the chal-
lenges of how to close deals with fewer dollars of senior financing in the capital stack.
Middle Market M&A and Private Equity, continued
PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS INVESTED 10 TIMES MORE NEW EQUITY IN THE MARKET THAN IPOS IN 2012.
Gary Miller
Chairman, Business Group
Gary oversees the firm’s corporate and commercial matters,
with emphasis in his practice on mergers and acquisitions. He has
extensive experience in capital formation, contract negotiations/
documentation, lending, factoring and day-to-day representation
of corporations and other business entities. Gary is often called
upon to represent insurance agencies in their capital transactions
Bill Boyar Shareholder, Business Group
Bill’s practice focuses on representing the various parties involved
in the acquisition, disposition, capitalization and financing of assets
and businesses on a national and international level. He has served
as lead counsel on numerous complex, multi-party acquisitions
and project financings with significant experience in experience
in corporate finance, private equity, mergers & acquisitions, real
estate and hospitality. He assists clients in strategic planning and
capital formation processes, maintaining a network of private and
institutional clients and contacts worldwide.
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FINANCE AND CAPITAL FORMATION PRACTICE LEADERS
Gus Bourgeois Shareholder, Business Group
Gus’s practice involves a wide variety of corporate transactions
including the acquisition, financing and disposition of business enti-
ties through asset and stock purchase transactions, sales of debt
and equity securities, and complex domestic and international
transactions. His clients range from small, start-up businesses to
established enterprises with international operations.
Stephen Johnson Shareholder, Business Group
Stephen’s transactional practice includes mergers and acquisitions,
asset and stock purchase and sale transactions, private equity
investments, formation of business entities, restructuring, capital for-
mation, contracts and similar agreements, and general corporate
matters. He places the utmost emphasis on providing clients with
the highest quality of service in an efficient and effective manner.
PRAC
TICE LEA
DERS
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Steve Kesten Shareholder, Business Group
Steve’s practice includes private placements and other sales and
purchases of debt or equity securities; mergers, asset acquisitions
and sales; formation and representation of private equity funds,
venture capital funds and hedge funds, entity selection and
formation (including drafting complex limited liability company
and partnership agreements and corporate charters having
multiple classes of common and preferred stock), and general
contract review. He also has experience representing both lenders
and borrower in asset-based lending transactions involving senior
lenders, mezzanine lenders and factoring companies.
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At BoyarMiller, we help our clients’ access private and institutional
equity and debt capital through our extensive network of domestic
and international capital relationships. The firm’s experience
covers a broad spectrum including:
• Capital Plan Development
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Conventional Asset-Based
& Mezzanine Financing
• Equity Sourcing
• Growth Strategies
• Mergers & Acquisitions
• Private Equity &
Venture Capital
• Strategic Plan Development
• Transaction Structuring