Austin Economy MarketWatch - Texas A&M University · S&P 500 2134.72 1810.10 Prime Rate 3.50 3.25...

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Transcript of Austin Economy MarketWatch - Texas A&M University · S&P 500 2134.72 1810.10 Prime Rate 3.50 3.25...

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHMARCH 2016

REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK

Austin Employment By Industry (Trailing 12 Months)

INDUSTRY (NON FARM) JAN 2016 JAN 2015 % GROWTH

Mining, Logging & Construction 58,700 52,900 11.0%

Manufacturing 56,500 57,200 -1.2%

Trade, Transportation & Utilities 168,800 160,500 5.2%

Information 27,000 26,200 3.1%

Financial Services 53,700 52,400 2.5%

Professional & Business Services 162,400 153,300 5.9%

Education & Health Services 113,300 107,700 5.2%

Leisure & Hospitality 116,600 106,800 9.2%

Other Services 40,900 39,500 3.5%

Government 173,700 171,700 1.2%

TOTAL 971,600 928,200 4.7%

SOURCE: MLS Austin, Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce

Unemployment RateAUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Year-End 2009 6.9% 7.6% 9.3%

Year-End 2010 6.8% 8.3% 9.4%

Year-End 2011 6.3% 7.2% 8.3%

Year-End 2012 5.1% 6.1% 7.8%

Year-End 2013 4.5% 5.6% 6.5%

Year-End 2014 3.4% 4.1% 5.4%

Year-End 2015 3.1% 4.2% 4.8%

January 2016 3.2% 4.4% 5.3%

PopulationYEAR-END AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

2009 1,705,075 24,782,302 307,006,550

2010 1,716,289 25,145,562 308,745,358

2011 1,783,519 25,674,681 311,591,917

2012 1,836,149 26,060,796 313,873,685

2013 1,885,803 26,448,193 316,128,839

2014 1,943,299 24,956,958 320,355,064

2015 2,020,452 27,469,114 321,418,820

Average Home Prices :: January 2016AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Average Price $345,600 $256,600 $266,800

Median Price $272,300 $201,900 $224,000

Mo. of Inventory 2.1 3.2 3.9

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission, Bureau of Labor Statistics

SOURCE: Texas A&M REal Estate Center, US Census Bureau

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission

U.S. Key Indicators

This information is current as of the publication date of this report. If you need up-to-the-minute, real-time numbers for any or all of these key indicators, visit the WSJ Market Data Center by clicking this link: http://markets.wsj.com/usoverview

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

DJIA 18351.36 15370.33NASDAQ 5231.94 4209.76S&P 500 2134.72 1810.10

Prime Rate 3.50 3.50Money Mkt 0.42 0.22

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

30 Yr Fixed 4.22 3.5715 Yr Fixed 3.42 2.855 Yr ARM 3.86 3.14Jumbo 4.97 4.00Fannie Mae 3.750 2.979

Mining, Logging & Construction

6%

Manufacturing6%

Trade, Transportation &

Utilities18%

Information3%

Financial Services5%

Professional & Business Services

33%

Educational & Health Services

12%

Leisure & Hospitality

17%

Other Services4%

Government19%

Industry CompositionAustin MSA

Copyright © 2016 Transwestern. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or distributed to third parties without written permission of the copyright owner. The information contained in this report was gathered by Transwestern from CoStar and other primary and secondary sources believed to be reliable. Transwestern, however, makes no representation concerning the accuracy or completeness of such information and expressly disclaims any responsibility for any inaccuracy contained herein.

METHODOLOGY

The information in this report is the result of a compilation of publicly available data from a variety of commercial and government sources.

CONTACT

Karen JudsonVice President512.328.5600karen.judson@transwestern.com

T 512.328.5600 F 512.328.9309www.transwestern.com/austin

901 S MoPac Expressway, Suite 4-250Austin, Texas 78746

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHMARCH 2016

About Transwestern

Transwestern is a privately held, SSAE 16 compliant commercial real estate firm specializing in agency leasing, property and facilities management, tenant advisory, capital markets, research and sustainability. The fully integrated global enterprise leverages competencies in office, industrial, retail, multifamily and healthcare properties to add value for investors, owners and occupiers of real estate. As a member of the Transwestern family of companies, the firm capitalizes on market insights and operational expertise of independent affiliates specializing in development, real estate investment management and research. Transwestern has 34 U.S. offices and assists clients through more than 181 offices in 40 countries as part of a strategic alliance with Paris-based BNP Paribas Real Estate. For more information, please visit transwestern.com/austin and follow us on Twitter: @TranswesternATX.

Austin Team Members

Ty Puckett, Executive Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3572 ty.puckett@transwestern.comHale Umstattd, Executive Managing Director Investment Sales & Corp. Services (512) 314.3551 hale.umstattd@transwestern.comLeah Gallagher, Managing Director Investment Sales (512) 314.3571 leah.gallagher@transwestern.comJeff Rogers, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5207 jeff.rogers@transwestern.comChris Stutzman, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5203 chris.stutzman@transwestern.comMike Brown, Senior Vice President Agency Leasing & Business Development (512) 314.3552 mike.brown@tranwestern.comBritt Reed, Senior Vice President Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3577 britt.reed@transwestern.comGreg Johnson, Vice President Agency Leasing (512) 314.3570 greg.johnson@transwestern.comLuke Wheeler, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3553 luke.wheeler@transwestern.comWill Stewart, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3574 will.stewart@transwestern.comBrandon Lester, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3576 brandon.lester@transwestern.comTracy Fike, Associate Tenant Advisory & Agency Leasing (512) 314.5215 tracy.fike@transwestern.comJosh Delk, Associate Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3557 josh.delk@transwestern.comTim Ryan, Development Associate Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3961 tim.ryan@transwestern.comRobert Gaston, Executive Vice President Southwest | City Leader (512) 314.3554 robert.gaston@transwestern.comKaren Judson, Vice President Marketing & Research (512) 314.3560 karen.judson@transwestern.com

BUILDING PERMITS ISSUED :: AUSTIN MSA

SOURCE: Texas A&M Real Estate Center

PERMITS: MULTIFAMILYPERMITS: SINGLE FAMILY

1,500

1,000

500

2,000

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

N 2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15

4Q15

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHFEBRUARY 2016

REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK

Austin Employment By Industry (Trailing 12 Months)

INDUSTRY (NON FARM) DEC 2015 DEC 2014 % GROWTH

Mining, Logging & Construction 54,600 50,400 8.3%

Manufacturing 56,300 57,900 -2.8%

Trade, Transportation & Utilities 168,100 164,300 2.3%

Information 26,300 25,800 1.9%

Financial Services 54,300 52,600 3.2%

Professional & Business Services 165,400 152,200 8.7%

Education & Health Services 112,000 109,500 2.3%

Leisure & Hospitality 113,700 105,600 7.7%

Other Services 41,100 39,900 3.0%

Government 171,900 170,600 0.8%

TOTAL 963,700 928,800 3.8%

SOURCE: MLS Austin, Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce

Unemployment RateAUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Year-End 2008 4.4% 4.9% 5.8%

Year-End 2009 6.9% 7.6% 9.3%

Year-End 2010 6.8% 8.3% 9.4%

Year-End 2011 6.3% 7.2% 8.3%

Year-End 2012 5.1% 6.1% 7.8%

Year-End 2013 4.5% 5.6% 6.5%

Year-End 2014 3.4% 4.1% 5.4%

December 2015 3.1% 4.2% 4.8%

PopulationYEAR-END AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

2009 1,705,075 24,782,302 307,006,550

2010 1,716,289 25,145,562 308,745,358

2011 1,783,519 25,674,681 311,591,917

2012 1,836,149 26,060,796 313,873,685

2013 1,885,803 26,448,193 316,128,839

2014 1,943,299 24,956,958 320,355,064

2015 2,020,452 27,469,114 321,418,820

Average Home Prices :: December 2015AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Average Price $345,600 $256,600 $266,800

Median Price $272,300 $201,900 $224,000

Mo. of Inventory 2.1 3.2 3.9

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission, Bureau of Labor Statistics

SOURCE: Texas A&M REal Estate Center, US Census Bureau

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission

U.S. Key Indicators

This information is current as of the publication date of this report. If you need up-to-the-minute, real-time numbers for any or all of these key indicators, visit the WSJ Market Data Center by clicking this link: http://markets.wsj.com/usoverview

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

DJIA 18351.36 15370.33NASDAQ 5231.94 4209.76S&P 500 2134.72 1810.10

Prime Rate 3.50 3.25Money Mkt 0.42 0.24

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

30 Yr Fixed 4.22 3.5715 Yr Fixed 3.42 2.855 Yr ARM 9.19 3.14Jumbo 4.97 4.00Fannie Mae 3.750 2.979

Mining, Logging & Construction

6%

Manufacturing6%

Trade, Transportation &

Utilities18%

Information3%

Financial Services6%

Professional & Business Services

33%

Educational & Health Services

12%

Leisure & Hospitality

17%

Other Services4%

Government19%

Industry CompositionAustin MSA

Copyright © 2016 Transwestern. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or distributed to third parties without written permission of the copyright owner. The information contained in this report was gathered by Transwestern from CoStar and other primary and secondary sources believed to be reliable. Transwestern, however, makes no representation concerning the accuracy or completeness of such information and expressly disclaims any responsibility for any inaccuracy contained herein.

METHODOLOGY

The information in this report is the result of a compilation of publicly available data from a variety of commercial and government sources.

CONTACT

Karen JudsonVice President512.328.5600karen.judson@transwestern.com

T 512.328.5600 F 512.328.9309www.transwestern.com/austin

901 S MoPac Expressway, Suite 4-250Austin, Texas 78746

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHFEBRUARY 2016

About Transwestern

Transwestern is a privately held, SSAE 16 compliant commercial real estate firm specializing in agency leasing, property and facilities management, tenant advisory, capital markets, research and sustainability. The fully integrated global enterprise leverages competencies in office, industrial, retail, multifamily and healthcare properties to add value for investors, owners and occupiers of real estate. As a member of the Transwestern family of companies, the firm capitalizes on market insights and operational expertise of independent affiliates specializing in development, real estate investment management and research. Transwestern has 34 U.S. offices and assists clients through more than 181 offices in 40 countries as part of a strategic alliance with Paris-based BNP Paribas Real Estate. For more information, please visit transwestern.com/austin and follow us on Twitter: @TranswesternATX.

Austin Team Members

Ty Puckett, Executive Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3572 ty.puckett@transwestern.comHale Umstattd, Executive Managing Director Investment Sales & Corp. Services (512) 314.3551 hale.umstattd@transwestern.comLeah Gallagher, Managing Director Investment Sales (512) 314.3571 leah.gallagher@transwestern.comJeff Rogers, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5207 jeff.rogers@transwestern.comChris Stutzman, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5203 chris.stutzman@transwestern.comMike Brown, Senior Vice President Agency Leasing & Business Development (512) 314.3552 mike.brown@tranwestern.comBritt Reed, Senior Vice President Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3577 britt.reed@transwestern.comGreg Johnson, Vice President Agency Leasing (512) 314.3570 greg.johnson@transwestern.comLuke Wheeler, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3553 luke.wheeler@transwestern.comWill Stewart, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3574 will.stewart@transwestern.comBrandon Lester, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3576 brandon.lester@transwestern.comTracy Fike, Associate Tenant Advisory & Agency Leasing (512) 314.5215 tracy.fike@transwestern.comJosh Delk, Associate Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3557 josh.delk@transwestern.comTim Ryan, Development Associate Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3961 tim.ryan@transwestern.comRobert Gaston, Executive Vice President Southwest | City Leader (512) 314.3554 robert.gaston@transwestern.comKaren Judson, Vice President Marketing & Research (512) 314.3560 karen.judson@transwestern.com

BUILDING PERMITS ISSUED :: AUSTIN MSA

SOURCE: Texas A&M Real Estate Center

PERMITS: MULTIFAMILYPERMITS: SINGLE FAMILY

1,500

1,000

500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

N 1Q14

2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15

4Q15

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHDECEMBER 2015

REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK

Austin Employment By Industry (Trailing 12 Months)

INDUSTRY (NON FARM) OCT 2015 OCT 2014 % GROWTH

Mining, Logging & Construction 53,100 52,200 1.7%

Manufacturing 57,300 57,300 0%

Trade, Transportation & Utilities 163,600 159,200 2.8%

Information 26,200 25,400 3.2%

Financial Services 54,100 52,700 2.7%

Professional & Business Services 162,700 150,700 8.0%

Education & Health Services 111,700 108,100 3.3%

Leisure & Hospitality 113,900 107,600 5.9%

Other Services 41,100 39,900 3.0%

Government 172,700 171,200 0.9%

TOTAL 956,400 924,300 3.5%

SOURCE: MLS Austin, Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce

Unemployment RateAUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Year-End 2008 4.4% 4.9% 5.8%

Year-End 2009 6.9% 7.6% 9.3%

Year-End 2010 6.8% 8.3% 9.4%

Year-End 2011 6.3% 7.2% 8.3%

Year-End 2012 5.1% 6.1% 7.8%

Year-End 2013 4.5% 5.6% 6.5%

Year-End 2014 3.4% 4.1% 5.4%

October 2015 3.3% 4.5% 4.8%

PopulationYEAR-END AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

2008 1,654,100 24,304,290 304,374,846

2009 1,705,075 24,782,302 307,006,550

2010 1,716,289 25,145,562 308,745,538

2011 1,783,519 25,674,681 311,591,917

2012 1,849,303 26,060,796 313,873,685

2013 1,908,872 26,448,193 316,128,839

2014 1,943,299 26,956,958 320,355,064

Average Home Prices :: October 2015AUSTIN MSA TEXAS U.S.

Average Price $318,300 $247,400 $265,000

Median Price $256,200 $196,700 $221,900

Mo. of Inventory 2.8 3.6 4.8

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission, Bureau of Labor Statistics

SOURCE: Texas A&M REal Estate Center, US Census Bureau

SOURCE: Texas Workforce Commission

U.S. Key Indicators

This information is current as of the publication date of this report. If you need up-to-the-minute, real-time numbers for any or all of these key indicators, visit the WSJ Market Data Center by clicking this link: http://markets.wsj.com/usoverview

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

DJIA 18351.36 15370.33NASDAQ 5231.94 4292.14S&P 500 2134.72 1867.01

Prime Rate 3.25 3.25Money Mkt 0.44 0.25

52 Wk 52 Wk High Low

30 Yr Fixed 4.22 3.7115 Yr Fixed 3.42 2.945 Yr ARM 4.00 3.14Jumbo 4.97 4.00Fannie Mae 3.750 3.024

Mining, Logging & Construction

5%

Manufacturing6%

Trade, Transportation &

Utilities18%

Information3%

Financial Services6%

Professional & Business Services

33%

Educational & Health Services

12%

Leisure & Hospitality

17%

Other Services4%

Government19%

Industry CompositionAustin MSA

Copyright © 2015 Transwestern. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or distributed to third parties without written permission of the copyright owner. The information contained in this report was gathered by Transwestern from CoStar and other primary and secondary sources believed to be reliable. Transwestern, however, makes no representation concerning the accuracy or completeness of such information and expressly disclaims any responsibility for any inaccuracy contained herein.

METHODOLOGY

The information in this report is the result of a compilation of publicly available data from a variety of commercial and government sources.

CONTACT

Karen JudsonVice President512.328.5600karen.judson@transwestern.com

T 512.328.5600 F 512.328.9309www.transwestern.com/austin

901 S MoPac Expressway, Suite 4-250Austin, Texas 78746

AUSTIN ECONOMY MARKET WATCHDECEMBER 2015

About Transwestern

Transwestern is a privately held, SSAE 16 compliant commercial real estate firm specializing in agency leasing, property and facilities management, tenant advisory, capital markets, research and sustainability. The fully integrated global enterprise leverages competencies in office, industrial, retail, multifamily and healthcare properties to add value for investors, owners and occupiers of real estate. As a member of the Transwestern family of companies, the firm capitalizes on market insights and operational expertise of independent affiliates specializing in development, real estate investment management and research. Transwestern has 34 U.S. offices and assists clients through more than 181 offices in 40 countries as part of a strategic alliance with Paris-based BNP Paribas Real Estate. For more information, please visit transwestern.com/austin and follow us on Twitter: @TranswesternATX.

Austin Team Members

Ty Puckett, Executive Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3572 ty.puckett@transwestern.comHale Umstattd, Executive Managing Director Investment Sales & Corp. Services (512) 314.3551 hale.umstattd@transwestern.comLeah Gallagher, Managing Director Investment Sales (512) 314.3571 leah.gallagher@transwestern.comJeff Rogers, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5207 jeff.rogers@transwestern.comChris Stutzman, Managing Director Investment Sales - Multifamily (512) 314.5203 chris.stutzman@transwestern.comMike Brown, Senior Vice President Agency Leasing & Business Development (512) 314.3552 mike.brown@tranwestern.comBritt Reed, Senior Vice President Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3577 britt.reed@transwestern.comGreg Johnson, Vice President Agency Leasing (512) 314.3570 greg.johnson@transwestern.comLuke Wheeler, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3553 luke.wheeler@transwestern.comWill Stewart, Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3574 will.stewart@transwestern.comBrandon Lester, Associate Vice President Agency Leasing & Tenant Advisory (512) 314.3576 brandon.lester@transwestern.comJosh Delk, Associate Vice President Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3557 josh.delk@transwestern.comGeorge Jalil, Financial Analyst Investment Sales (512) 314.5206 george.jalil@transwestern.comTim Ryan, Development Associate Development & Investment Sales (512) 314.3961 tim.ryan@transwestern.comRobert Gaston, Executive Vice President Southwest | City Leader (512) 314.3554 robert.gaston@transwestern.comKaren Judson, Vice President Marketing & Research (512) 314.3560 karen.judson@transwestern.com

BUILDING PERMITS ISSUED :: AUSTIN MSA

SOURCE: Texas A&M Real Estate Center

PERMITS: MULTIFAMILYPERMITS: SINGLE FAMILY

1,500

1,000

500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

N 1Q14

2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15