Assignment #2 tutorial

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Transcript of Assignment #2 tutorial

Assignment #2 Tutorial for NATS 1550

2

Songbirds in the Autumn

• Hatch-year birds (HY, code 2) were born earlier in the year, usually further north

• Adult or After-hatch-year birds (AHY, codes 1, 5, and 6)

Some species can be aged in the autumn by feather plumage, where the duller plumages are usually the young birds

Some species can be aged in the autumn by the shape of the tail feathers, with immature birds being more pointed (and often more worn).

Most species can be “skulled”, where you look at the degree of ossification (hard bone) in the skull. HY birds are not fully ossified.

Yet another method is to look at the pattern of moult. These Saw-whet Owl wings are being looked at in UV light. Older feathers do not show “pink” whereas new feathers do.

Species Age Sex Wing (mm) Mass (g) Year Month DayJulian Date

Time Captured

AMRE 6 5 54 7.1 2007 5 28 148 150

AMRE 5 5 62 8.1 2008 5 20 141 530

AMRE 5 0 58 7.6 2009 5 23 143 530

AMRE 6 5 58 7.9 2005 5 31 151 530

AMRE 5 4 60 7.7 2010 5 21 141 540

AMRE 5 0 61 7.8 2009 5 22 142 540

AMRE 5 4 62 7.9 2010 5 23 143 540

AMRE 5 4 60 7.8 2010 5 24 144 540

AMRE 5 5 58 7.5 2010 5 24 144 540

AMRE 5 5 54 7.9 2005 5 27 147 540

AMRE 5 4 61 8.4 2008 5 6 127 600

AMRE 5 4 62 8 2008 6 6 158 600

BAOR 6 4 94 39.5 2006 5 11 131 113

BAOR 6 4 94 36.2 2006 5 11 131 113

BAOR 5 4 92 32.9 2010 5 22 142 530

BAOR 5 4 94 36.5 2007 5 22 142 540

BAOR 5 4 92 33.9 2010 6 3 154 550

BAOR 5 5 89 35 2006 5 24 144 550

BAOR 6 4 93 33.5 2006 5 28 148 550

There are distinct periods of migration at banding stations

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Fox Sparrow

April October

Fox Sparrow (Ontario)

The duration of migration is something that is studied

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5

10

15

20

25

30

Lesser Yellowlegs

JuneMay July August SeptemberApril

June

Lesser Yellowlegs (Ontario schedule)

What’s the average?

1. 5,6,7,8,9

• (5+6+7+8+9)/5

• = 35/5

• = 7

2. 1,4,7,10,13

• (1+4+7+10+13)/5

• = 35/5

• = 7

What’s the average?

1. 5,6,7,8,9

• Average = 7

2. 1,4,7,10,13

• Average = 7

• Which is a more variable dataset?

• #2

A bell-shaped curve is known as a “Normal Distribution”.

The passage of birds through a migration station usually follows this pattern.

A narrow distribution represents a shorter duration.

The x-axis is time (date) and the y-axis it the numbers of birds

The peaks are the average on the x-axis

A common statistic to show the level of variability is the standard deviation

• Tells you how tightly all the various numbers are clustered around the mean

• When the numbers are pretty tightly bunched together and the bell-shaped curve is steep, the standard deviation is small

• When the numbers are spread apart and the bell curve is relatively flat, there is a relatively large standard deviation

There are a few early birds (green “tail”) and a few stragglers (red “tail”) and most birds are in between, close to the average (“mean”)

Real data are likely to be imperfect, but still close to the Normal Distribution Model

68% of the values are within one standard deviation of the average (mean), shown in red.

+1SD-1SD +2SD-2SD

95% of the values are within one standard deviation of the average (mean), shown in red plus Green.

Imagine you have determined the following:

• Mean is 262

• SD is 17

• What is the range of dates during which 68% of the birds move through the banding station?

• 262 + 17 = 279

• 262 – 17 = 245

Imagine you have determined the following:

• Mean is 262

• SD is 17

• What is the range of dates during which 68% of the birds move through the banding station?

• 262 + 17 = 279

• 262 – 17 = 245

• Therefore, 68% pass through between September 2 and October 6