Post on 01-Jan-2016
Alan E SmithSenior Vice PresidentChief Scientific OfficerGenzyme
MIT R&D Conference November 3rd 2005
Biotechnology - business appears to be great …
~ 150 marketing approvals for biotech drugs and vaccines in last 5 years – more than all previous years combined
Many big revenue products:- Enbrel - Aranesp/Epogen - Cerezyme - Rituxin- Remicade - Neulasta/Neupogen - Synagis - Rebif- ReoPro - Avonex - Herceptin - Viread
2004 R&D approx 32 new - 1st indication “biotech” products approved 350 products in clinical stage development
2004 Financing 37 Biotechs went public WW, 28 in US $21B financing raised; 2nd best year ever
Our business is time-consuming, expensive, & riskyCenter for Study of Drug Development, Tufts University, 2003 - 2005
. . . but the Biopharmaceutical World is tough
10,00010,000
250250
1010
11
2 4 86 1210 14
15 Years
Lead Discovery
Safety & efficacy in animals
Safety & efficacy in humans
Regulatory Approval
~$1B
Post - Approval : 73% need additional studies 30% recoup development costs 0
PhRma 2002, Nature Drug Discovery 2005
The Productivity Conundrum
NMEs approved
R&D Spending ($B)
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55NMEs
15171921232527293133$35B
19960.3
19970.5
19980.7
1999 0.7
20001.0
20011.4
20031.6
20022.1
15 13
$B/NME
Increased R&D investment hasn’t translated into more products
But in even this environment Genzyme is doing well
Revenues & R&D Spending
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
To
tal R
eve
nu
es
($B
)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
R&
D S
pen
din
g (
$M
)1st $Billion – 19 Years2nd $Billion – 3 Years
Where do opportunities that drive long term growth come from?
Current +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7
Re
ven
ue
CommittedGrowth
Rate
Existing Product Revenue
RevenueGap
New Product Revenue
Success demands continuous development of new opportunities
Year
Always a revenue gap in the out years
Internally Originated Discovery Programs
Preclinical Candidates
Drugs inClinic
Marketed Drugs
Clinical Candidates
Drugs inClinic
Marketed DrugsDiscover more:
Discover outside & partner or acquire:
Discover inside:
We have to do all three
MarketedProductsDiscovery
Preclinical Research
Preclinical Development Pivotals
ClinicalResearch
Our Model
Why look outside?
Estimated global health R&D funding 2000
Public funding: advanced countries
Private funding: Pharma, Biotech
Private funding: not for profit
Public Funding: developing countries
TOTAL
$38.0B
$53.0B
$9.4B
$2.5B
$103B
* Global Health Forum 2001, PMPRB 2002, Genzyme Est.
Of the top 10 selling drugs in 2002 . .
Monsanto3.0NSAIPfizer
Ferrosan3.0Anti-depressantsGlaxo SmithKline
Takeda3.1AntiulcerantsTAP Pharma
Pfizer/Sumitomo3.8Calcium antagonistsPfizer
Kirin-Amgen4.2AntianaemicsJohnson & Johnson
Warner-Lambert7.9AntihyperlipidaemicsPfizer
Originator‘02
$BTherapeutic
CategoryCompany
Celebrex9
Seroxat/Paxil8
Prevacid7
Norvasc5
Procrit/Eprex4
Lipitor1
Product#
Success demands it
Risk of Failure
Cost of Deal
Preclinical Candidates
Drugs inClinic
Marketed Drugs
An investment balance required – early & late stage partnerships
Every company strives hard to strike the correct portfolio balance between the risk of early stage and the growing cost of late stage partnerships
Genzyme has ongoing collaborations with all kinds of organizations
Public/Commercial•Pharmaceutical companies•Biotech companies•Startups•Venture Capital groups
•Private/Non-Profit •University Investigators•Clinical / Hospital Investigators•Government Institutes•Private Research Institutes
How do you do it?
Genzyme’s Unsolicited Partnering Opportunities Q1-Q3 ’04 Snapshot Total - 538 submissions
89 (16.5%) Interesting
14 - Followed up by BD or Scientist
27 - Received more information; then no interest11 - Pending with additional information
37 (6.9%) - Initiated a Confidentiality Agreement
7- Pending review of information 1 (0.2%) - Received info = SRA
3 (0.5%) - Received info = MTA
1 (0.2%) - Received info = LIC25 - Received info: no interest
A 1% hit rate . . . about average
Renagel example - partnership and acquisition
• Henri Termeer• Chairman, Genzyme Board of Directors • Member, Geltex Board of Directors
• Bob Carpenter • Chairman, Geltex Board of Directors • Member, Genzyme Board of Directors
• Joint venture with Geltex in 1997 before product approval • $27.5M for 50% of Renagel in US & Europe
• Geltex acquired in 2001 after Renagel launch, • $1 Billion in cash and stock
• 2005 revenues ~$400M (annualized Q2 2005)
Later stage acquisition lowers risk . . .but at a price!
. . . but acquisitions have downsides too
Cost of acquiring quality late stage products candidates is high, and getting higher –
Buying someone else’s innovation . . .
to reduce internal risk . . .
with steadily increasing competition – many in same game, many with deep pockets - all looking for the same thing
Many, perhaps most, acquisitions fail to live up to expectations
Outside collaborations and acquisitions must be carefully chosen and managed. How? …
Reproducible ‘proof of concept’ efficacy data in relevant disease model
Preliminary animal safety data
Stable prototype formulation
Production plan for manufacturing product
Commercial plan – including access to IP, competition, etc.
Regulatory strategy
Clinical development plan
What’s important: 1) a solid, compelling story
A development checklist:
• Financial – Upfront and ongoing commitment• Financial – Expected return on investment • Timing – Pipeline needs• Technical – Therapeutic area experience and expertise• Technical – Therapeutic platform• Capacity – People and facilities• Market – Call point• Strategic – Desired area of growth
Needs & abilities on both sides of the table:
Initial partnering requirements: a compelling story AND a good fit:
What’s important: 2) a fit
Personal
•Connection - awareness of opportunity wherever it might be•Champion(s) - person(s) who are connected & truly believe• Initiative – turning belief into action •Persistence – there are always non-believers & setbacks•Dedication – it’s always more work than you think
Organizational
•Flexibility – Partners have differing needs from relationship•Openness – Frequent face-to-face communication•Experience – Realistic expectations, well-founded decisions •Quality – Essential in all aspects of a collaborative
After the ink is dry, success requires people who will are committed andorganizations that – while recognizing and respect differences - are compatible
What’s important: 3) people & organization
Summary
Biotech industry • Success is rare, time consuming, and very expensive• Committed to aggressive long-term growth• Seeks and commercializes innovation• An essential part of the equation is partnering & acquisition
Partnering• Must choose wisely • Need an extensive understanding of external landscape and a• Through understanding of internal needs that partnership will fill• Goal is to find a fit between the external opportunity and internal need• Dedicated people and receptive organizations make the relationship work