AGE OF REAL-TIMEFuture Trends in a Digital World

September 2009

Teemu Arinatar1natarina.blogging.fi

We are in the midst of a historic “upload”,

a frenetic rush to transfer the vast wealth of analog culture to the digital domain.

It is still barely understood how the media of the past ought to be preserved, presented and interconnected for the future.

– The Institute for the Future of the Book (2007)

35%of book sales at

Amazon when Kindle editions are available

Source: Amazon

6,44m6,39m

3,50m

7,06m

2003 2007 Source: tilastot.kirjastot.fi

PHYSICAL VISITS VIRTUAL VISITS

HELSINKI CITY LIBRARY

LIBRARIES ONLINE?

SCHOOLS ONLINE?

e-Learning 1.0

NETWORK

Photo: Christopher Chan

WEB 2.0: Architecturesof Participation

Ref: Scott Leslie

e-Learning 2.0

WHICH SHELF?

Digitalization frees information architecture from the constraints ofphysical location.

15 YEARS WATCHING TV

AVG 80 YEAR OLD

TV > MOBILE HEAD

Image: Judy Breck

1 TRILLIONhours of TV / YEAR

100 Wikipedia projects

=1%

Source: Clay Shirky

WIKIPEDIAALEXANDRIA

10 times larger than Library of Alexandria

Source: Wikipedia

500100501510

Print

RadioCinemaRecordings

Television

Internet

Mobile

Years old

7th MASSMEDIA

Ref: Tomi T. Ahonen

A LOOK AT THE HISTORY...

PRE-GUTENBERG ERA

PALIMPSESTS“Scraped again”

MANUSCRIPTSManuscripts as visual communication

3D INTERFACESChurch as a medium for visual communication

LEARNING AS LOOKING

LEARNING AS READING

MOVABLE TYPEJohannes Gutenberg, 1439

“Only a fraction of the history of literacy has been typographic.”

Marshall McLuhan (1962)

PRE-HELVETICA

LEARNING AS READINGDecorate the margins as you go

MASS-EDUCATIONCopy/paste text into brain

CONTEXTUALITY

MAN-MACHINE SYMBIOSIS– J. C. R. Licklider, 1960

Technology as an extension of man.Man as an extension of technology.

ONE MACHINE

SOCIAL MEDIA“We are the genitals of our technology.” – McLuhan

CONTEXTUALITYNonlinearity and probing

FRAMING SOCIAL

OBJECTS

“Information overload is an opportunity for pattern recognition” – Marshall McLuhan

Image: jbum

Pattern Recognition

Look Read Perceive patterns

Pre-Gutenberg Era Gutenberg Era Post-Gutenberg Era

< Mechanic Age of Speed > Digital Age of Real-time

The web is transitioning from mere interactivity to a more dynamic, real-time web where read-write functions are heading towards balanced synchronicity.

The real-time web is the next logical step inthe Internet’s evolution.

– OM Malik, Giga OM (2009)

From Pages to Streams

FROM COLLECTING

TO PERCEIVINGPATTERNS

FROM SEQUENTIALMODELS

TO SIMULTANEOUSHAPPENING

camera

projector

coloredcaps

mirrorphone

THE SIXTH SENSE

Ref: MIT Media Lab

Ref: MIT Media Lab

Magic Wands

What do you call a handheld interface for real, actual objects? "A wand."– Bruce Sterling

"It is the framework which changes with each new technology and not just the picture within the frame."

Marshall McLuhan

Thanks!

teemu@dicole.comtarina.blogging.fiwww.dicole.com

mail blogweb

Teemu Arinaceo - dicole ltd.

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”

– Albert Einstein

tar1na