Post on 18-Jan-2018
description
64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference
NOAA Tropical ProgramDelivering on the Promise of Partnerships
Jack Hayes NOAA Assistant Administrator &
Director, National Weather Service
March 1, 2010Savannah, GA
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Outline
Constants & ChangesOur PartnershipsAreas of Emphasis
NO
AA
is th
e na
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l lea
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r hur
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reca
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and
war
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Constants & Changes
Science is a Priority for President ObamaNOAA Climate ServiceFY 11 Request:
$1 Billion for NWS$4M investment in
Coastal Hazard Mitigation
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Constants & Changes HFIP Budget
FY 2009 Supplemental $17 million supplemental spent
FY 2010 Appropriations $23 million
FY 2011 President’s Budget Request
$23 million
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Constants & Changes House/Senate Initiatives
Senate (S.1485):Objectives:
Improve understanding and prediction of tropical cyclones
Develop resilient infrastructureMitigate impacts on coastal populationsProvide training for next generation researchers
and forecasters
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Constants & Changes House/Senate Initiatives
House (H.R. 327):Objectives:
NOAA and NSF to set research objectivesAssemble experts focused on:
Improving tropical cyclone forecasting, resilient infrastructure, mitigating impacts on coastal communities, providing grants for research
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Constants & Changes Continued Use of Seasonal Hurricane Outlooks-
Tool for information, education, and preparedness Increasing use of high-res (T382) CFS coupled model
forecast runs Changes for the 2010 Season
NHC and CPHC to provide greater lead time in Watches and Warnings
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale becomes operational
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Our Partnerships
Expediting successful transition of research to operations
Example: success with advanced data assimilation testing led to changes in NCEP plans for operational data assimilation
Continuing to support Joint Hurricane Testbed, along with Developmental Test Center and Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation
NUOPC: AF, Navy, NASA, Academia
Computing: DOE, NSF
Research: NSF, Navy, NCAR, NASA, Academia
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Our PartnershipsInvestment in the Future
HFIP provides the basis for NOAA co-leading with NSF, Navy and others a national effort to: Develop a National Hurricane Research Agenda to provide new
science Apply new science and technology to the operational hurricane
and storm surge warning and forecast problem Significantly improve guidance to NHC (JTWC, CPHC) for
hurricane track and intensity forecasts
Significantly improve NOAA’s forecast services for tropical storms and hurricanes
through improved hurricane forecast science and technology
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Our PartnershipsRecent Engagement
UM/UW effort for NSF Science and Technology Center US Navy, and DOI Minerals Management Service 3
year National Ocean Partnership Program for Hurricane Intensity Research $2.5M for first year
Penn State, Wisconsin, NCAR, others in area of High Resolution Modeling
ONR and NRL on Hurricane Forecast Technology Development
University of Miami, Florida International and University of South Alabama on Hurricane intensity research
Directed Research on ocean interaction (URI), ensemble data assimilation (CIRA/CSU) and cloud products (UMD)
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Areas of EmphasisScience and Technology Infusion:
Reduce Track and Intensity ErrorHFIP Goal: reduction by 50% Track error improvements
Advanced data assimilation techniques and use of airborne radar data to initialize vortex both showing great promise
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The Future
NWS Strategic Plan 2035
Draft Undergoing Internal Review Issue in Spring for Public Comment
Need your input!