2007 Page 1 F. MICHAUX CORPORATE FINANCE Financial and Real Options.

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Transcript of 2007 Page 1 F. MICHAUX CORPORATE FINANCE Financial and Real Options.

2007

Page 1F. MICHAUX

CORPORATE FINANCE Financial and Real Options

2007

Page 2F. MICHAUX

GENERAL AGENDA

Financial and Real Options

2007

Page 3F. MICHAUX

TOPICS COVERED

• Calls, Puts and Shares• Financial Alchemy with Options• What Determines Option Value• Option Valuation• Real Options

– Follow Up Investments– Abandon– Wait– Vary Output or Production

• Binomial Model

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OPTION TERMINOLGY

Call Option

Right to buy an asset at a specified exercise price on or before the exercise date.

Put Option

Right to sell an asset at a specified exercise price on or before the exercise date.

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Buyer Seller

Call option Right to buy asset Obligation to sell asset

Put option Right to sell asset Obligation to buy asset

OPTION OBLIGATIONS

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The value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise

price.

OPTION VALUE

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• The value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price.

Example - Option values given a exercise price of $85

00051525ValuePut

25155000Value Call

110100908070$60eStock Pric

OPTION VALUE

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Call option value (graphic) given a $85 exercise price.

Share Price

Cal

l opt

ion

valu

e

85 105

$20

OPTION VALUE

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Put option value (graphic) given a $85 exercise price.

Share Price

Put

opt

ion

valu

e

80 85

$5

OPTION VALUE

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Call option payoff (to seller) given a $85 exercise price.

Share Price

Cal

l opt

ion

$ pa

yoff

85

OPTION VALUE

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Put option payoff (to seller) given a $85 exercise price.

Share Price

Put

opt

ion

$ pa

yoff

85

OPTION VALUE

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Protective Put - Long stock and long put

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Long Stock

OPTION VALUE

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Protective Put - Long stock and long put

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Long Put

OPTION VALUE

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Protective Put - Long stock and long put

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue Protective Put

Long Put

Long Stock

OPTION VALUE

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Protective Put - Long stock and long put

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue Protective Put

OPTION VALUE

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Straddle - Long call and long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue Long call

OPTION VALUE

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Straddle - Long call and long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Long put

OPTION VALUE

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Straddle - Long call and long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Straddle

OPTION VALUE

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Straddle - Long call and long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Straddle

OPTION VALUE

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Strip – 1 Long call and 2 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue Long call

OPTION VALUE

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Strip – 1 Long call and 2 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

2 Long put

OPTION VALUE

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Strip – 1 Long call and 2 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Strip

OPTION VALUE

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Strip – 1 Long call and 2 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Strip

OPTION VALUE

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Strap – 2 Long call and 1 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue 2 Long call

OPTION VALUE

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Strap – 2 Long call and 1 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Long put

OPTION VALUE

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Strap – 2 Long call and 1 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Strap

OPTION VALUE

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Strap – 2 Long call and 1 long put

- Strategy for profiting from high volatility

Share Price

Pos

itio

n V

alue

Strap

OPTION VALUE

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Upper Limit

Stock Price

OPTION VALUE

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Upper Limit

Stock Price

Lower Limit

(Stock price - exercise price) or 0whichever is higher

OPTION VALUE

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Components of the Option Price1 - Underlying stock price

2 - Striking or Exercise price

3 - Volatility of the stock returns (standard deviation of annual returns)

4 - Time to option expiration

5 - Time value of money (discount rate)

OPTION VALUE

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Black-Scholes Option Pricing ModelBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model

OC = Ps[N(d1)] - S[N(d2)]e-rt

OPTION VALUE

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OC = Ps[N(d1)] - S[N(d2)]e-rt

OC- Call Option Price

Ps - Stock Price

N(d1) - Cumulative normal density function of (d1)

S - Strike or Exercise price

N(d2) - Cumulative normal density function of (d2)

r - discount rate (90 day comm paper rate or risk free rate)

t - time to maturity of option (as % of year)

v - volatility - annualized standard deviation of daily returns

Black-Scholes Option Pricing ModelBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model

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(d1)=

ln + ( r + ) tPs

S

v2

2

v t

32 34 36 38 40

N(d1)=

Black-Scholes Option Pricing ModelBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model

04/19/23 2007

Page 34F. MICHAUX

(d1)=

ln + ( r + ) tPs

S

v2

2

v t

Cumulative Normal Density FunctionCumulative Normal Density Function

(d2) = d1 - v t

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CALL OPTION

Example

What is the price of a call option given the following?

P = 36 r = 10% v = .40

S = 40 t = 90 days / 365

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(d1) =

ln + ( r + ) tPs

S

v2

2

v t

(d1) = - .3070 N(d1) = 1 - .6206 = .3794

Example

What is the price of a call option given the following?

P = 36 r = 10% v = .40

S = 40 t = 90 days / 365

CALL OPTION

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(d2) = - .5056

N(d2) = 1 - .6935 = .3065

(d2) = d1 - v t

Example

What is the price of a call option given the following?

P = 36 r = 10% v = .40

S = 40 t = 90 days / 365

CALL OPTION

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OC = Ps[N(d1)] - S[N(d2)]e-rt

OC = 36[.3794] - 40[.3065]e - (.10)(.2466)

OC = $ 1.70

Example

What is the price of a call option given the following?

P = 36 r = 10% v = .40

S = 40 t = 90 days / 365

CALL OPTION

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Intrinsic Value

OPTION TO WAIT

Option Price

Stock Price

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Intrinsic Value + Time Premium = Option Value

Time Premium = Vale of being able to wait

Option Price

Stock Price

OPTION TO WAIT

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Page 41F. MICHAUX

More time = More value

Option Price

Stock Price

OPTION TO WAIT