100% Renewable Energy by 2050: Fact or Fantasy

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Transcript of 100% Renewable Energy by 2050: Fact or Fantasy

FA C T O R FA N TA S Y ?

100% RENEWABLE ENERGY BY 2050

John Farrell Director of Democratic Energy, Institute for Local Self-Reliance

August 27, 2015

An illustration of a Vox article by David Roberts http://bit.ly/100pctRE

I T ’ S P O S S I B L E

• Jacobson state by state studies

Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts

I T ’ S P O S S I B L E *

• Jacobson state by state studies

Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts* L I K E LY U N D E R E S T I M AT E S

D I S T R I B U T E D G E N E R AT I O N

F O R E V E R Y S TAT E

Source: Mark Jacobson via David Roberts

W I T H A F E W C H A N G E S I N D I R E C T I O N

Credit: mark notari via Flickr

• Electrify everything

• transportation, heating/cooling, and industry

1 . E L E C T R I F Y E V E R Y T H I N G

Credit: Ken Bosma via Flickr

2 . R E D U C E U S E

39.3%Compared to business-as-usual

X X XX

X X

3 . W I N D - W AT E R - S O L A R O N LY

20202025

2030

2015

2050

after

for new power plants

2015 2020

IN JUST 5 YEARS…

Heating,  drying,  and  cooking  in  the  residential  and  commercial  sectors

Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts

ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050

2015 20252020

IN JUST 10 YEARS…

All  new  ships  and  ports  

All  new  trains  and  buses  

Heating,  drying,  and  cooking  in  the  residential  and  commercial  sectors

All  new  heavy  duty  trucks  

Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts

ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050

All  new  light-­‐duty  vehicles  

2015 203020252020

IN JUST 15 YEARS…

All  new  ships  and  ports  

All  new  trains  and  buses  

Heating,  drying,  and  cooking  in  the  residential  and  commercial  sectors

All  new  heavy  duty  trucks  

Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts

All  new  small  marine  vessels  

ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050

All  new  light-­‐duty  vehicles  

2015 203020252020

IN JUST 20 YEARS…

All  new  ships  and  ports  

All  new  trains  and  buses  

All  new  small,  short-­‐range  planes

2035

Heating,  drying,  and  cooking  in  the  residential  and  commercial  sectors

All  new  heavy  duty  trucks  

Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts

All  new  small  marine  vessels  

ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050

All  new  light-­‐duty  vehicles  

2015 203020252020

IN JUST 25 YEARS…

All  new  ships  and  ports  

All  new  trains  and  buses  

All  new  small,  short-­‐range  planes

2035 2040

Heating,  drying,  and  cooking  in  the  residential  and  commercial  sectors

All  new  heavy  duty  trucks  

All  new  long-­‐haul  aircraft

Credit: Mark Jacobson, via David Roberts

All  new  small  marine  vessels  

ELECTRIFICATION TIMELINE TO REACH 100% RENEWABLE BY 2050

The recommendations — indeed, all 28 — would require coordinated action from Congress, federal agencies, state legislatures, and local officials. Together, they represent an unprecedented level of government activism, a skein of incentives, mandates, standards, and laws unmatched in U.S. history.

A B I G L I F T

1 0 0 % W O R T H I TSaves average person $260 per year

Adds 2 million, 40-year construction and operations jobs

Saves $600 billion in health-related costs

100% Renewable

Credit: Anssi Koskinen via Flickr